Real Madrid vs Osasuna Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 16

13 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Osasuna

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Osasuna

19%

26%

55%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Real Madrid vs Osasuna prediction: Sportiko gives Real Madrid a 19% chance of winning, Osasuna 55% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.6%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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Real Madrid

LWWWL

Osasuna

DLLLW

Last 3 meetings Real Madrid · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Real Madrid enters this match against Osasuna with a strong attacking lineup, featuring key players like Vinícius Júnior and Karim Benzema, who have consistently contributed to their goal tally. Defensively, Madrid has shown resilience, averaging only 0.9 goals conceded per match this season. Conversely, Osasuna has struggled against top-tier teams, often conceding more than they score. Their ability to disrupt Madrid’s rhythm will be crucial; however, they must improve their finishing, as they average under 1 goal per match in recent outings. Overall, Real Madrid’s offensive firepower and defensive stability suggest they will be favored to secure a win.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Osasuna goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	10	11	6	3	1
1	5	13	10	6	3	1
2	3	5	5	3	1
3	1	2	1	1
4
5

↑ Real Madrid goals · most likely 1–1 (12.6%)

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Players in form

Real Madrid

Kylian Mbappé 7 gls

J. Bellingham 3 gls

Osasuna

A. Budimir 5 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

26%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

26%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

75% Away (No Draw) 25% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

32% Away Win by 2+ 7% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	10.4%	10.5%	6.2%	2.8%
1	4.9%	12.6%	9.9%	5.8%	2.6%
2	3.0%	5.3%	4.7%	2.7%	1.2%
3	0.9%	1.7%	1.5%	0.9%	0.4%
4	0.2%	0.4%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

26%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Real Madrid	Draw	Osasuna
Real Madrid	11.3%	4.3%	2.7%
Draw	6.9%	16.4%	18.7%
Osasuna	1.0%	3.6%	35.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

48%

1.5

52%

75%

2.5

25%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

75%

1.5

25%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Real Madrid vs Osasuna

1 Real Madrid Wins

1 Draws

1 Osasuna Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
21 Feb 2026	Osasuna	2 - 1	Real Madrid
19 Aug 2025	Real Madrid	1 - 0	Osasuna
15 Feb 2025	Osasuna	1 - 1	Real Madrid

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Real Madrid — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	2 - 1
15 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
12 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	W	4 - 1
08 Sep	H Inter	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Real Betis	L	1 - 0

Osasuna — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Rayo Vallecano	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	A Atletico Madrid	L	4 - 0
12 Sep	H Espanyol	L	0 - 2
06 Sep	A Alaves	L	5 - 2
31 Aug	H Getafe	W	1 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.