Atalanta vs AS Roma Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 20

17 Jan 2027, 17:30

Post on X

AS Roma

Away

AI прогноза Atalanta to win or draw

72%

20%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Atalanta vs AS Roma prediction: Sportiko gives Atalanta a 72% chance of winning, AS Roma 8% and the draw 20%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 15.4%

Both teams to score

40%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Atalanta

LLLWW

AS Roma

DWDWW

Last 3 meetings Atalanta · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Serie A clash between Atalanta and AS Roma, both teams will be looking to secure crucial points. Atalanta has demonstrated strong attacking prowess, averaging 2.2 goals per match this season, while Roma's defense has been solid, conceding only 1.1 goals per match. The matchup will likely hinge on Atalanta's ability to break through Roma's organized defense, especially with their home advantage. Historical data shows Atalanta's effectiveness at home, which could play a pivotal role in this encounter. Both teams will need to capitalize on opportunities to claim victory.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

AS Roma goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	3	1
1	13	9	2
2	15	9	3	1
3	11	6	2
4	6	4	1
5	3	2

↑ Atalanta goals · most likely 2–0 (15.4%)

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Players in form

Atalanta

No scorer data.

AS Roma

D. Malen 6 gls

M. Soulé 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

72%

Draw

20%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

72% Home Scores More 20% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

60% BTTS No 40% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	2.7%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	13.1%	9.3%	2.4%	0.5%	0.1%
2	15.4%	8.9%	2.6%	0.5%	0.1%
3	11.2%	6.5%	1.9%	0.4%	0.1%
4	6.1%	3.5%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atalanta	Draw	AS Roma
Atalanta	49.6%	2.5%	0.5%
Draw	22.3%	13.0%	3.4%
AS Roma	2.2%	2.5%	4.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

25%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

67%

1.5

33%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

56%

32%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

77%

0.5

23%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atalanta vs AS Roma

1 Atalanta Wins

1 Draws

1 AS Roma Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	AS Roma	2 - 1	Atalanta
18 Apr 2026	AS Roma	1 - 1	Atalanta
03 Jan 2026	Atalanta	1 - 0	AS Roma

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Atalanta — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Juventus	L	2 - 0
12 Sep	H Cagliari	L	1 - 2
05 Sep	A AS Roma	L	2 - 1
31 Aug	H Bologna	W	1 - 0
27 Aug	A Hapoel Tel Aviv	W	0 - 1

AS Roma — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Inter	D	2 - 2
14 Sep	A Torino	W	0 - 2
10 Sep	A Fenerbahçe	D	1 - 1
05 Sep	H Atalanta	W	2 - 1
31 Aug	A Lecce	W	0 - 4

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.