Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco Prediction
Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco prediction: Sportiko gives Paris Saint Germain a 62% chance of winning, Monaco 17% and the draw 21%. Last updated 4 Sep 2026, 21:01.
Premium прогнози
Premium- Гостите да вкарат 75%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 75%
Match Report
Paris Saint-Germain dominated the opening half in terms of possession and chances, and Marquinhos gave them a deserved lead on 31 minutes with a composed finish. The hosts looked well in control at the break, and our pre-match AI model had rated a PSG win as the most likely outcome at 62%, a call that would ultimately prove incorrect.
Monaco came out transformed after the interval. Nazinho levelled matters on 58 minutes, and despite PSG's overwhelming statistical dominance — 68% possession, ten shots on target and six corners to Monaco's none — it was the visitors who struck the decisive blow. Stanis Idumbo Muzambo netted on 72 minutes to put Monaco ahead, capping a remarkable turnaround. The teenager was then substituted off just minutes later, having already done the damage.
PSG pushed hard in the closing stages but could not find an equaliser, their profligacy in front of goal proving costly. Monaco held firm to claim a stunning away victory despite managing just four total shots across the entire match, a result that will raise serious questions about PSG's clinical edge at home.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Paris Saint Germain
Match Stats
Paris Saint Germain
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Marquinhos D | 8.1 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 113 (107%) | – |
| 7 Khvicha Kvaratskhelia F | 7.7 | 68' | – | 1 | 3 | 34 (30%) | 2 |
| 17 Vitinha M | 7.2 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 92 (84%) | 1 |
| 14 Désiré Doué F | 7.0 | 63' | – | – | 3 | 38 (32%) | 4 |
| 11 Maghnes Akliouche F | 7.0 | 69' | – | – | 1 | 34 (31%) | 3 |
| 51 Willian Pacho D | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 69 (69%) | 5 |
| 87 João Neves M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | 2 | 64 (58%) | 1 |
| 8 Fabián Ruiz M | 6.7 | 76' | – | – | 1 | 59 (52%) | 1 |
| 10 Ousmane Dembélé F | 6.7 | 21' | – | – | 2 | 24 (18%) | – |
| 2 Achraf Hakimi D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | 4 | 68 (59%) | – |
| 22 Mika Godts F | 6.6 | 22' | – | – | 3 | 20 (17%) | 1 |
| 21 Lucas Hernández D | 6.5 | 26' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | 3 |
| 33 Warren Zaïre-Emery D | 6.5 | 64' | – | – | – | 64 (61%) | 3 |
| 9 Ferran Torres F | 6.3 | 27' | – | – | – | 7 (6%) | – |
| 39 Matvey Safonov G | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 26 (24%) | – |
| 27 Dro Fernández M | 6.1 | 14' | – | – | – | 13 (13%) | 2 |
Monaco
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Lukáš Hrádecký G | 8.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 33 (27%) | – |
| 17 Stanis Idumbo Muzambo M | 7.7 | 87' | 1 | – | 2 | 26 (22%) | 2 |
| 20 Nazinho D | 7.3 | 90' | 1 | – | 1 | 35 (27%) | 2 |
| 15 Eric Dier D | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (45%) | 3 |
| 8 Lamine Camara M | 6.8 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (37%) | 7 |
| 72 Sadibou Sané D | 6.6 | 90' | – | – | – | 41 (36%) | 1 |
| 6 Denis Zakaria M | 6.5 | 90' | – | – | – | 32 (31%) | – |
| 11 Matthis Abline F | 6.4 | 17' | – | – | – | 4 (1%) | – |
| 4 Jordan Teze D | 6.4 | 38' | – | 1 | – | 8 (7%) | 2 |
| 13 Christian Mawissa D | 6.3 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 46 Anis Soubeir M | 6.2 | 17' | – | – | – | 6 (5%) | 1 |
| 47 Safouane Benzahra M | 6.2 | 3' | – | – | – | – | – |
| 2 Vanderson D | 6.1 | 52' | – | – | – | 19 (13%) | – |
| 29 Paris Brunner F | 6.0 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 17 (14%) | – |
| 28 Mamadou Coulibaly M | 5.9 | 73' | – | – | – | 19 (15%) | 1 |
| 10 Aleksandr Golovin M | 5.9 | 87' | – | 1 | – | 21 (14%) | – |
Отключи пълния AI анализ за Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco
- Всички 70+ вероятностни пазара
- AI задълбочен анализ на мача
- Value Edge — модел срещу пазар
- Pick types you choose
At a glance
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowMatch summary
Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowSecond-model agreement
Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.
Most likely scores
Model probability of each exact scoreline.
Unlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowPlayers in form
Ferran Torres
4 gls
Marquinhos
3 gls
Paris Josua Brunner
4 gls
AI match tools
Instant AI analysis of this match.
You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.
Unlock all modelsUnlock all 70+ probability models
Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.
Upgrade NowHead to Head: Paris Saint Germain vs Monaco
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar 2026 | Paris Saint Germain | 1 - 3 | Monaco |
| 25 Feb 2026 | Paris Saint Germain | 2 - 2 | Monaco |
| 17 Feb 2026 | Monaco | 2 - 3 | Paris Saint Germain |
Paris Saint Germain — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Marseille | W | 1 - 2 |
| 13 Sep | A Stade Brestois 29 | W | 0 - 1 |
| 09 Sep | H Slovan Bratislava | W | 6 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | H Monaco | L | 1 - 2 |
| 28 Aug | A Lille | D | 2 - 2 |
Monaco — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | H Lens | W | 2 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Strasbourg | D | 1 - 1 |
| 04 Sep | A Paris Saint Germain | W | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Marseille | W | 2 - 0 |
| 27 Aug | H Gornik Zabrze | W | 4 - 1 |
Ligue 1 Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Monaco
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 2 |
Lyon
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 2 | +8 | 11 |
| 3 |
Paris FC
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 11 |
| 4 |
Lille
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 5 |
Rennes
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 9 | -1 | 10 |
| 6 |
Paris Saint Germain
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 8 |
| 7 |
Angers
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 5 | +1 | 7 |
| 8 |
Strasbourg
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 10 | 0 | 7 |
| 9 |
Le Mans
|
5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 6 |
| 10 |
Auxerre
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 12 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 |
Stade Brestois 29
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 5 |
| 12 |
Lorient
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 13 |
Toulouse
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 5 |
| 14 |
Nice
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 5 |
| 15 |
Lens
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 4 |
| 16 |
Estac Troyes
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11 | -7 | 4 |
| 17 |
Marseille
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 7 | 8 | -1 | 3 |
| 18 |
Le Havre
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 2 |
Paris Saint Germain
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Luis Enrique
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 39 | M. Safonov | G |
| 2 | A. Hakimi | D |
| 5 | Marquinhos | D |
| 51 | W. Pacho | D |
| 33 | W. Zaïre-Emery | D |
| 87 | João Neves | M |
| 17 | Vitinha | M |
| 8 | Fabián Ruiz | M |
| 14 | D. Doué | F |
| 11 | M. Akliouche | F |
| 7 | K. Kvaratskhelia | F |
Substitutes
| 10 | O. Dembélé | F |
| 30 | L. Chevalier | G |
| 27 | Pedro Fernández | M |
| 22 | M. Godts | F |
| 21 | L. Hernández | D |
| 4 | Beraldo | D |
| 24 | Senny Mayulu | M |
| 9 | Ferran Torres | F |
| 6 | I. Zabarnyi | D |
Monaco
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Filipe Luís
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | L. Hrádecký | G |
| 2 | Vanderson | D |
| 72 | Sadibou Sané | D |
| 15 | E. Dier | D |
| 20 | Flávio Nazinho | D |
| 8 | L. Camara | M |
| 6 | D. Zakaria | M |
| 28 | M. Coulibaly | M |
| 10 | A. Golovin | M |
| 17 | S. Idumbo-Muzambo | M |
| 29 | Paris Josua Brunner | F |
Substitutes
| 11 | M. Abline | F |
| 47 | S. Benzahra | M |
| 14 | M. Biereth | F |
| 7 | M. Detourbet | F |
| 16 | P. Köhn | G |
| 13 | C. Mawissa Elebi | D |
| 46 | A. Soubeir | M |
| 4 | J. Teze | D |
| 49 | I. Touré | M |