Napoli vs Bologna Prediction
Napoli vs Bologna prediction: Sportiko gives Napoli a 51% chance of winning, Bologna 21% and the draw 28%. Last updated 13 Sep 2026, 17:58.
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Match Report
Napoli edged out Bologna 1–0 in a tight Serie A encounter that remained goalless at the break despite the hosts dominating possession and territory. Bologna had a goal ruled out in the seventh minute through VAR for offside by Arthur Theate, which proved a significant early blow to their prospects.
The deadlock was finally broken in the 66th minute when Stanislav Lobotka struck to give Napoli the lead, a goal that ultimately settled the contest. The hosts were the more threatening side throughout, finishing with 15 total shots to Bologna's five and an expected goals figure of 1.81 compared to just 0.25 for the visitors. Napoli's ten corner kicks to Bologna's none further illustrated their dominance in the final third.
Bologna introduced Rasmus Højlund and later Kevin De Bruyne in search of an equaliser, but could not find a way through. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Napoli win as the most likely outcome at 51%, a call that proved correct. Napoli take all three points in a controlled, if not entirely convincing, home performance.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Napoli
Match Stats
Napoli
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 68 Stanislav Lobotka M | 8.6 | 94' | 1 | – | 1 | 62 (57%) | 2 |
| 11 Kevin De Bruyne M | 7.9 | 88' | – | – | 2 | 61 (52%) | – |
| 37 Leonardo Spinazzola D | 7.7 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 61 (55%) | 3 |
| 13 Amir Rrahmani D | 7.5 | 94' | – | – | 1 | 68 (63%) | 1 |
| 2 Costantino Favasuli D | 7.5 | 49' | – | 1 | 1 | 14 (13%) | 3 |
| 70 N. Lang F | 7.0 | 49' | – | – | 1 | 29 (27%) | 1 |
| 32 Vanja Milinković-Savić G | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 34 (25%) | – |
| 6 Billy Gilmour M | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 61 (56%) | – |
| 16 Rafa Marín D | 6.9 | 94' | – | – | – | 66 (64%) | 3 |
| 20 Lorenzo Lucca F | 6.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 11 (11%) | – |
| 21 Matteo Politano M | 6.6 | 45' | – | – | – | 17 (16%) | – |
| 22 Giovanni Di Lorenzo D | 6.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 49 (43%) | 1 |
| 26 Antonio Vergara M | 6.2 | 45' | – | – | 1 | 7 (4%) | 4 |
| 19 Rasmus Højlund F | 6.0 | 75' | – | – | 2 | 9 (8%) | – |
| 17 Mathías Olivera D | — | 6' | – | – | – | – | – |
Bologna
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Lewis Ferguson M | 7.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 64 (60%) | 2 |
| 2 Emil Holm D | 7.2 | 94' | – | – | – | 31 (26%) | 5 |
| 14 Torbjørn Heggem D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 1 |
| 6 Nikola Moro M | 7.0 | 28' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | 1 |
| 33 Juan Miranda D | 7.0 | 94' | – | – | – | 47 (40%) | 3 |
| 10 Federico Bernardeschi M | 6.9 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 26 (22%) | 2 |
| 4 Tommaso Pobega M | 6.9 | 58' | – | – | 2 | 21 (21%) | 1 |
| 22 Jay Enem F | 6.7 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 2 (2%) | – |
| 25 Massimo Pessina G | 6.7 | 94' | – | – | – | 33 (25%) | – |
| 11 Samuel Mbangula F | 6.5 | 12' | – | – | 1 | 7 (7%) | – |
| 21 Jens Odgaard F | 6.5 | 36' | – | – | – | 5 (4%) | – |
| 3 Arthur Theate D | 6.3 | 94' | – | – | – | 48 (45%) | – |
| 91 Roberto Piccoli F | 6.3 | 58' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | 1 |
| 28 Nicolò Cambiaghi M | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | – | 27 (24%) | – |
| 18 Marco Libra D | 6.2 | 36' | – | – | – | 8 (7%) | – |
| 8 Mikel Amondarain M | 5.9 | 66' | – | – | – | 17 (12%) | 2 |
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Expected goals (xG)
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Napoli vs Bologna
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May 2026 | Napoli | 2 - 3 | Bologna |
| 09 Nov 2025 | Bologna | 2 - 0 | Napoli |
| 07 Apr 2025 | Bologna | 1 - 1 | Napoli |
Napoli — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | A Fiorentina | D | 1 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | H Bologna | W | 1 - 0 |
| 09 Sep | H Arsenal | L | 0 - 1 |
| 05 Sep | A Inter | L | 3 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Como | L | 1 - 2 |
Bologna — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | H Torino | D | 1 - 1 |
| 13 Sep | A Napoli | L | 1 - 0 |
| 06 Sep | H Sassuolo | D | 2 - 2 |
| 31 Aug | A Atalanta | L | 1 - 0 |
| 24 Aug | H Lazio | L | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Napoli
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Massimiliano Allegri
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 32 | Vanja Milinković-Savić | G |
| 22 | Giovanni Di Lorenzo | D |
| 13 | Amir Rrahmani | D |
| 16 | Rafa Marín | D |
| 37 | Leonardo Spinazzola | D |
| 6 | Billy Gilmour | M |
| 68 | Stanislav Lobotka | M |
| 21 | Matteo Politano | M |
| 11 | Kevin De Bruyne | M |
| 26 | Antonio Vergara | M |
| 19 | Rasmus Højlund | F |
Substitutes
| 2 | Costantino Favasuli | D |
| 70 | Noa Lang | F |
| 12 | Claudio Pugliese | G |
| 14 | Nikita Contini | G |
| 31 | Sam Beukema | D |
| 5 | Benoît Badiashile | D |
| 17 | Mathías Olivera | D |
| 7 | David Neres | F |
| 20 | Lorenzo Lucca | F |
Bologna
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Domenico Tedesco
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 25 | Massimo Pessina | G |
| 2 | Emil Holm | D |
| 14 | Torbjørn Heggem | D |
| 3 | Arthur Theate | D |
| 33 | Juan Miranda | D |
| 19 | Lewis Ferguson | M |
| 4 | Tommaso Pobega | M |
| 10 | Federico Bernardeschi | M |
| 8 | Mikel Amondarain | M |
| 28 | Nicolò Cambiaghi | M |
| 91 | Roberto Piccoli | F |
Substitutes
| 21 | Jens Odgaard | F |
| 18 | Marco Libra | D |
| 6 | Nikola Moro | M |
| 1 | Łukasz Skorupski | G |
| 82 | Matteo Franceschelli | G |
| 29 | Lorenzo De Silvestri | D |
| 5 | Eivind Helland | D |
| 23 | Abdel Rahim | D |
| 41 | Martin Vitík | D |
| 16 | Nicolò Casale | D |
| 11 | Samuel Mbangula | F |
| 22 | Jay Enem | F |