Newcastle vs Manchester United Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 13

02 Dec 2026, 20:00

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Manchester United

Away

AI прогноза Manchester United или равен

25%

28%

47%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Newcastle vs Manchester United prediction: Sportiko gives Newcastle a 25% chance of winning, Manchester United 47% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

57%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Newcastle

WLWDW

Manchester United

DLLWD

Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 2W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Newcastle faces Manchester United, both teams vying for crucial points early in December. Newcastle has shown a solid defensive record at home, conceding an average of just one goal per match this season, while their attacking unit has been prolific, averaging 2.2 goals per game. Conversely, Manchester United has struggled with consistency, particularly on the road, with a mixed record of wins and losses. This match could hinge on Newcastle's ability to exploit United's defensive vulnerabilities, especially given their recent form. Expect a competitive battle as both teams aim to strengthen their positions in the league standings.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Manchester United goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	8	9	8	5	2	1
1	5	13	10	5	2	1
2	4	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4		1	1
5

↑ Newcastle goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

Manchester United

Bruno Fernandes 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

28%

Home Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

47%

Draw

28%

Home Win

25%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

65% Away (No Draw) 35% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Away Win by 2+ 10% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

47% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 25% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

85%

4.5

15%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

57% BTTS Yes 43% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

25%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	8.6%	8.4%	4.6%	1.9%
1	5.5%	13.1%	9.6%	5.3%	2.2%
2	4.0%	6.7%	5.5%	3.1%	1.3%
3	1.5%	2.6%	2.1%	1.2%	0.5%
4	0.4%	0.7%	0.6%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Newcastle	Draw	Manchester United
Newcastle	14.4%	4.4%	2.5%
Draw	9.7%	16.7%	16.6%
Manchester United	1.6%	4.4%	29.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

1.5

32%

89%

2.5

11%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

32%

36%

21%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

53%

0.5

47%

87%

1.5

13%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs Manchester United

2 Newcastle Wins

0 Draws

1 Manchester United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
04 Mar 2026	Newcastle	2 - 1	Manchester United
26 Dec 2025	Manchester United	1 - 0	Newcastle
13 Apr 2025	Newcastle	4 - 1	Manchester United

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Manchester United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fulham	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Brighton	L	2 - 3
13 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 1
10 Sep	H Sabah FA	W	4 - 0
06 Sep	A Everton	D	2 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.