Manchester United vs Aston Villa Прогноза
Прогноза за Manchester United срещу Aston Villa: Sportiko дава на Manchester United 44% вероятност за победа, на Aston Villa 30% и 26% за равенство. Последна актуализация: 9 Nov 2026, 21:00.
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Premium- 1st Half Home or Draw 73%
Match Report
Manchester United and Aston Villa served up a breathless eight-goal thriller at Old Trafford that ended all square at 4–4. The match burst into life immediately, with Alysson opening the scoring inside the first minute before Nicolas Jackson equalised just three minutes later. Bruno Fernandes converted a penalty to put United ahead, but Youri Tielemans levelled just before the break to ensure a 2–2 scoreline at half-time.
The second half was equally frantic. John McGinn put Villa ahead from the spot shortly after the restart, only for Leon Goretzka to restore parity at 3–3. With the game seemingly drifting toward a draw, two late goals from Joshua Zirkzee and Patrick Dorgu in stoppage time appeared to have won it for United — though Villa had already secured their own point by that stage, making the final tally 4–4. Our AI model had rated a Manchester United win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that looked well-founded given United's dominance in possession at 56% and their 26 total shots to Villa's 12.
It was a result that will frustrate both sides, with United's xG of 3.63 suggesting they created the better opportunities across a chaotic and compelling contest.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Manchester United
Match Stats
Manchester United
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Youri Tielemans M | 8.2 | 66' | 1 | – | 3 | 59 (53%) | 1 |
| 13 Patrick Dorgu D | 7.9 | 24' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 13 (11%) | 1 |
| 8 Bruno Fernandes M | 7.7 | 90' | 1 | 1 | 6 | 63 (53%) | – |
| 11 Joshua Zirkzee F | 7.4 | 7' | 1 | – | 1 | 4 (2%) | – |
| 37 Kobbie Mainoo M | 6.9 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 71 (65%) | 5 |
| 10 Matheus Cunha M | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | 3 | 34 (28%) | 3 |
| 31 Shea Lacey F | 6.7 | 24' | – | – | – | 9 (8%) | – |
| 3 Noussair Mazraoui D | 6.3 | 90' | – | 1 | 1 | 46 (39%) | 4 |
| 15 Leny Yoro D | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | – | 51 (50%) | 3 |
| 19 Bryan Mbeumo F | 6.3 | 83' | – | – | 3 | 10 (10%) | – |
| 2 Diogo Dalot D | 6.2 | 66' | – | – | 1 | 31 (25%) | 2 |
| 16 Amad Diallo M | 6.1 | 66' | – | – | 3 | 24 (20%) | 2 |
| 1 Senne Lammens G | 6.0 | 90' | – | – | – | 20 (17%) | – |
| 26 Ayden Heaven D | 5.9 | 45' | – | – | – | 28 (27%) | 3 |
| 7 Mason Mount M | 5.8 | 24' | – | – | 3 | 16 (12%) | 1 |
| 5 Harry Maguire D | 5.7 | 45' | – | – | – | 23 (18%) | 1 |
Aston Villa
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nicolas Jackson F | 8.3 | 86' | 1 | 1 | 2 | 21 (16%) | 1 |
| 27 Leon Goretzka M | 7.8 | 78' | 1 | – | 1 | 37 (36%) | – |
| 47 Alysson M | 7.1 | 71' | 1 | – | 3 | 9 (7%) | 1 |
| 1 Zion Suzuki G | 6.7 | 90' | – | – | – | 50 (37%) | – |
| 7 John McGinn M | 6.6 | 71' | 1 | 1 | 1 | 23 (17%) | – |
| 19 Ibrahim Mbaye F | 6.6 | 12' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 39 Brian Madjo F | 6.6 | 4' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 44 Johan Manzambi M | 6.5 | 78' | – | – | 1 | 20 (19%) | 2 |
| 4 Taylor Harwood-Bellis D | 6.4 | 90' | – | – | – | 42 (38%) | 1 |
| 8 Boubacar Kamara M | 6.3 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 36 (28%) | 3 |
| 3 Victor Lindelöf D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | – | 52 (46%) | – |
| 14 Pau Torres D | 6.2 | 90' | – | – | 1 | 64 (54%) | – |
| 22 Ian Maatsen D | 6.1 | 90' | – | – | – | 24 (22%) | 3 |
| 6 Ross Barkley M | 6.0 | 19' | – | – | 2 | 14 (11%) | – |
| 35 João Gomes M | 5.9 | 12' | – | – | – | 5 (5%) | – |
| 53 George Hemmings M | 5.7 | 19' | – | – | – | 6 (6%) | – |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
B. Mbeumo
4 gls
Bruno Fernandes
4 gls
N. Jackson
6 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Manchester United vs Aston Villa
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar 2026 | Manchester United | 3 - 1 | Aston Villa |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 2 - 1 | Manchester United |
| 25 May 2025 | Manchester United | 2 - 0 | Aston Villa |
Manchester United — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | H Aston Villa | D | 4 - 4 |
| 03 Nov | H AS Roma | W | 3 - 2 |
| 31 Oct | A Chelsea | L | 2 - 0 |
| 25 Oct | H Bournemouth | L | 0 - 3 |
| 21 Oct | A Como | L | 4 - 1 |
Aston Villa — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov | A Manchester United | D | 4 - 4 |
| 03 Nov | A Barcelona | L | 3 - 0 |
| 31 Oct | H Fulham | D | 1 - 1 |
| 28 Oct | A Bournemouth | L | 3 - 0 |
| 24 Oct | H Manchester City | W | 2 - 1 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Arsenal
|
10 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | +10 | 27 |
| 2 |
Brighton
|
10 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 26 | 7 | +19 | 22 |
| 3 |
Manchester City
|
10 | 7 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 13 | +8 | 21 |
| 4 |
Liverpool
|
10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 10 | +4 | 18 |
| 5 |
Chelsea
|
10 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 16 | +3 | 16 |
| 6 |
Everton
|
10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 10 | +2 | 16 |
| 7 |
Bournemouth
|
10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 14 | +2 | 15 |
| 8 |
Brentford
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 16 | 11 | +5 | 14 |
| 9 |
Leeds
|
10 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 14 |
| 10 |
Aston Villa
|
10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 14 | 17 | -3 | 13 |
| 11 |
Tottenham
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 12 |
| 12 |
Newcastle
|
10 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 13 | 16 | -3 | 12 |
| 13 |
Hull City
|
10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 11 | 11 | 0 | 11 |
| 14 |
Ipswich
|
10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 15 | 20 | -5 | 11 |
| 15 |
Fulham
|
10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 10 |
| 16 |
Nottingham Forest
|
10 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 13 | -4 | 9 |
| 17 |
Coventry
|
10 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 10 | 19 | -9 | 9 |
| 18 |
Manchester United
|
10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 8 |
| 19 |
Sunderland
|
10 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 17 | -9 | 8 |
| 20 |
Crystal Palace
|
10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 10 | 24 | -14 | 7 |
Manchester United
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: M. Carrick
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | S. Lammens | G |
| 3 | N. Mazraoui | D |
| 15 | L. Yoro | D |
| 5 | H. Maguire | D |
| 2 | Diogo Dalot | D |
| 18 | Y. Tielemans | M |
| 37 | K. Mainoo | M |
| 16 | A. Diallo | M |
| 8 | Bruno Fernandes | M |
| 10 | Matheus Cunha | M |
| 19 | B. Mbeumo | F |
Substitutes
| 38 | J. Fletcher | M |
| 7 | M. Mount | M |
| 11 | J. Zirkzee | F |
| 31 | S. Lacey | F |
| 12 | K. Darlow | G |
| 4 | M. de Ligt | D |
| 26 | A. Heaven | D |
| 13 | P. Dorgu | D |
| 17 | Andrey Santos | M |
Aston Villa
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Unai Emery
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Z. Suzuki | G |
| 4 | T. Harwood-Bellis | D |
| 3 | V. Lindelöf | D |
| 14 | Pau Torres | D |
| 22 | I. Maatsen | D |
| 8 | B. Kamara | M |
| 27 | L. Goretzka | M |
| 47 | Alysson Edward | M |
| 7 | J. McGinn | M |
| 44 | J. Manzambi | M |
| 11 | N. Jackson | F |
Substitutes
| 5 | T. Mings | D |
| 48 | M. Cissé | D |
| 6 | R. Barkley | M |
| 10 | E. Buendía | M |
| 35 | João Gomes | M |
| 19 | I. Mbaye | F |
| 39 | Brian Madjo | F |
| 40 | M. Bizot | G |
| 53 | George Hemmings | M |