Chelsea vs Aston Villa Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 16

19 Dec 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Aston Villa

Away

Stamford Bridge, London

AI прогноза Aston Villa или равен

22%

31%

47%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Chelsea vs Aston Villa prediction: Sportiko gives Chelsea a 22% chance of winning, Aston Villa 47% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

Premium прогнози

Premium

Виждаш безплатния резултат 1X2 — най-прецизните прогнози на ИИ за всички 70+ пазара са Premium.

75% 70%

Виж Premium анализите

Free account

Unlock all of today's AI predictions — free

You've seen today's free previews. Create a free account for the AI call, win probabilities and confidence on every match — plus follow your teams and get the daily digest.

Регистрирай се безплатно

Вече имаш акаунт? Влез

Premium

Отключи пълния AI анализ за Chelsea vs Aston Villa

Всички 70+ вероятностни пазара
AI задълбочен анализ на мача
Value Edge — модел срещу пазар
Pick types you choose

Премини към Premium

At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

38%

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Chelsea

LDWLW

Aston Villa

WWLWD

Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Chelsea hosts Aston Villa in a Premier League clash on December 19, 2026. Chelsea has shown a solid home record, averaging 2.1 goals per match this season, while their defense has conceded only 1.0 goals per game. Aston Villa, on the other hand, has been inconsistent away, with a goal differential of -5 in their last five matches on the road. Key players to watch include Chelsea's attacking duo, who have combined for 15 goals this season, and Villa's talisman who has been their leading scorer. This match could hinge on Chelsea's ability to break down Villa's defense, which has struggled against top-tier opposition.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

22%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

47%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Aston Villa goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	13	13	10	5	2
1	8	14	9	4	1
2	4	5	4	2	1
3	1	2	1
4
5

↑ Chelsea goals · most likely 1–1 (14.3%)

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Players in form

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

Aston Villa

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

Защо тази прогноза? · Premium AI Задълбочен анализ · Premium

You're seeing the free 1X2 result — unlock all 70+ models: goals, both-teams-to-score, the correct-score grid, handicaps, halves & more.

Unlock all models

Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

31%

Home Win

22%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

31%

Home Win

22%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

Premium

Home or Away

Premium

Home or Draw

Premium

Winner

69% Away (No Draw) 31% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

23% Away Win by 2+ 8% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 22% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

13%

0.5

87%

33%

1.5

67%

62%

2.5

38%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

13%

21%

29%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

Premium

2-4 Goals

Premium

1-2 Goals

Premium

2-3 Goals

Premium

3-5 Goals

Premium

4-6 Goals

Premium

Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

Premium

BTTS & Under 3.5

Premium

BTTS & Over 3.5

Premium

Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Away Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Under 2.5

Premium

Home Win & Over 2.5

Premium

Draw & Over 2.5

Premium

Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

Premium

Home/Away & Over 2.5

Premium

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

Premium

Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	12.5%	13.3%	10.2%	4.7%	1.6%
1	7.6%	14.3%	8.7%	4.0%	1.4%
2	3.9%	5.4%	3.7%	1.7%	0.6%
3	1.1%	1.5%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

Premium

1st Half Away Win

Premium

1st Half Home Win

Premium

1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

Premium

1st Half Home or Draw

Premium

1st Half Home or Away

Premium

1h Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

74%

1.5

26%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

Premium

1h Exact Goals

39%

35%

19%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

Premium

2nd Half Away Win

Premium

2nd Half Home Win

Premium

2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

Premium

2nd Half Home or Draw

Premium

2nd Half Home or Away

Premium

2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

Premium

2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chelsea	Draw	Aston Villa
Chelsea	10.6%	3.3%	1.5%
Draw	10.5%	21.1%	17.2%
Aston Villa	1.4%	4.6%	29.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

43%

0.5

57%

79%

1.5

21%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

43%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

60%

1.5

40%

84%

2.5

16%

95%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

25%

35%

24%

11%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

Premium

Away +1 Win

Premium

Home +2 Win

Premium

Home +1 Win

Premium

Away -1 Draw

Premium

Away -1 Win

Premium

Away -2 Draw

Premium

Home -1 Draw

Premium

Away -2 Win

Premium

Home -1 Win

Premium

Home -2 Draw

Premium

Home -2 Win

Premium

Unlock all 70+ probability models

Upgrade to Premium for every market, AI match previews and live in-play edges.

Upgrade Now

Head to Head: Chelsea vs Aston Villa

1 Chelsea Wins

0 Draws

2 Aston Villa Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Mar 2026	Aston Villa	1 - 4	Chelsea
27 Dec 2025	Chelsea	1 - 2	Aston Villa
22 Feb 2025	Aston Villa	2 - 1	Chelsea

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Aston Villa — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Tottenham	W	2 - 3
16 Sep	A Coventry	W	1 - 3
12 Sep	H Nottingham Forest	L	1 - 2
08 Sep	A Club Brugge KV	W	2 - 3
05 Sep	A Hull City	D	0 - 0

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.