Manchester United vs Liverpool Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 22

23 Jan 2027, 15:00

Post on X

Liverpool

Away

Old Trafford, Manchester

AI прогноза Manchester United или равен

41%

26%

33%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Manchester United vs Liverpool prediction: Sportiko gives Manchester United a 41% chance of winning, Liverpool 33% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

65%

Over 2.5 goals

62%

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Manchester United

DLLWD

Liverpool

WWDWW

Last 3 meetings Manchester United · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash between Manchester United and Liverpool, both teams are historically strong rivals, often producing intense matches. Manchester United has shown a solid home record, while Liverpool's attacking prowess, highlighted by a high expected goals (xG) per match, makes them a formidable opponent. Key player form will be crucial; United's defense will need to cope with Liverpool's dynamic front line, which is known for creating high-quality chances. With both sides vying for crucial points, this match promises to be pivotal in the race for European qualification.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

41%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

33%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Liverpool goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	5	5	5	2	1
1	6	12	8	4	2
2	6	9	7	3	1
3	3	5	4	2	1
4	1	2	2	1
5		1	1

↑ Manchester United goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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Players in form

Manchester United

Bruno Fernandes 3 gls

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

33%

Draw

26%

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

41%

Away Win

33%

Draw

26%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Draw or Away

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Winner

55% Home (No Draw) 45% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 16% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Home Scores More 33% Away Scores More 26% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

95%

16%

1.5

84%

38%

2.5

62%

61%

3.5

39%

79%

4.5

21%

91%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS Yes 35% BTTS No

Exact Goals

10%

23%

18%

12%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.5%	4.9%	4.7%	2.4%	0.9%
1	5.6%	11.9%	8.0%	4.0%	1.5%
2	5.9%	8.9%	6.7%	3.4%	1.3%
3	3.3%	5.0%	3.8%	1.9%	0.7%
4	1.4%	2.1%	1.6%	0.8%	0.3%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

19%

27%

28%

16%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Manchester United	Draw	Liverpool
Manchester United	24.9%	4.7%	2.4%
Draw	14.0%	15.0%	11.8%
Liverpool	2.7%	4.7%	19.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

50%

1.5

50%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

31%

27%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

82%

1.5

18%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Manchester United vs Liverpool

2 Manchester United Wins

1 Draws

0 Liverpool Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Manchester United	3 - 2	Liverpool
19 Oct 2025	Liverpool	1 - 2	Manchester United
05 Jan 2025	Liverpool	2 - 2	Manchester United

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Manchester United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fulham	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Brighton	L	2 - 3
13 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 1
10 Sep	H Sabah FA	W	4 - 0
06 Sep	A Everton	D	2 - 2

Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.