Alaves vs Espanyol Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 15

06 Dec 2026, 16:00

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Espanyol

Away

AI прогноза Alaves печели

79%

18%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Alaves vs Espanyol prediction: Sportiko gives Alaves a 79% chance of winning, Espanyol 4% and the draw 18%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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73%

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 20.2%

Both teams to score

24%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Alaves

DLLWW

Espanyol

LLWDL

Last 3 meetings Alaves · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming La Liga clash, Alaves faces Espanyol with both teams striving for vital points. Alaves has shown a solid home record, averaging 1.5 goals per game at home this season, while Espanyol struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per away match. Key players to watch include Alaves' top scorer, who has netted 7 goals this season, and Espanyol's playmaker, who leads the team in assists. This matchup could hinge on Alaves' ability to exploit Espanyol's defensive vulnerabilities while maintaining their own backline's integrity. Expect a competitive encounter, with both teams eager to improve their standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

79%

45%

Draw

18%

45%

Away

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Espanyol goals →

	0	1	2
0	10	2
1	18	7	1
2	20	6	1
3	14	4	1
4	7	2
5	3	1

↑ Alaves goals · most likely 2–0 (20.2%)

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Players in form

Alaves

L. Boyé 4 gls

M. Díaz 3 gls

Espanyol

Roberto Fernández 6 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

79%

Draw

18%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

96% Home (No Draw) 5% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

53% Home Win by 2+ 1% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

79% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 4% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

10%

0.5

90%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

76% BTTS No 24% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

10%

21%

27%

21%

13%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	10.0%	2.1%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%
1	18.5%	6.8%	0.9%	0.1%	0.0%
2	20.2%	6.3%	1.0%	0.1%	0.0%
3	14.2%	4.4%	0.7%	0.1%	0.0%
4	7.4%	2.3%	0.4%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

36%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

61%

1.5

39%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

27%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Alaves	Draw	Espanyol
Alaves	53.7%	1.5%	0.2%
Draw	24.6%	13.3%	1.9%
Espanyol	1.3%	1.6%	2.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

88%

39%

1.5

61%

66%

2.5

34%

86%

3.5

14%

Home Exact Goals

13%

26%

28%

19%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

68%

1.5

32%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

100%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

73%

23%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

87%

0.5

13%

99%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

84%

0.5

16%

99%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Alaves vs Espanyol

2 Alaves Wins

0 Draws

1 Espanyol Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jan 2026	Espanyol	1 - 2	Alaves
02 Nov 2025	Alaves	2 - 1	Espanyol
22 Feb 2025	Alaves	0 - 1	Espanyol

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Alaves — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Athletic Club	D	0 - 0
15 Sep	H Valencia	L	0 - 1
12 Sep	A Racing Santander	L	2 - 1
06 Sep	H Osasuna	W	5 - 2
28 Aug	H Villarreal	W	1 - 0

Espanyol — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Elche	L	1 - 3
15 Sep	A Rayo Vallecano	L	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Osasuna	W	0 - 2
06 Sep	H Sevilla	D	1 - 1
29 Aug	A Real Sociedad	L	2 - 1

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.