Parma vs Cagliari Prediction
Parma vs Cagliari prediction: Sportiko gives Parma a 35% chance of winning, Cagliari 33% and the draw 32%. Last updated 23 Aug 2026, 03:00.
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Match Report
Parma and Cagliari played out a tight, evenly contested first half that ended goalless, with little to separate the sides. Zé Pedro picked up an early booking in the tenth minute, and the match remained disciplined if somewhat subdued heading into the break.
The second half brought a flurry of changes around the hour mark, with both sides making multiple substitutions that disrupted the flow of the game. Alessandro Romano broke the deadlock in the 79th minute with a normal goal that proved to be the decisive moment, giving Cagliari the lead they would not relinquish. Further changes followed late on, including the introduction of Daniel Maldini for Parma in the 87th minute, but the hosts could not find an equaliser.
The statistics reflected how closely matched the two teams were, with possession split almost evenly at 51-49 and both sides registering nine total shots and one corner each. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Parma win as the most likely outcome at 35%, a call that did not materialise as Cagliari claimed all three points.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Parma
Match Stats
Parma
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 32 Christian Ordoñez M | 7.2 | 61' | – | – | 2 | 32 (28%) | 5 |
| 76 Simone Lontani F | 7.2 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 22 (18%) | 1 |
| 10 Adrián Bernabé M | 7.0 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 39 (30%) | 1 |
| 16 Mandela Keita F | 7.0 | 61' | – | – | – | 21 (19%) | – |
| 40 Edoardo Corvi G | 7.0 | 61' | – | – | – | 22 (21%) | – |
| 37 Mariano Troilo D | 7.0 | 61' | – | – | – | 64 (58%) | 1 |
| 15 Enrico Delprato D | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 28 (24%) | 2 |
| 14 Emanuele Valeri D | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 16 (11%) | 1 |
| 3 Abdoulaye Ndiaye D | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 46 (41%) | 3 |
| 19 El Bilal Touré F | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 11 (9%) | – |
| 47 Abdou-Salam Konate M | 6.6 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 28 (23%) | 1 |
Cagliari
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Elia Caprile G | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | – | 19 (17%) | – |
| 33 Adam Obert D | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | – | 31 (28%) | 1 |
| 4 Alessandro Romano M | 6.9 | 61' | – | – | – | 38 (34%) | 3 |
| 8 Michel Adopo M | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | – | 28 (24%) | – |
| 14 Alessandro Deiola D | 6.7 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 32 (31%) | 1 |
| 15 Juan Rodríguez D | 6.6 | 61' | – | – | – | 57 (52%) | 1 |
| 2 Zé Pedro D | 6.5 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 27 (22%) | – |
| 10 Jacopo Fazzini M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 30 (26%) | – |
| 70 Daniel Maldini M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 24 (19%) | 1 |
| 31 Paul Mendy F | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 2 | 11 (9%) | 1 |
| 6 Harry Winks M | 6.3 | 61' | – | – | 1 | 42 (39%) | – |
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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D. Maldini
3 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Parma vs Cagliari
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Feb 2026 | Parma | 1 - 1 | Cagliari |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Cagliari | 2 - 0 | Parma |
| 09 Feb 2025 | Cagliari | 2 - 1 | Parma |
Parma — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Genoa | W | 2 - 1 |
| 14 Sep | A Como | L | 2 - 1 |
| 06 Sep | H Monza | D | 1 - 1 |
| 01 Sep | H Cremonese | L | 0 - 2 |
| 29 Aug | A Juventus | L | 2 - 0 |
Cagliari — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep | A Udinese | W | 0 - 1 |
| 12 Sep | A Atalanta | W | 1 - 2 |
| 07 Sep | H Lecce | W | 1 - 0 |
| 03 Sep | H Hellas Verona | L | 1 - 2 |
| 30 Aug | H Inter | L | 0 - 1 |
Serie A Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
AS Roma
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 14 | 3 | +11 | 13 |
| 2 |
Inter
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 15 | 8 | +7 | 13 |
| 3 |
Lazio
|
5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 3 | +5 | 13 |
| 4 |
Cagliari
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 2 | +3 | 12 |
| 5 |
AC Milan
|
5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 11 |
| 6 |
Frosinone
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 4 | +5 | 10 |
| 7 |
Juventus
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 10 |
| 8 |
Como
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 6 | +3 | 10 |
| 9 |
Napoli
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 7 |
| 10 |
Sassuolo
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 7 |
| 11 |
Atalanta
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 6 |
| 12 |
Lecce
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10 | -5 | 6 |
| 13 |
Udinese
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 11 | -3 | 4 |
| 14 |
Torino
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 4 |
| 15 |
Parma
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 7 | -3 | 4 |
| 16 |
Monza
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8 | 12 | -4 | 4 |
| 17 |
Fiorentina
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 12 | -6 | 4 |
| 18 |
Bologna
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2 |
| 19 |
Genoa
|
5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 10 | -7 | 1 |
| 20 |
Venezia
|
5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -9 | 0 |
Cagliari
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Fabio Pisacane
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Elia Caprile | G |
| 2 | Zé Pedro | D |
| 14 | Alessandro Deiola | D |
| 15 | Juan Rodríguez | D |
| 33 | Adam Obert | D |
| 4 | Alessandro Romano | M |
| 6 | Harry Winks | M |
| 8 | Michel Adopo | M |
| 70 | Daniel Maldini | M |
| 10 | Jacopo Fazzini | M |
| 31 | Paul Mendy | F |
Substitutes
| 23 | Boris Radunović | G |
| 12 | Alen Sherri | G |
| 26 | Yerry Mina | D |
| 28 | Gabriele Zappa | D |
| 22 | Raphael Kofler | D |
| 24 | Giuseppe Aurelio | D |
| 21 | Nicolò Cavuoti | M |
| 32 | Ivan Sulev | M |
| 16 | Matteo Prati | M |
| 27 | Joseph Liteta | M |
| 29 | Gennaro Borrelli | F |
| 17 | Mattia Felici | F |
| 18 | Kingstone Mutandwa | F |
| 9 | Kevin Carlos Omoruyi | F |
| 39 | Alieu Fadera | F |
Parma
Formation: 4-3-3
Coach: Carlos Cuesta
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 40 | Edoardo Corvi | G |
| 15 | Enrico Delprato | D |
| 37 | Mariano Troilo | D |
| 3 | Abdoulaye Ndiaye | D |
| 14 | Emanuele Valeri | D |
| 10 | Adrián Bernabé | M |
| 47 | Abdou-Salam Konate | M |
| 32 | Christian Ordoñez | M |
| 16 | Mandela Keita | F |
| 19 | El Bilal Touré | F |
| 76 | Simone Lontani | F |
Substitutes
| 75 | Alessandro Mazzocchi | G |
| 30 | Giovanni Daffara | G |
| 5 | Lautaro Valenti | D |
| 72 | Dominik Drobnic | D |
| 24 | Oliver Sørensen | M |
| 80 | Rachid Kouda | M |
| 8 | Benjamin Cremaschi | M |
| 29 | Franco Carboni | D |
| 11 | Pontus Almqvist | F |
| 9 | David Romero | F |
| 25 | Thomas de Martis | F |
| 7 | Ousmane Diallo | F |
| 23 | Nesta Elphege | F |
| 20 | Matija Frigan | F |