Sunderland vs Leeds Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 8

24 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Leeds

Away

Stadium of Light, Sunderland

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Leeds

15%

28%

57%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Sunderland vs Leeds prediction: Sportiko gives Sunderland a 15% chance of winning, Leeds 57% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 14.3%

Both teams to score

42%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Sunderland

LWLWD

Leeds

DWLDD

Last 3 meetings Sunderland · 1W 1D 1L

Match summary

Sunderland will face Leeds in a Premier League clash on October 24, 2026. Sunderland has shown resilience in their recent performances, boasting a solid defensive record with only 1.2 goals conceded per match this season. Leeds, on the other hand, has struggled with consistency, averaging 1.5 goals scored per game but also conceding 1.8. This matchup will likely hinge on Sunderland's ability to contain Leeds' attacking threats while exploiting defensive vulnerabilities. Both teams will look to secure crucial points as they aim for mid-table stability.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Leeds goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	14	13	7	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	3	4	3	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Sunderland goals · most likely 0–1 (14.3%)

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Players in form

Sunderland

B. Brobbey 3 gls

Leeds

D. Calvert-Lewin 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

28%

Home Win

15%

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

57%

Draw

28%

Home Win

15%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

79% Away (No Draw) 21% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

31% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 15% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

58% BTTS No 42% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.4%	14.3%	12.7%	6.8%	2.7%
1	5.6%	12.9%	9.1%	4.9%	1.9%
2	2.6%	4.1%	3.3%	1.8%	0.7%
3	0.6%	1.0%	0.8%	0.4%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Sunderland	Draw	Leeds
Sunderland	8.6%	3.6%	2.1%
Draw	6.6%	18.9%	20.5%
Leeds	0.8%	3.4%	35.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

49%

35%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

72%

0.5

28%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

20%

0.5

80%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

20%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Sunderland vs Leeds

1 Sunderland Wins

1 Draws

1 Leeds Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Sunderland	0 - 1	Leeds
03 Mar 2026	Leeds	0 - 1	Sunderland
28 Dec 2025	Sunderland	1 - 1	Leeds

Sunderland — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Manchester City	L	5 - 3
16 Sep	H AZ Alkmaar	W	1 - 0
12 Sep	H Arsenal	L	0 - 2
08 Sep	H Hull City	W	1 - 0
05 Sep	A Brentford	D	1 - 1

Leeds — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Crystal Palace	D	0 - 0
14 Sep	H Newcastle	W	4 - 1
09 Sep	A Chelsea	L	6 - 3
05 Sep	A Brighton	D	1 - 1
30 Aug	H Brentford	D	1 - 1

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.