FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München Prediction

Bundesliga · Regular Season - 9

07 Nov 2026, 14:30

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Bayern München

Away

AI прогноза Bayern München to win or draw

10%

19%

70%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München prediction: Sportiko gives FSV Mainz 05 a 10% chance of winning, Bayern München 70% and the draw 19%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:2 · 11.7%

Both teams to score

53%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW

Bayern München

WWWDW

Last 3 meetings FSV Mainz 05 · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Bundesliga clash, FSV Mainz 05 will face Bayern München. Mainz has struggled against top-tier teams, with a recent record showing a high concession rate in defense, averaging over 2 goals against in their last five matches. Bayern, on the other hand, boasts a potent attack, featuring one of the league's top scorers, and has secured victories with a strong away form. This match will likely hinge on Mainz's ability to contain Bayern's offensive threats while capitalizing on any defensive lapses from the visitors. Expect a dynamic contest, with Bayern favored to continue their pursuit of the title.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bayern München goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	5	9	12	9	6	3
1	2	9	10	8	5	2
2	1	3	4	3	2	1
3		1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ FSV Mainz 05 goals · most likely 0–2 (11.6%)

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Players in form

FSV Mainz 05

P. Tietz 4 gls

S. Becker 2 gls

Bayern München

M. Olise 4 gls

H. Kane 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

70%

Draw

19%

Home Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

70%

Draw

19%

Home Win

10%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

87% Away (No Draw) 13% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

48% Away Win by 2+ 3% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

70% Away Scores More 19% Equal Goals 10% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS Yes 47% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

22%

23%

19%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.0%	8.5%	11.7%	9.5%	5.8%
1	2.2%	9.1%	9.8%	8.0%	4.9%
2	1.4%	3.4%	4.1%	3.3%	2.0%
3	0.4%	0.9%	1.2%	0.9%	0.6%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

18%

0.5

82%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

18%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FSV Mainz 05	Draw	Bayern München
FSV Mainz 05	5.6%	3.0%	2.9%
Draw	4.1%	11.2%	20.6%
Bayern München	0.8%	3.0%	48.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

37%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

31%

1.5

69%

58%

2.5

42%

80%

3.5

20%

Away Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

61%

1.5

39%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: FSV Mainz 05 vs Bayern München

0 FSV Mainz 05 Wins

1 Draws

2 Bayern München Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
25 Apr 2026	FSV Mainz 05	3 - 4	Bayern München
14 Dec 2025	Bayern München	2 - 2	FSV Mainz 05
26 Apr 2025	Bayern München	3 - 0	FSV Mainz 05

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FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	H Eintracht Frankfurt	L	1 - 3
06 Sep	A Hamburger SV	W	0 - 5
29 Aug	H SC Paderborn 07	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Krieschow	W	0 - 9

Bayern München — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Union Berlin	W	7 - 0
13 Sep	A SV Elversberg	W	1 - 2
10 Sep	H Bodo/Glimt	W	5 - 0
05 Sep	A FC Schalke 04	D	0 - 0
02 Sep	A VfL Osnabrück	W	1 - 4

Bundesliga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Borussia Dortmund	4	4	0	0	9	2	+7	12
2	Bayern München	4	3	1	0	14	2	+12	10
3	SC Freiburg	4	3	1	0	12	3	+9	10
4	FC Augsburg	4	2	1	1	11	6	+5	7
5	Bayer Leverkusen	4	2	1	1	10	5	+5	7
6	FSV Mainz 05	4	2	1	1	10	6	+4	7
7	SV Elversberg	4	2	1	1	8	7	+1	7
8	Werder Bremen	4	2	1	1	8	8	0	7
9	RB Leipzig	4	2	0	2	9	5	+4	6
10	Eintracht Frankfurt	4	1	2	1	9	10	-1	5
11	FC Schalke 04	4	1	2	1	3	4	-1	5
12	SC Paderborn 07	4	1	1	2	3	5	-2	4
13	1. FC Köln	4	1	1	2	6	9	-3	4
14	1899 Hoffenheim	4	1	0	3	7	10	-3	3
15	VfB Stuttgart	4	1	0	3	6	9	-3	3
16	Hamburger SV	4	1	0	3	2	13	-11	3
17	Union Berlin	4	0	1	3	4	17	-13	1
18	Borussia Mönchengladbach	4	0	0	4	6	16	-10	0

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.