SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07 Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 19

30 Jan 2027, 14:30

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SC Paderborn 07

Away

AI прогноза SC Freiburg to win or draw

76%

18%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07 prediction: Sportiko gives SC Freiburg a 76% chance of winning, SC Paderborn 07 6% and the draw 18%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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73% 73% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 16.8%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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SC Freiburg

DWWWW

SC Paderborn 07

WLLDW

Last 3 meetings SC Freiburg · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

SC Freiburg faces SC Paderborn 07 in a Bundesliga clash that promises to be competitive. Freiburg currently sits in mid-table, showcasing a solid defensive record with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game. In contrast, Paderborn has struggled, often allowing 2.1 goals per match, indicating vulnerabilities at the back. Freiburg's home form has generally been stronger, while Paderborn will need to improve their away performance to secure points. The match will likely hinge on Freiburg's ability to capitalize on Paderborn's defensive frailties.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Paderborn 07 goals →

	0	1	2
0	8	2	1
1	14	8	2
2	17	8	2
3	13	6	2
4	7	3	1
5	3	2

↑ SC Freiburg goals · most likely 2–0 (16.8%)

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Players in form

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

SC Paderborn 07

No scorer data.

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

93% Home (No Draw) 7% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

76% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 6% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	2.3%	0.8%	0.1%	0.0%
1	14.0%	8.3%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
2	16.8%	8.2%	2.0%	0.3%	0.0%
3	12.6%	6.2%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
4	7.1%	3.5%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

26%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	SC Freiburg	Draw	SC Paderborn 07
SC Freiburg	52.6%	2.1%	0.3%
Draw	23.0%	12.1%	2.7%
SC Paderborn 07	2.0%	2.1%	3.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

35%

1.5

65%

63%

2.5

37%

83%

3.5

17%

Home Exact Goals

11%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

65%

1.5

35%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

61%

30%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: SC Freiburg vs SC Paderborn 07

2 SC Freiburg Wins

0 Draws

1 SC Paderborn 07 Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Sep 2026	SC Paderborn 07	0 - 1	SC Freiburg
25 Jan 2020	SC Freiburg	0 - 2	SC Paderborn 07
24 Aug 2019	SC Paderborn 07	1 - 3	SC Freiburg

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SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

SC Paderborn 07 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H 1899 Hoffenheim	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	A Borussia Dortmund	L	3 - 0
05 Sep	H SC Freiburg	L	0 - 1
29 Aug	A FSV Mainz 05	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Phönix Lübeck	W	2 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.