Inter vs AC Milan Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 24

14 Feb 2027, 17:30

Post on X

AC Milan

Away

AI прогноза Inter to win or draw

67%

22%

11%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Inter vs AC Milan prediction: Sportiko gives Inter a 67% chance of winning, AC Milan 11% and the draw 22%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Inter

DWLWW

AC Milan

WLDDW

Last 3 meetings Inter · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Inter and AC Milan, both teams are poised for a competitive encounter. Inter has shown a solid defensive record, conceding an average of 0.8 goals per match this season, while AC Milan's attack has been potent, averaging 2.1 goals per game. The historical rivalry, known as the Derby della Madonnina, often leads to closely contested matches, with recent encounters averaging 2.5 goals. Key players to watch include Inter's top scorer and Milan's creative playmaker, both crucial in determining the match outcome. Expect a tactical battle with midfield control being pivotal.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AC Milan goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	3	2
1	12	11	3	1
2	14	10	3	1
3	9	7	2	1
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Inter goals · most likely 2–0 (13.5%)

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Players in form

Inter

Lautaro Martínez 4 gls

M. Thuram 2 gls

F. Esposito 2 gls

AC Milan

Diego Moreira 3 gls

A. Rabiot 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

22%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

22%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	3.4%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
1	12.1%	10.7%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%
2	13.6%	9.6%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%
3	9.2%	6.5%	2.3%	0.6%	0.1%
4	4.7%	3.3%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Inter	Draw	AC Milan
Inter	44.5%	3.1%	0.7%
Draw	21.4%	14.3%	4.7%
AC Milan	2.4%	3.1%	5.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Inter vs AC Milan

0 Inter Wins

1 Draws

2 AC Milan Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Mar 2026	AC Milan	1 - 0	Inter
23 Nov 2025	Inter	0 - 1	AC Milan
02 Feb 2025	AC Milan	1 - 1	Inter

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Inter — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A AS Roma	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	H Udinese	W	5 - 3
08 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	H Napoli	W	3 - 2
30 Aug	A Cagliari	W	0 - 1

AC Milan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Lecce	W	3 - 0
16 Sep	H Benfica	L	0 - 2
12 Sep	A Lazio	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A Juventus	D	1 - 1
28 Aug	H Venezia	W	2 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.