FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 13

12 Dec 2026, 14:30

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SC Freiburg

Away

AI прогноза SC Freiburg или равен

32%

31%

37%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg prediction: Sportiko gives FSV Mainz 05 a 32% chance of winning, SC Freiburg 37% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

44%

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FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW

SC Freiburg

DWWWW

Last 3 meetings FSV Mainz 05 · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, FSV Mainz 05 will face SC Freiburg. Mainz has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match this season, which could be exploited by Freiburg's efficient attack, averaging 1.5 goals per game. Conversely, Freiburg's defensive record shows they concede around 1.4 goals per match, indicating potential for Mainz to capitalize on home offensive opportunities. Both teams will be keen to secure crucial points, making this a tightly contested fixture.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

SC Freiburg goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	10	9	7	3	1
1	8	15	8	4	1
2	6	8	5	2	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ FSV Mainz 05 goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

FSV Mainz 05

P. Tietz 4 gls

S. Becker 2 gls

SC Freiburg

Y. Suzuki 4 gls

I. Matanović 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

32%

Draw

31%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

37%

Home Win

32%

Draw

31%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

54% Away (No Draw) 46% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

17% Away Win by 2+ 14% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

37% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

28%

1.5

72%

56%

2.5

44%

77%

3.5

23%

90%

4.5

10%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

18%

28%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.3%	9.4%	7.1%	3.0%	1.0%
1	8.4%	14.7%	8.3%	3.5%	1.1%
2	5.9%	7.6%	4.9%	2.1%	0.7%
3	2.3%	3.0%	1.9%	0.8%	0.3%
4	0.7%	0.9%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

68%

1.5

32%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

34%

22%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

11%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FSV Mainz 05	Draw	SC Freiburg
FSV Mainz 05	18.8%	4.4%	1.9%
Draw	12.6%	19.7%	14.3%
SC Freiburg	1.7%	4.4%	22.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FSV Mainz 05 vs SC Freiburg

0 FSV Mainz 05 Wins

1 Draws

2 SC Freiburg Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	FSV Mainz 05	0 - 1	SC Freiburg
30 Nov 2025	SC Freiburg	4 - 0	FSV Mainz 05
15 Mar 2025	FSV Mainz 05	2 - 2	SC Freiburg

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FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	H Eintracht Frankfurt	L	1 - 3
06 Sep	A Hamburger SV	W	0 - 5
29 Aug	H SC Paderborn 07	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Krieschow	W	0 - 9

SC Freiburg — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Eintracht Frankfurt	D	2 - 2
12 Sep	H Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A SC Paderborn 07	W	0 - 1
30 Aug	H Werder Bremen	W	4 - 1
27 Aug	H Motherwell	W	4 - 1

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.