Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg Прогноза

Bundesliga Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9
FT
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SIGNAL IDUNA PARK, Dortmund
AI прогноза Borussia Dortmund да спечели или да завърши наравно
71%
18%
11%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Borussia Dortmund срещу SV Elversberg: Sportiko дава на Borussia Dortmund 71% вероятност за победа, на SV Elversberg 11% и 18% за равенство. Последна актуализация: 7 Nov 2026, 16:26.

Premium прогнози

Premium
  • Under 4.5 74%
  • Домакинът да вкара 2+ 73%
  • 1st Half Over 0.5 73%
Premium членовете имаха тези прогнози преди началото на мача. Виж Premium анализите

Match Report

Borussia Dortmund edged past SV Elversberg 2–1 in Bundesliga Matchday 9, with the first half ending goalless despite both sides creating chances in a closely contested opening period. Felix Nmecha, who had been booked in the 22nd minute, proved the decisive figure after the break, netting twice in quick succession — first in the 55th minute and again in the 71st — to put Dortmund firmly in control.

Elversberg refused to capitulate, with substitute Noel Futkeu pulling one back in the 81st minute to set up a nervy finish. The visitors had matched Dortmund in several statistical areas, registering seven shots on target to the hosts' six and sharing the corner count at six apiece, though Dortmund's expected goals figure of 1.49 reflected their slightly cleaner execution. A flurry of yellow cards added to the tension, with Fábio Silva and Lasse Günther among those booked.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Dortmund win as most likely at 71%, a call that proved correct. The result keeps Dortmund moving in the right direction, though Elversberg's late reply will serve as a reminder that the hosts were far from comfortable.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Felix Nmecha Yellow Card
22' ▮
Carney Chukwuemeka ⇄ Maximilian Beier
34' ⇄
⇄ 37'
L. Pinckert ⇄ Florian Yves Le Joncour
HT 0–0
Felix Nmecha assist: Fábio Silva
55' ⚽ 1–0
▮ 59'
Yellow Card
Fábio Silva Yellow Card
60' ▮
▮ 65'
Lasse Günther Yellow Card
Konstantinos Karetsas ⇄ Julian Ryerson
67' ⇄
⇄ 67'
Francis Onyeka ⇄ Cole Campbell
Joane Gadou ⇄ Ramy Bensebaini
67' ⇄
Felix Nmecha assist: Maximilian Beier
71' ⚽ 2–0
Waldemar Anton Yellow Card
76' ▮
⇄ 78'
Luca Sirch ⇄ Nicholas Mickelson
⇄ 78'
Maurice Krattenmacher ⇄ Noel Futkeu
⇄ 78'
Lasse Günther ⇄ R. Adam
⚽ 2–1 81'
Noel Futkeu assist: Florian Yves Le Joncour
Fábio Silva ⇄ Ethan Nwaneri
86' ⇄
Jobe Bellingham ⇄ Marcel Sabitzer
86' ⇄
FT 2–1
Borussia Dortmund

Match Stats

SV Elversberg
51% Ball Possession 49%
1.49 Expected Goals (xG) 1.21
19 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Goal 7
7 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 5
10 Shots insidebox 6
8 Shots outsidebox 10
6 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 4
13 Fouls 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
6 Goalkeeper Saves 4
452 Total passes 431
382 Passes accurate 346
10 Free Kicks 12
Borussia Dortmund
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
8 Felix Nmecha M 9.4 90' 2 – 6 37 (29%) 1
1 Gregor Kobel G 7.6 90' – – – 31 (21%) –
4 Nico Schlotterbeck D 7.3 90' – – – 68 (59%) –
25 Joey Veerman M 7.2 90' – – – 64 (60%) 1
24 Daniel Svensson D 7.0 90' – – – 20 (18%) 1
21 Fábio Silva F 7.0 86' – 1 4 22 (19%) –
3 Waldemar Anton D 6.8 90' – – – 59 (57%) 3
5 Ramy Bensebaini D 6.8 23' – – 1 10 (8%) 1
26 Julian Ryerson D 6.7 23' – – – 6 (4%) 2
19 Konstantinos Karetsas F 6.7 67' – – 2 25 (20%) 1
17 Carney Chukwuemeka F 6.6 34' – – – 15 (12%) –
7 Jobe Bellingham M 6.6 86' – – 3 40 (32%) 3
20 Marcel Sabitzer M 6.5 4' – – – 2 1
18 Ethan Nwaneri M 6.5 4' – – – 2 (2%) –
14 Maximilian Beier F 6.4 56' – 1 3 18 (14%) –
22 Joane Gadou D 6.4 67' – – – 33 (27%) 3
SV Elversberg
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
9 Noel Futkeu F 7.3 12' 1 – 1 1 (1%) –
20 Nicolas Kristof G 7.2 90' – – – 48 (41%) –
43 Felix Keidel M 7.1 90' – – 1 30 (24%) 6
3 Florian Yves Le Joncour D 6.9 53' – 1 1 36 (30%) 1
39 Cole Campbell F 6.8 23' – – 2 13 (10%) –
31 Maximilian Rohr D 6.8 90' – – – 69 (63%) 2
25 Lukas Petkov M 6.6 90' – – 5 29 (20%) 1
19 L. Pinckert D 6.5 37' – – – 17 (14%) 1
15 R. Adam F 6.5 12' – – 1 7 (7%) –
26 Luca Sirch D 6.4 78' – – – 28 (21%) 2
21 Lasse Günther D 6.2 78' – – – 49 (38%) 6
8 Łukasz Poręba M 6.2 90' – – 1 44 (38%) –
2 Nicholas Mickelson D 6.1 12' – – – 12 (10%) –
42 David Mokwa F 6.1 90' – – – 10 (7%) –
7 Maurice Krattenmacher M 5.6 78' – – – 25 (16%) 3
40 Francis Onyeka M 5.6 67' – – 4 13 (6%) –
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Confidence High (71%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Borussia Dortmund да спечели или да завърши наравно
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Borussia Dortmund
WWDWW
SV Elversberg
LWLLW

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga match, Borussia Dortmund faces SV Elversberg. Dortmund's attacking prowess, led by key players, has shown an impressive average of 2.5 goals per match this season. In contrast, Elversberg has struggled defensively, conceding 1.8 goals per match. The contrasting form suggests a significant challenge for the visitors, who will need to tighten their defense to compete effectively. Given Dortmund's strong home scoring record, they are favored to secure a decisive victory.

Live insights

84' time check 80% sure

Min 84: Borussia Dortmund leads 2-1. Win probability: 94.9%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 5.1%.

82' Goal 80% sure

Late goal makes it 2-1! Borussia Dortmund win probability: 93.7%. Over 0.5 remaining goals: 27.4%.

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Borussia Dortmund leads 2-0. Win probability: 99.3%. Comeback chance: 0.7%.

72' Goal 85% sure

Borussia Dortmund now leads 2-0 with 99% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 51%.

56' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Borussia Dortmund win: 88.1%. BTTS: 30.4%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
71%
45%
Draw
18%
45%
Away
11%
10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Borussia Dortmund
S. Guirassy 3 gls
SV Elversberg
M. Krattenmacher 4 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Borussia Dortmund vs SV Elversberg

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Borussia Dortmund — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov H SV Elversberg W 2 - 1
04 Nov H Real Betis W 2 - 1
31 Oct A Bayern München D 2 - 2
27 Oct H Werder Bremen W 3 - 2
24 Oct H Eintracht Frankfurt W 1 - 0

SV Elversberg — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Borussia Dortmund L 2 - 1
30 Oct H FSV Mainz 05 W 4 - 1
27 Oct H SV Darmstadt 98 L 0 - 2
24 Oct A RB Leipzig L 4 - 0
17 Oct H FC Augsburg W 4 - 3

Bundesliga Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Bayern München
9 6 3 0 +20 21
2
Borussia Dortmund
9 6 3 0 +9 21
3
RB Leipzig
9 6 0 3 +14 18
4
SC Freiburg
8 5 1 2 +8 16
5
Werder Bremen
9 4 3 2 +2 15
6
Bayer Leverkusen
8 4 1 3 +2 13
7
SV Elversberg
9 4 1 4 -1 13
8
VfB Stuttgart
9 4 0 5 0 12
9
Eintracht Frankfurt
9 3 3 3 -5 12
10
Hamburger SV
9 4 0 5 -10 12
11
FSV Mainz 05
9 3 1 5 -1 10
12
SC Paderborn 07
9 2 4 3 -3 10
13
FC Augsburg
9 2 3 4 0 9
14
1899 Hoffenheim
8 3 0 5 -2 9
15
1. FC Köln
8 2 3 3 -3 9
16
Union Berlin
8 1 4 3 -12 7
17
FC Schalke 04
8 1 3 4 -5 6
18
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9 1 1 7 -13 4

Borussia Dortmund

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: N. Kovač
1 Kobel
24 Svensson
4 Schlotterbeck
3 Anton
22 Gadou
8 Nmecha
25 Veerman
7 Bellingham
17 Chukwuemeka
21 Silva
19 Karetsas

Starting XI

# Player Pos
1 G. Kobel G
22 Kouakou Joane Gadou D
3 W. Anton D
4 N. Schlotterbeck D
24 D. Svensson D
7 J. Bellingham M
25 J. Veerman M
8 F. Nmecha M
19 K. Karetsas F
21 Fábio Silva F
17 C. Chukwuemeka F

Substitutes

40 S. Inacio F
5 R. Bensebaïni D
14 M. Beier F
41 M. Albert F
18 E. Nwaneri M
49 L. Reggiani D
26 J. Ryerson D
33 A. Meyer G
20 M. Sabitzer M

SV Elversberg

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: V. Wagner
20 Kristof
21 Günther
31 Rohr
19 Pinckert
26 Sirch
8 Poręba
43 Keidel
7 Krattenmacher
40 Onyeka
25 Petkov
42 Mokwa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
20 N. Kristof G
26 L. Sirch D
19 L. Pinckert D
31 M. Rohr D
21 L. Günther D
43 F. Keidel M
8 Ł. Poręba M
25 L. Petkov M
40 Francis-Ikechukwu Onyeka M
7 M. Krattenmacher M
42 D. Mokwa F

Substitutes

15 R. Adam F
28 T. Boss G
39 William Cole Campbell F
6 A. Condé M
9 N. Futkeu F
3 F. Le Joncour D
2 N. Mickelson D
17 F. Schmahl M
24 L. Schnellbacher M

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