Rayo Vallecano vs Malaga Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 17

20 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Malaga

Away

AI прогноза Malaga или равен

27%

29%

44%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Rayo Vallecano vs Malaga prediction: Sportiko gives Rayo Vallecano a 27% chance of winning, Malaga 44% and the draw 29%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

54%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Malaga

LLDDL

Last 3 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Rayo Vallecano will face Málaga in a La Liga clash on December 20, 2026. Rayo has shown a strong attacking presence this season, averaging 1.8 goals per match, while Málaga's defense has struggled, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per game. Both teams have had fluctuating form, but Rayo's recent home performances indicate a solid offensive capability. If Rayo can exploit Málaga's defensive vulnerabilities, they may secure a crucial three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

27%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

44%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Malaga goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	9	9	8	4	2
1	7	14	9	5	2	1
2	5	7	5	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Rayo Vallecano goals · most likely 1–1 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello 7 gls

Malaga

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

29%

Home Win

27%

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

44%

Draw

29%

Home Win

27%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

62% Away (No Draw) 38% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

22% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

44% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 27% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

54% BTTS Yes 46% BTTS No

Exact Goals

16%

27%

22%

14%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.9%	9.3%	8.2%	4.1%	1.5%
1	6.6%	13.9%	9.2%	4.6%	1.7%
2	4.6%	6.9%	5.2%	2.6%	1.0%
3	1.7%	2.6%	2.0%	1.0%	0.4%
4	0.5%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

32%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Malaga
Rayo Vallecano	15.6%	4.4%	2.3%
Draw	10.6%	18.1%	15.9%
Malaga	1.6%	4.4%	27.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

37%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

60%

0.5

40%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Malaga

1 Rayo Vallecano Wins

1 Draws

1 Malaga Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
20 Apr 2016	Malaga	1 - 1	Rayo Vallecano
13 Dec 2015	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 2	Malaga
21 Mar 2015	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 0	Malaga

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Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Osasuna	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Barcelona	L	5 - 2

Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.