Sassuolo vs Fiorentina Prediction

Serie A · Regular Season - 10

01 Nov 2026, 17:30

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Fiorentina

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Fiorentina

15%

26%

59%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Sassuolo vs Fiorentina prediction: Sportiko gives Sassuolo a 15% chance of winning, Fiorentina 59% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Sassuolo

LWDDW

Fiorentina

DWWLL

Last 3 meetings Sassuolo · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Sassuolo faces Fiorentina in a Serie A encounter that promises to be competitive. Sassuolo has shown a solid attacking presence, averaging 1.5 goals per game this season, while Fiorentina's defense has been relatively robust, conceding just 1.2 goals per match. Both teams have been inconsistent, with Fiorentina holding a slight edge in recent head-to-head matchups. The outcome may hinge on Sassuolo's ability to convert scoring opportunities against a disciplined Fiorentina backline. Look for key players on both sides to make a significant impact in this crucial fixture.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

15%

10%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

59%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Fiorentina goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	12	12	7	3	1
1	5	12	10	6	3	1
2	2	4	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Sassuolo goals · most likely 0–1 (12.3%)

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Players in form

Sassuolo

Vasilije Adžić 3 gls

Fiorentina

Franco Mastantuono 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

26%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

59%

Draw

26%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

80% Away (No Draw) 20% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

35% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

59% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

26%

1.5

74%

53%

2.5

47%

75%

3.5

25%

89%

4.5

11%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.1%	12.3%	12.3%	7.3%	3.3%
1	4.6%	12.2%	9.7%	5.8%	2.6%
2	2.4%	4.3%	3.8%	2.3%	1.0%
3	0.6%	1.1%	1.0%	0.6%	0.3%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

33%

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sassuolo	Draw	Fiorentina
Sassuolo	8.1%	3.5%	2.3%
Draw	6.4%	16.6%	20.1%
Fiorentina	0.9%	3.6%	38.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

45%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

70%

0.5

30%

95%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sassuolo vs Fiorentina

1 Sassuolo Wins

1 Draws

1 Fiorentina Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
26 Apr 2026	Fiorentina	0 - 0	Sassuolo
06 Dec 2025	Sassuolo	3 - 1	Fiorentina
28 Apr 2024	Fiorentina	5 - 1	Sassuolo

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Sassuolo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Monza	L	2 - 1
13 Sep	H Juventus	W	3 - 2
06 Sep	A Bologna	D	2 - 2
02 Sep	H Frosinone	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	H Torino	W	2 - 1

Fiorentina — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Napoli	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Pisa	W	3 - 0
11 Sep	A Venezia	W	2 - 4
05 Sep	H Torino	L	1 - 2
29 Aug	H Frosinone	L	0 - 3

Serie A Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	AS Roma	5	4	1	0	14	3	+11	13
2	Inter	5	4	1	0	15	8	+7	13
3	Lazio	5	4	1	0	8	3	+5	13
4	Cagliari	5	4	0	1	5	2	+3	12
5	AC Milan	5	3	2	0	10	4	+6	11
6	Frosinone	5	3	1	1	9	4	+5	10
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8	4	+4	10
8	Como	5	3	1	1	9	6	+3	10
9	Napoli	5	2	1	2	7	6	+1	7
10	Sassuolo	5	2	1	2	9	9	0	7
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5	7	-2	6
12	Lecce	5	2	0	3	5	10	-5	6
13	Udinese	5	1	1	3	8	11	-3	4
14	Torino	5	1	1	3	5	8	-3	4
15	Parma	5	1	1	3	4	7	-3	4
16	Monza	5	1	1	3	8	12	-4	4
17	Fiorentina	5	1	1	3	6	12	-6	4
18	Bologna	5	0	2	3	3	6	-3	2
19	Genoa	5	0	1	4	3	10	-7	1
20	Venezia	5	0	0	5	4	13	-9	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.