Arsenal vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 24

06 Feb 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Liverpool

Away

Emirates Stadium, London

AI прогноза Arsenal to win or draw

69%

22%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Arsenal vs Liverpool prediction: Sportiko gives Arsenal a 69% chance of winning, Liverpool 9% and the draw 22%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

2:0 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

49%

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Arsenal

LWWWW

Liverpool

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings Arsenal · 0W 2D 1L

Match summary

Arsenal faces Liverpool in what promises to be a highly competitive Premier League clash. Both teams have shown strong attacking capabilities, with Arsenal averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while Liverpool follows closely at 1.9. Defensively, Arsenal has improved, conceding only 1.1 goals per match compared to Liverpool's 1.4. The match could hinge on midfield control, where both teams excel, and individual performances from key players like Bukayo Saka for Arsenal and Mohamed Salah for Liverpool could be decisive. This matchup will be crucial for both teams as they vie for top-four positions in the league.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

69%

10%

Draw

22%

45%

Away

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Liverpool goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	3	1
1	13	10	3	1
2	15	9	3	1
3	10	6	2
4	5	3	1
5	2	1

↑ Arsenal goals · most likely 2–0 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Arsenal

B. Saka 3 gls

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

22%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

88% Home (No Draw) 12% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

44% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 22% Equal Goals 9% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

25%

1.5

75%

51%

2.5

49%

74%

3.5

26%

88%

4.5

12%

96%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

17%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	3.3%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
1	13.3%	10.3%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
2	14.7%	9.2%	2.9%	0.6%	0.1%
3	9.9%	6.3%	2.0%	0.4%	0.1%
4	5.0%	3.2%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

65%

1.5

35%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

32%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Arsenal	Draw	Liverpool
Arsenal	45.6%	2.7%	0.5%
Draw	22.2%	14.4%	4.1%
Liverpool	2.3%	2.9%	5.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

41%

1.5

59%

68%

2.5

32%

87%

3.5

13%

Home Exact Goals

13%

27%

28%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

97%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

53%

34%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

71%

0.5

29%

95%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Arsenal vs Liverpool

0 Arsenal Wins

2 Draws

1 Liverpool Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
08 Jan 2026	Arsenal	0 - 0	Liverpool
31 Aug 2025	Liverpool	1 - 0	Arsenal
11 May 2025	Liverpool	2 - 2	Arsenal

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Arsenal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Brighton	L	3 - 0
15 Sep	A Ipswich	W	2 - 4
12 Sep	A Sunderland	W	0 - 2
09 Sep	A Napoli	W	0 - 1
06 Sep	H Chelsea	W	2 - 1

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.