Malaga vs Real Sociedad Prediction

La Liga · Regular Season - 9

18 Oct 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Real Sociedad

Away

AI прогноза Malaga to win or draw

67%

23%

11%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Malaga vs Real Sociedad prediction: Sportiko gives Malaga a 67% chance of winning, Real Sociedad 11% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.9%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Malaga

LLDDL

Real Sociedad

WLLWD

Last 3 meetings Malaga · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In their upcoming La Liga clash, Malaga will face Real Sociedad, a matchup that typically highlights Sociedad's attacking prowess. Malaga's recent form shows a struggle in converting chances, with a goal conversion rate of just 8% over the last five matches. Conversely, Real Sociedad has been more effective, boasting an average of 1.8 goals per game in their last five outings. Key players to watch include Sociedad's Alexander Isak, who has been pivotal in their offense. This match will be crucial for Malaga as they aim to improve their league standing against a formidable opponent.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Real Sociedad goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	2
1	13	11	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	9	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Malaga goals · most likely 2–0 (13.9%)

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Players in form

Malaga

No scorer data.

Real Sociedad

L. Sučić 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

23%

Away Win

11%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

67%

Draw

23%

Away Win

11%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 11% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

51%

2.5

49%

73%

3.5

27%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

16%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	3.5%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%
1	12.7%	10.7%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
2	13.9%	9.5%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
3	9.3%	6.3%	2.2%	0.5%	0.1%
4	4.7%	3.2%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Malaga	Draw	Real Sociedad
Malaga	47.6%	3.7%	0.9%
Draw	19.0%	14.6%	5.2%
Real Sociedad	1.7%	2.4%	5.0%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

41%

1.5

59%

69%

2.5

31%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

14%

28%

18%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

51%

34%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

66%

0.5

34%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Malaga vs Real Sociedad

2 Malaga Wins

1 Draws

0 Real Sociedad Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
22 Apr 2018	Malaga	2 - 0	Real Sociedad
10 Dec 2017	Real Sociedad	0 - 2	Malaga
14 May 2017	Real Sociedad	2 - 2	Malaga

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Malaga — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Getafe	L	1 - 0
17 Sep	H Villarreal	L	1 - 3
13 Sep	A Celta Vigo	D	1 - 1
06 Sep	H Levante	D	0 - 0
30 Aug	A Real Madrid	L	4 - 0

Real Sociedad — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Valencia	W	2 - 3
17 Sep	H Bournemouth	L	1 - 2
13 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	L	0 - 3
07 Sep	A Elche	W	2 - 3
03 Sep	H Celta Vigo	D	0 - 0

La Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Barcelona	7	7	0	0	31	7	+24	21
2	Atletico Madrid	7	5	1	1	16	7	+9	16
3	Real Betis	7	5	1	1	9	7	+2	16
4	Real Madrid	7	5	0	2	18	8	+10	15
5	Sevilla	7	4	1	2	10	9	+1	13
6	Alaves	7	3	2	2	11	6	+5	11
7	Deportivo La Coruna	7	2	4	1	10	8	+2	10
8	Real Sociedad	7	3	1	3	9	13	-4	10
9	Villarreal	7	2	2	3	13	12	+1	8
10	Athletic Club	6	2	2	2	7	6	+1	8
11	Getafe	7	2	2	3	4	7	-3	8
12	Rayo Vallecano	7	2	2	3	11	16	-5	8
13	Osasuna	7	2	2	3	6	13	-7	8
14	Celta Vigo	7	1	4	2	8	6	+2	7
15	Espanyol	7	2	1	4	10	10	0	7
16	Racing Santander	7	2	1	4	11	21	-10	7
17	Levante	6	1	2	3	8	12	-4	5
18	Elche	7	1	2	4	11	17	-6	5
19	Valencia	7	1	1	5	4	13	-9	4
20	Malaga	7	0	3	4	3	12	-9	3

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.