Liverpool vs Manchester United Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 11

21 Nov 2026, 15:00

Post on X

Manchester United

Away

Anfield, Liverpool

AI прогноза Liverpool или равен

49%

26%

25%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Liverpool vs Manchester United prediction: Sportiko gives Liverpool a 49% chance of winning, Manchester United 25% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:1 · 11.9%

Both teams to score

62%

Over 2.5 goals

60%

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Liverpool

WWDWW

Manchester United

DLLWD

Last 3 meetings Liverpool · 0W 1D 2L

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash between Liverpool and Manchester United, both teams will be looking to assert their dominance in this historic rivalry. Liverpool, known for their high pressing and attacking prowess, currently ranks among the league's top scorers, averaging 2.5 goals per match this season. Meanwhile, Manchester United has struggled defensively, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match, which could be a critical factor. With both teams aiming for European qualification, the tactical battle in midfield will be pivotal, particularly Liverpool's ability to control possession against United's counter-attacking strategy. This match promises to be a closely contested affair.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

49%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

25%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Manchester United goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	6	4	4	2
1	7	12	7	3	1
2	8	10	6	3	1
3	5	6	4	2	1
4	2	3	2	1
5	1	1	1

↑ Liverpool goals · most likely 1–1 (11.9%)

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Players in form

Liverpool

A. Isak 4 gls

Manchester United

Bruno Fernandes 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

49%

Draw

26%

Away Win

25%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

66% Home (No Draw) 34% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

28% Home Win by 2+ 11% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

49% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 25% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

17%

1.5

83%

40%

2.5

60%

63%

3.5

37%

80%

4.5

20%

92%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

62% BTTS Yes 38% BTTS No

Exact Goals

11%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.8%	4.3%	3.6%	1.6%	0.5%
1	6.8%	11.9%	6.7%	2.9%	0.9%
2	7.6%	9.7%	6.2%	2.7%	0.9%
3	4.7%	6.0%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.2%	2.8%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

26%

0.5

74%

57%

1.5

43%

83%

2.5

17%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

26%

31%

26%

11%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

47%

1.5

53%

75%

2.5

25%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

20%

28%

15%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Liverpool	Draw	Manchester United
Liverpool	30.9%	4.4%	1.8%
Draw	16.5%	14.9%	9.3%
Manchester United	3.0%	4.5%	14.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

73%

2.5

27%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

64%

1.5

36%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

28%

36%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Liverpool vs Manchester United

0 Liverpool Wins

1 Draws

2 Manchester United Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
03 May 2026	Manchester United	3 - 2	Liverpool
19 Oct 2025	Liverpool	1 - 2	Manchester United
05 Jan 2025	Liverpool	2 - 2	Manchester United

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Liverpool — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Bournemouth	W	0 - 1
15 Sep	H Tottenham	W	3 - 1
12 Sep	H Fulham	D	0 - 0
09 Sep	H Atletico Madrid	W	2 - 1
04 Sep	A Ipswich	W	0 - 2

Manchester United — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Fulham	D	1 - 1
16 Sep	H Brighton	L	2 - 3
13 Sep	H Manchester City	L	0 - 1
10 Sep	H Sabah FA	W	4 - 0
06 Sep	A Everton	D	2 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.