Coventry vs Newcastle Прогноза

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 6
FT
Post on X
The Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry, West Midlands
AI прогноза Newcastle или равен
29%
27%
44%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Прогноза за Coventry срещу Newcastle: Sportiko дава на Coventry 29% вероятност за победа, на Newcastle 44% и 27% за равенство. Последна актуализация: 12 Oct 2026, 20:53.

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  • 1st Half Draw or Away 76%
  • Домакинът да вкара 73%
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Match Report

Coventry produced a commanding home performance to defeat Newcastle 4–1 in Premier League matchday six, with the result rarely in doubt after an early penalty set the tone. Jack Rudoni converted from the spot in the sixth minute to give Coventry a half-time lead they thoroughly deserved, with the home side dominating possession at 66% and generating 19 total shots across the contest.

Newcastle attempted to respond after the break, and Sven Botman pulled one back in the 70th minute to briefly threaten a comeback, but Coventry's superiority proved too great. Sidiki Cherif had extended the lead just three minutes into the second half, and Ellis Simms added a third in the 81st minute before substitute S. Mfuni wrapped up the scoring in the 86th, completing a convincing victory. The scoreline perhaps flatters Newcastle given the expected goals figures — 1.84 to 1.47 — but Coventry were clinical when it mattered.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Newcastle win as the most likely outcome at 44%, a call that proved well wide of the mark on the day.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Jack Rudoni Penalty
6' ⚽ 1–0
HT 1–0
Sidiki Cherif
48' ⚽ 2–0
⇄ 59'
Lewis Miley ⇄ Amar Dedić
⇄ 59'
Jacob Murphy ⇄ Bazoumana Touré
⇄ 59'
Joe Willock ⇄ Joelinton
Ephron Mason-Clark ⇄ Tatsuhiro Sakamoto
61' ⇄
Milan van Ewijk Yellow Card
66' ▮
⚽ 2–1 70'
Sven Botman assist: Nico González
Caleb Yirenkyi ⇄ Frank Onyeka
78' ⇄
Sidiki Cherif ⇄ Ellis Simms
78' ⇄
⇄ 78'
Yoane Wissa ⇄ William Osula
▮ 81'
Joelinton Yellow Card
Ellis Simms assist: Brandon Thomas-Asante
81' ⚽ 3–1
Jack Rudoni ⇄ Victor Torp
83' ⇄
Matt Grimes ⇄ S. Mfuni
83' ⇄
S. Mfuni assist: Jay Dasilva
86' ⚽ 4–1
⇄ 90'
Bazoumana Touré ⇄ Dan Burn
FT 4–1
Coventry

Match Stats

Newcastle
34% Ball Possession 66%
1.47 Expected Goals (xG) 1.84
9 Total Shots 19
6 Shots on Goal 6
0 Shots off Goal 7
3 Blocked Shots 6
6 Shots insidebox 11
3 Shots outsidebox 8
2 Corner Kicks 6
2 Offsides 5
3 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 1
0 Red Cards 0
4 Goalkeeper Saves 2
261 Total passes 527
185 Passes accurate 452
10 Free Kicks 3
Coventry
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
12 S. Mfuni D 7.6 7' 1 – 2 – –
49 Sidiki Cherif F 7.4 78' 1 – 3 10 (8%) –
9 Ellis Simms F 7.4 12' 1 – 1 1 (1%) –
3 Jay Dasilva D 7.2 90' – 1 – 28 (26%) 3
23 Brandon Thomas-Asante M 7.1 90' – 1 1 17 (10%) 2
5 Jack Rudoni M 6.8 83' 1 – 1 20 (14%) –
19 Carl Rushworth G 6.7 90' – – – 43 (23%) –
4 Bobby Thomas D 6.7 90' – – – 25 (19%) –
8 Caleb Yirenkyi M 6.6 78' – – – 22 (21%) 3
29 Victor Torp M 6.5 7' – – – 1 (1%) –
27 Milan van Ewijk D 6.4 90' – – – 15 (11%) 2
6 Matt Grimes M 6.4 83' – – – 36 (30%) 1
7 Tatsuhiro Sakamoto M 6.3 29' – – – 7 (3%) –
10 Ephron Mason-Clark M 6.2 61' – – – 11 (6%) –
2 Ethan Pinnock D 6.2 90' – – – 21 (12%) 1
16 Frank Onyeka M 6.1 12' – – 1 2 –
Newcastle
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
6 Nico González M 7.7 90' – 1 – 68 (58%) 4
4 Sven Botman D 7.5 90' 1 – 1 73 (63%) 1
11 Harvey Barnes M 6.7 90' – – 3 28 (21%) 2
17 Bazoumana Touré F 6.6 31' – – 2 15 (12%) 2
28 Joe Willock M 6.6 59' – – 5 24 (23%) 1
10 William Osula F 6.4 12' – – 1 3 (3%) –
23 Jacob Murphy M 6.3 59' – – 2 15 (14%) –
67 Lewis Miley D 6.2 59' – – – 38 (34%) 2
12 Malick Thiaw D 6.1 90' – – – 74 (65%) –
20 Matías Fernández-Pardo F 6.1 90' – – 1 26 (20%) –
3 Lewis Hall D 6.1 90' – – 1 66 (60%) 1
9 Yoane Wissa M 6.0 78' – – 2 25 (19%) –
21 Lukáš Horníček G 5.8 90' – – – 25 (24%) –
37 Amar Dedić D 5.8 31' – – 1 19 (16%) –
7 Joelinton M 5.6 31' – – – 23 (17%) 1
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Confidence Low (44%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Newcastle или равен
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Coventry
LWLLW
Newcastle
DLLWL

Match summary

In the upcoming Premier League clash, Coventry faces Newcastle. Coventry has shown resilience this season, with a strong defensive record, averaging just 1.2 goals conceded per match. On the other hand, Newcastle boasts a potent attack, scoring an average of 2 goals per game, supported by their creative midfield. The match will be crucial for both teams as they look to secure points in a competitive league, making it a potentially high-stakes encounter. Key player performances will likely determine the outcome.
Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
29%
10%
Draw
27%
45%
Away
44%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Head to Head: Coventry vs Newcastle

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Coventry — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
06 Nov A Everton L 3 - 1
31 Oct H Sunderland W 3 - 1
24 Oct H Fulham L 0 - 1
19 Oct A Tottenham L 3 - 1
12 Oct H Newcastle W 4 - 1

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
07 Nov A Fulham D 1 - 1
02 Nov H Everton L 0 - 1
29 Oct A Everton L 3 - 1
25 Oct A Crystal Palace W 0 - 2
17 Oct H Aston Villa L 0 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Arsenal
10 9 0 1 +10 27
2
Manchester City
10 7 0 3 +8 21
3
Brighton
9 6 1 2 +17 19
4
Chelsea
9 5 1 3 +4 16
5
Everton
10 4 4 2 +2 16
6
Liverpool
9 4 3 2 +2 15
7
Brentford
9 3 5 1 +7 14
8
Leeds
10 3 5 2 +2 14
9
Bournemouth
9 3 3 3 +1 12
10
Tottenham
10 3 3 4 -1 12
11
Newcastle
10 3 3 4 -3 12
12
Aston Villa
9 3 3 3 -3 12
13
Hull City
10 2 5 3 0 11
14
Ipswich
9 3 2 4 -4 11
15
Fulham
10 2 4 4 -2 10
16
Nottingham Forest
10 2 3 5 -4 9
17
Coventry
10 3 0 7 -9 9
18
Manchester United
9 1 4 4 -5 7
19
Crystal Palace
9 2 1 6 -12 7
20
Sunderland
9 1 2 6 -10 5

Newcastle

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Seong-jae Kim
21 Horníček
3 Hall
4 Botman
12 Thiaw
67 Miley
28 Willock
6 González
11 Barnes
9 Wissa
23 Murphy
20 Fernandez-Pardo

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 L. Horníček G
67 L. Miley D
12 M. Thiaw D
4 S. Botman D
3 L. Hall D
6 Nico González M
28 J. Willock M
23 J. Murphy M
9 Y. Wissa M
11 H. Barnes M
20 M. Fernandez-Pardo F

Substitutes

10 W. Osula F
1 N. Pope G
37 A. Dedić D
5 F. Schär D
33 D. Burn D
8 A. Bamba M
7 Joelinton M
17 B. Touré F
14 Sean Steur M

Coventry

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: F. Lampard
19 Rushworth
3 Dasilva
4 Thomas
2 Pinnock
27 Ewijk
6 Grimes
8 Yirenkyi
10 Mason-Clark
5 Rudoni
23 Thomas-Asante
49 Cherif

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 C. Rushworth G
27 M. van Ewijk D
2 E. Pinnock D
4 B. Thomas D
3 J. Dasilva D
8 Caleb Marfo Yirenkyi M
6 M. Grimes M
23 B. Thomas-Asante M
5 J. Rudoni M
10 E. Mason-Clark M
49 S. Cherif F

Substitutes

38 G. Hamer M
29 V. Torp M
16 F. Onyeka M
7 T. Sakamoto M
22 J. Latibeaudiere D
12 S. Mfuni D
25 D. Bentley G
9 E. Simms F
34 Y. Gboho F

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