Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 27

07 Mar 2027, 16:00

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Celta Vigo

Away

AI прогноза Atletico Madrid to win or draw

76%

19%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo prediction: Sportiko gives Atletico Madrid a 76% chance of winning, Celta Vigo 5% and the draw 19%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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76% 70% 72% 71%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 17.9%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

47%

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Atletico Madrid

WWWLL

Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Last 3 meetings Atletico Madrid · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Atletico Madrid faces Celta Vigo in this La Liga clash on March 7, 2027. Atletico has been strong at home, showcasing a solid defensive record, conceding just 0.8 goals per match on average this season. In contrast, Celta Vigo has struggled on the road, often finding it difficult to break down organized defenses. With Atletico's efficient attack, averaging 2.1 goals per match, they will look to exploit Celta's vulnerabilities. This matchup could hinge on Atletico's ability to maintain their defensive solidity while capitalizing on Celta's inconsistencies.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celta Vigo goals →

	0	1	2
0	9	2	1
1	16	8	2
2	18	8	2
3	13	6	1
4	7	3	1
5	3	1

↑ Atletico Madrid goals · most likely 2–0 (17.9%)

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Players in form

Atletico Madrid

Álex Baena 4 gls

J. David 3 gls

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

76%

Draw

19%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

94% Home (No Draw) 6% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

52% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

76% Home Scores More 19% Equal Goals 5% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

27%

1.5

73%

53%

2.5

47%

76%

3.5

24%

90%

4.5

10%

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

18%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.6%	2.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
1	15.7%	8.1%	1.5%	0.2%	0.0%
2	17.9%	7.7%	1.7%	0.2%	0.0%
3	12.9%	5.6%	1.2%	0.2%	0.0%
4	7.0%	3.0%	0.6%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

34%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Atletico Madrid	Draw	Celta Vigo
Atletico Madrid	55.6%	2.0%	0.2%
Draw	20.5%	12.8%	2.3%
Celta Vigo	1.5%	2.0%	3.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

37%

1.5

63%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

70%

1.5

30%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

34%

0.5

66%

71%

1.5

29%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

65%

0.5

35%

93%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

65%

28%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

81%

0.5

19%

98%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Atletico Madrid vs Celta Vigo

0 Atletico Madrid Wins

2 Draws

1 Celta Vigo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
09 May 2026	Atletico Madrid	0 - 1	Celta Vigo
05 Oct 2025	Celta Vigo	1 - 1	Atletico Madrid
15 Feb 2025	Atletico Madrid	1 - 1	Celta Vigo

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Atletico Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Real Madrid	W	2 - 1
16 Sep	H Osasuna	W	4 - 0
13 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	0 - 3
09 Sep	A Liverpool	L	2 - 1
05 Sep	A Athletic Club	L	3 - 0

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.