Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 11

01 Nov 2026, 16:00

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Celta Vigo

Away

AI прогноза Celta Vigo или равен

32%

36%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo prediction: Sportiko gives Rayo Vallecano a 32% chance of winning, Celta Vigo 36% and the draw 32%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 15.1%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Rayo Vallecano

DWLWL

Celta Vigo

WLDDD

Last 3 meetings Rayo Vallecano · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Rayo Vallecano will face Celta Vigo in a La Liga match on November 1, 2026. Rayo Vallecano has shown a competitive edge at home, often leveraging their attacking style, averaging 1.5 goals per match this season. Celta Vigo, however, has been resilient, with a solid midfield that controls possession, averaging 54% in their last five matches. The outcome may hinge on Rayo's ability to exploit defensive gaps, as Celta has struggled against high-pressing teams, conceding 1.2 goals per match on average. This matchup promises to be tightly contested, with both teams vying for crucial points in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

32%

45%

Draw

32%

45%

Away

36%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Celta Vigo goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	10	7	3	1
1	10	15	8	3	1
2	6	7	4	2
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1
5

↑ Rayo Vallecano goals · most likely 1–1 (15.1%)

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Players in form

Rayo Vallecano

Sergio Camello 7 gls

Celta Vigo

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

32%

Draw

32%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

36%

Home Win

32%

Draw

32%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

53% Away (No Draw) 47% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

16% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

36% Away Scores More 32% Home Scores More 32% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

32%

1.5

68%

61%

2.5

39%

81%

3.5

19%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.1%	10.4%	7.1%	2.8%	0.8%
1	9.7%	15.1%	7.8%	3.0%	0.9%
2	6.3%	7.3%	4.3%	1.7%	0.5%
3	2.3%	2.7%	1.6%	0.6%	0.2%
4	0.6%	0.7%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rayo Vallecano	Draw	Celta Vigo
Rayo Vallecano	18.9%	4.3%	1.7%
Draw	12.9%	21.3%	14.1%
Celta Vigo	1.6%	4.3%	21.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

70%

1.5

30%

90%

2.5

10%

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

31%

36%

21%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

86%

1.5

14%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rayo Vallecano vs Celta Vigo

1 Rayo Vallecano Wins

1 Draws

1 Celta Vigo Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
18 Jan 2026	Celta Vigo	3 - 0	Rayo Vallecano
21 Sep 2025	Rayo Vallecano	1 - 1	Celta Vigo
18 May 2025	Celta Vigo	1 - 2	Rayo Vallecano

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Rayo Vallecano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Osasuna	D	1 - 1
15 Sep	H Espanyol	W	2 - 1
12 Sep	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 1
05 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	3 - 2
31 Aug	A Barcelona	L	5 - 2

Celta Vigo — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Racing Santander	W	5 - 0
16 Sep	A Omonia Nicosia	L	1 - 0
13 Sep	H Malaga	D	1 - 1
07 Sep	A Getafe	D	1 - 1
03 Sep	A Real Sociedad	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.