Lecce vs Genoa Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

01 Nov 2026, 17:30

Post on X

Genoa

Away

AI прогноза Genoa или равен

18%

32%

49%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Lecce vs Genoa prediction: Sportiko gives Lecce a 18% chance of winning, Genoa 49% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.3%

Both teams to score

38%

Over 2.5 goals

32%

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Lecce

LWLLW

Genoa

LWDLL

Last 3 meetings Lecce · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Lecce hosts Genoa in what promises to be a competitive Serie A clash. Lecce has shown resilience at home, with a solid defensive record, conceding only 1.2 goals per match. In contrast, Genoa has struggled to find consistency, particularly in away fixtures, averaging just 0.9 goals scored per game. Key players to watch include Lecce's offensive threat, who has been pivotal in their recent performances. This match could hinge on Lecce's ability to capitalize on their chances while managing Genoa's counter-attacking play.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

18%

10%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

49%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Genoa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	15	16	12	5	2
1	8	14	8	3	1
2	3	4	3	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Lecce goals · most likely 0–1 (16.2%)

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Players in form

Lecce

L. Coulibaly 2 gls

Genoa

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

32%

Home Win

18%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

49%

Draw

32%

Home Win

18%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

73% Away (No Draw) 27% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

24% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Away Scores More 32% Equal Goals 18% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

15%

0.5

85%

40%

1.5

60%

68%

2.5

32%

86%

3.5

14%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS No 38% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

24%

29%

18%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	15.4%	16.3%	11.5%	5.0%	1.6%
1	8.0%	13.9%	7.9%	3.4%	1.1%
2	3.3%	4.3%	2.7%	1.2%	0.4%
3	0.8%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

77%

1.5

23%

94%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

42%

35%

17%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Lecce	Draw	Genoa
Lecce	10.1%	3.6%	1.6%
Draw	8.3%	23.2%	19.2%
Genoa	0.8%	3.6%	29.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

50%

35%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Lecce vs Genoa

1 Lecce Wins

1 Draws

1 Genoa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
24 May 2026	Lecce	1 - 0	Genoa
23 Aug 2025	Genoa	0 - 0	Lecce
14 Mar 2025	Genoa	2 - 1	Lecce

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Lecce — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A AC Milan	L	3 - 0
13 Sep	H Monza	W	3 - 2
07 Sep	A Cagliari	L	1 - 0
31 Aug	H AS Roma	L	0 - 4
23 Aug	A Venezia	W	0 - 2

Genoa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Parma	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	H Sudtirol	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
04 Sep	H Como	L	1 - 4
30 Aug	A Lazio	L	1 - 0

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.