Chelsea vs Bournemouth Prediction

Premier League · Regular Season - 6

10 Oct 2026, 14:00

Post on X

Bournemouth

Away

Stamford Bridge, London

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Bournemouth

17%

28%

55%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Chelsea vs Bournemouth prediction: Sportiko gives Chelsea a 17% chance of winning, Bournemouth 55% and the draw 28%. Last updated 31 Aug 2026, 15:57.

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At a glance

Most likely score

0:1 · 13.6%

Both teams to score

44%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Chelsea

LDWLW

Bournemouth

LWDWD

Last 3 meetings Chelsea · 0W 3D 0L

Match summary

Chelsea will face Bournemouth in a Premier League clash on October 10, 2026. Chelsea has shown a strong home record, typically capitalizing on their attacking prowess, with key players contributing to a significant portion of their goals. Bournemouth, while capable of surprises, tends to struggle defensively against top-tier teams, often conceding more than two goals per match in away fixtures against stronger sides. This match could see Chelsea leveraging their offensive strengths to control the game and secure a vital three points.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

17%

45%

Draw

28%

45%

Away

55%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Bournemouth goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	14	12	6	3	1
1	6	13	9	5	2	1
2	3	4	4	2	1
3	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Chelsea goals · most likely 0–1 (13.6%)

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Players in form

Chelsea

João Pedro 3 gls

M. Rogers 3 gls

C. Palmer 2 gls

Bournemouth

M. Tavernier 3 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

28%

Home Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

28%

Home Win

17%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

77% Away (No Draw) 23% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

30% Away Win by 2+ 5% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

55% Away Scores More 28% Equal Goals 17% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS No 44% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.0%	13.6%	12.0%	6.4%	2.5%
1	5.8%	13.1%	9.3%	4.9%	2.0%
2	2.8%	4.5%	3.6%	1.9%	0.8%
3	0.7%	1.2%	0.9%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.1%	0.2%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Chelsea	Draw	Bournemouth
Chelsea	8.1%	3.1%	1.7%
Draw	8.1%	18.9%	19.0%
Bournemouth	1.2%	4.2%	35.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

46%

0.5

54%

82%

1.5

18%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

46%

36%

14%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

74%

0.5

26%

96%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

53%

1.5

47%

79%

2.5

21%

93%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

21%

33%

26%

14%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

42%

0.5

58%

79%

1.5

21%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Chelsea vs Bournemouth

0 Chelsea Wins

3 Draws

0 Bournemouth Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Dec 2025	Chelsea	2 - 2	Bournemouth
06 Dec 2025	Bournemouth	0 - 0	Chelsea
14 Jan 2025	Chelsea	2 - 2	Bournemouth

See all 10 meetings — Premium

Chelsea — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Brentford	L	3 - 0
12 Sep	H Hull City	D	2 - 2
09 Sep	H Leeds	W	6 - 3
06 Sep	A Arsenal	L	2 - 1
30 Aug	H Brighton	W	4 - 3

Bournemouth — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Liverpool	L	0 - 1
17 Sep	A Real Sociedad	W	1 - 2
12 Sep	H Brentford	D	2 - 2
08 Sep	H Lincoln	W	4 - 0
05 Sep	A Newcastle	D	2 - 2

Premier League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Manchester City	5	5	0	0	13	5	+8	15
2	Arsenal	5	4	0	1	8	4	+4	12
3	Brighton	5	3	1	1	16	5	+11	10
4	Brentford	5	2	3	0	10	4	+6	9
5	Leeds	5	2	3	0	7	3	+4	9
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7	4	+3	9
7	Everton	5	2	3	0	6	3	+3	9
8	Hull City	5	2	2	1	6	4	+2	8
9	Newcastle	5	2	2	1	9	9	0	8
10	Chelsea	5	2	1	2	10	12	-2	7
11	Ipswich	5	2	0	3	7	11	-4	6
12	Manchester United	5	1	2	2	8	8	0	5
13	Nottingham Forest	5	1	2	2	4	5	-1	5
14	Sunderland	5	1	1	3	6	10	-4	4
15	Crystal Palace	5	1	1	3	6	11	-5	4
16	Aston Villa	5	1	1	3	4	9	-5	4
17	Bournemouth	5	0	3	2	6	8	-2	3
18	Coventry	5	1	0	4	1	10	-9	3
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5	8	-3	2
20	Tottenham	5	0	2	3	2	8	-6	2

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.