Bayern München vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 16

13 Jan 2027, 19:30

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Bayer Leverkusen

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Bayern München

62%

22%

16%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Bayern München vs Bayer Leverkusen prediction: Sportiko gives Bayern München a 62% chance of winning, Bayer Leverkusen 16% and the draw 22%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:1 · 10%

Both teams to score

61%

Over 2.5 goals

65%

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Bayern München

WWWDW

Bayer Leverkusen

WWDWL

Last 3 meetings Bayern München · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, Bayern München faces Bayer Leverkusen, both teams demonstrating strong attacking capabilities this season. Bayern leads the league in goals scored, with a potent offense featuring top scorers who thrive in high-pressure situations. Leverkusen, however, has shown resilience with a solid defensive record and an ability to counter-attack effectively. This match will likely hinge on Bayern's ability to break down Leverkusen's defense and the latter's effectiveness on the counter. Given their current form, it promises to be an intriguing battle between a dominant offense and a disciplined defense.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bayer Leverkusen goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	3	2	1
1	7	10	5	2
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	7	8	4	2
4	4	4	2	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Bayern München goals · most likely 2–1 (10.0%)

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Players in form

Bayern München

M. Olise 4 gls

H. Kane 3 gls

Bayer Leverkusen

P. Schick 4 gls

Christian Kofane 2 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

22%

Away Win

16%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

62%

Draw

22%

Away Win

16%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

80% Home (No Draw) 20% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

62% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 16% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

14%

1.5

86%

35%

2.5

65%

58%

3.5

42%

77%

4.5

23%

90%

5.5

10%

Both Teams To Score

61% BTTS Yes 39% BTTS No

Exact Goals

21%

23%

19%

13%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	4.6%	2.6%	2.1%	0.7%	0.2%
1	6.8%	9.8%	4.7%	1.7%	0.5%
2	9.2%	10.0%	5.5%	2.0%	0.5%
3	7.1%	7.7%	4.2%	1.5%	0.4%
4	4.1%	4.5%	2.4%	0.9%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

43%

1.5

57%

71%

2.5

29%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

17%

26%

29%

17%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Bayern München	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
Bayern München	42.2%	3.7%	1.3%
Draw	19.0%	12.1%	6.0%
Bayer Leverkusen	3.3%	3.7%	8.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

34%

1.5

66%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

Home Exact Goals

10%

24%

27%

21%

12%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

34%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Bayern München vs Bayer Leverkusen

2 Bayern München Wins

1 Draws

0 Bayer Leverkusen Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
14 Mar 2026	Bayer Leverkusen	1 - 1	Bayern München
01 Nov 2025	Bayern München	3 - 0	Bayer Leverkusen
11 Mar 2025	Bayer Leverkusen	0 - 2	Bayern München

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Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	7 - 0
13 Sep	A SV Elversberg	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A VfL Osnabrück	W	1 - 4

Bayer Leverkusen — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H RB Leipzig	W	2 - 0
16 Sep	H Celje	W	2 - 0
12 Sep	A FC Augsburg	D	2 - 2
05 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	4 - 0
29 Aug	A SV Elversberg	L	3 - 2

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.