Crystal Palace vs Newcastle Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 8

24 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Newcastle

Away

Selhurst Park, London

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Crystal Palace

63%

27%

10%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Crystal Palace vs Newcastle prediction: Sportiko gives Crystal Palace a 63% chance of winning, Newcastle 10% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

1:0 · 18.7%

Both teams to score

32%

Over 2.5 goals

34%

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Crystal Palace

DWLWW

Newcastle

WLWDW

Last 3 meetings Crystal Palace · 1W 0D 2L

Match summary

Crystal Palace faces Newcastle in a Premier League clash on October 24, 2026. Both teams have shown varying forms this season, with Newcastle historically having a stronger attacking record, averaging 1.8 goals per match compared to Crystal Palace's 1.2. Defensively, Palace has struggled, conceding 1.5 goals per game, while Newcastle's defense has been more robust, allowing just 1.1 goals per match. This match will likely hinge on Crystal Palace's ability to contain Newcastle's potent attack while capitalizing on set pieces, where they tend to excel. Expect an intriguing contest that could impact both teams' standings as the season progresses.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

63%

10%

Draw

27%

45%

Away

10%

45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Newcastle goals →

	0	1	2
0	14	5	2
1	19	11	2
2	16	8	2
3	8	4	1
4	3	2
5	1	1

↑ Crystal Palace goals · most likely 1–0 (18.7%)

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Players in form

Crystal Palace

No scorer data.

Newcastle

J. Willock 2 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

27%

Away Win

10%

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

63%

Draw

27%

Away Win

10%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

86% Home (No Draw) 14% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

36% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

63% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

14%

0.5

86%

37%

1.5

63%

66%

2.5

34%

85%

3.5

15%

95%

4.5

99%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

68% BTTS No 32% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

14%

24%

28%

19%

10%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	13.8%	4.9%	1.5%	0.3%	0.0%
1	18.7%	11.1%	2.4%	0.4%	0.1%
2	15.9%	7.8%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
3	8.4%	4.1%	1.0%	0.2%	0.0%
4	3.4%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

75%

1.5

25%

93%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

40%

35%

18%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

1.5

33%

89%

2.5

11%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

33%

35%

22%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Crystal Palace	Draw	Newcastle
Crystal Palace	40.2%	2.7%	0.4%
Draw	22.6%	19.8%	4.8%
Newcastle	1.6%	2.7%	5.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

78%

1.5

22%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

61%

30%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

80%

0.5

20%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Crystal Palace vs Newcastle

1 Crystal Palace Wins

0 Draws

2 Newcastle Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
12 Apr 2026	Crystal Palace	2 - 1	Newcastle
04 Jan 2026	Newcastle	2 - 0	Crystal Palace
16 Apr 2025	Newcastle	5 - 0	Crystal Palace

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Crystal Palace — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Leeds	D	0 - 0
17 Sep	H Lech Poznan	W	4 - 0
12 Sep	H Ipswich	L	2 - 3
08 Sep	H Middlesbrough	W	3 - 0
05 Sep	A Fulham	W	2 - 3

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H Hull City	W	2 - 1
14 Sep	A Leeds	L	4 - 1
08 Sep	A Millwall	W	0 - 1
05 Sep	H Bournemouth	D	2 - 2
29 Aug	A Tottenham	W	0 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.