Newcastle vs Hull City Prediction

Premier League Premier League · Regular Season - 5
FT
Post on X
St. James' Park, Newcastle upon Tyne
AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Newcastle
54%
26%
20%
Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Newcastle vs Hull City prediction: Sportiko gives Newcastle a 54% chance of winning, Hull City 20% and the draw 26%. Last updated 19 Sep 2026, 15:59.

Premium прогнози

Premium
  • Домакинът да вкара 75%
  • 2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
  • 1st Half Home or Draw 76%
Premium членовете имаха тези прогнози преди началото на мача. Виж Premium анализите

Timeline

Joe Willock assist: Harvey Barnes
3' 1–0
Lewis Hall assist: Harvey Barnes
7' 2–0
29'
Matt Crooks Yellow Card
39'
Mohamed Belloumi Yellow Card
45'
Matt Crooks ⇄ Tim Iroegbunam
45+2'
Konstantinos Tzolakis Yellow Card
Yoane Wissa Missed Penalty
45+2'
Jacob Murphy Yellow Card
45+3'
HT 2–0
49'
Ryan Giles Yellow Card
63'
Sorba Thomas ⇄ Mohamed-Ali Cho
Sean Steur ⇄ Fabian Schär
66'
2–1 67'
Mohamed-Ali Cho assist: Mohamed Belloumi
Matías Fernández-Pardo ⇄ Bazoumana Touré
74'
78'
Regan Slater ⇄ Lucas Gourna-Douath
78'
John Egan ⇄ Robinio Vaz
83'
Mohamed Belloumi ⇄ J. Gelhardt
Joe Willock ⇄ Aladji Bamba
87'
FT 2–1
Newcastle

Match Stats

Hull City
56% Ball Possession 44%
11 Total Shots 21
5 Shots on Goal 4
4 Shots off Goal 6
2 Blocked Shots 11
9 Shots insidebox 13
2 Shots outsidebox 8
4 Corner Kicks 7
2 Offsides 1
4 Fouls 10
1 Yellow Cards 4
0 Red Cards 0
3 Goalkeeper Saves 3
502 Total passes 366
445 Passes accurate 293
10 Free Kicks 4
Newcastle
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
11 Harvey Barnes M 8.2 90' 2 2 26 (23%)
28 Joe Willock M 8.2 87' 1 2 50 (46%) 1
4 Sven Botman D 7.3 90' 1 73 (67%) 1
3 Lewis Hall D 7.2 90' 1 2 66 (61%) 1
12 Malick Thiaw D 7.0 90' 83 (75%)
67 Lewis Miley D 7.0 90' 66 (63%) 4
21 Lukáš Horníček G 6.7 90' 22 (13%)
14 Sean Steur M 6.7 66' 56 (50%) 2
9 Yoane Wissa F 6.5 90' 1 21 (16%)
5 Fabian Schär D 6.5 24' 7 (7%)
17 Bazoumana Touré F 6.4 16' 1
20 Matías Fernández-Pardo M 6.4 74' 1 11 (8%) 1
8 Aladji Bamba M 6.4 3' 1 (1%) 2
23 Jacob Murphy M 6.2 90' 2 17 (14%) 2
Hull City
Player Rating Min G A Shots Passes Tackles
50 Mohamed-Ali Cho F 7.5 27' 1 1 6 (4%)
19 Konstantinos Tzolakis G 7.1 90' 25 (16%) 1
22 Lucas Herrington D 6.8 90' 1 50 (46%) 1
10 Mohamed Belloumi M 6.8 83' 1 5 30 (24%) 6
11 J. Gelhardt F 6.7 7' 3 8 (6%)
15 John Egan D 6.6 78' 1 20 (18%) 2
47 Robinio Vaz F 6.4 12' 8 (6%)
6 Semi Ajayi D 6.3 90' 1 45 (37%) 2
3 Ryan Giles D 6.3 90' 21 (17%) 1
27 Regan Slater M 6.2 78' 1 26 (22%)
9 Oli McBurnie F 6.2 90' 3 24 (17%)
29 Lucas Gourna-Douath M 6.1 12' 1 10 (8%) 1
25 Matt Crooks M 6.1 46' 13 (12%) 2
42 Tim Iroegbunam M 6.0 44' 2 21 (16%) 2
7 Sorba Thomas M 5.9 63' 2 19 (15%) 1
2 Lewie Coyle D 5.7 90' 40 (29%) 1
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Confidence Medium (54%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ
Труден успех или равенство за Newcastle
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Newcastle
WLWDW
Hull City
LDLDW
Last 3 meetings Newcastle · 2W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this Premier League clash, Newcastle will host Hull City, aiming to leverage their strong attacking form. Newcastle has averaged 2.1 goals per match this season, bolstered by a solid midfield presence, while Hull City struggles defensively, conceding an average of 1.8 goals per match. The key matchup will likely be Newcastle's forward line against Hull's back three, which has shown vulnerabilities against pacey attackers. Set pieces could also be decisive, given Newcastle's height advantage. Overall, Newcastle appears to be the favorites, but Hull could capitalize on any defensive lapses.

Live insights

76' time check 80% sure

Min 76: Newcastle leads 2-1. Win probability: 87.7%. Equalizer or turnaround chance: 12.3%.

69' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 2-1. Newcastle win: 83.9%. BTTS: 100%.

45' half time 65% sure

Half-time: 2-0. Newcastle leads. Win probability: 94.3%. Over 0.5 more goals: 69.6%.

8' Goal 85% sure

Newcastle now leads 2-0 with 89.6% win probability. Over 0.5 more goals: 87.8%.

4' Goal 70% sure

Goal! Score now 1-0. Newcastle win: 72.8%. BTTS: 64.3%.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours
Independent
Home
54%
10%
Draw
26%
45%
Away
20%
45%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

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Players in form

Newcastle
J. Willock 2 gls
Hull City
M. Belloumi 2 gls

AI match tools

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Head to Head: Newcastle vs Hull City

2 Newcastle Wins
1 Draws
0 Hull City Wins
Date Home Score Away
31 Jan 2015 Hull City 0 - 3 Newcastle
20 Sep 2014 Newcastle 2 - 2 Hull City
01 Mar 2014 Hull City 1 - 4 Newcastle
See all 4 meetings — Premium

Newcastle — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep H Hull City W 2 - 1
14 Sep A Leeds L 4 - 1
08 Sep A Millwall W 0 - 1
05 Sep H Bournemouth D 2 - 2
29 Aug A Tottenham W 0 - 2

Hull City — Recent Form

Date Opponent Result Score
19 Sep A Newcastle L 2 - 1
12 Sep A Chelsea D 2 - 2
08 Sep A Sunderland L 1 - 0
05 Sep H Aston Villa D 0 - 0
29 Aug A Coventry W 0 - 1

Premier League Standings

# Team P W D L GD Pts
1
Manchester City
5 5 0 0 +8 15
2
Arsenal
5 4 0 1 +4 12
3
Brighton
5 3 1 1 +11 10
4
Brentford
5 2 3 0 +6 9
5
Leeds
5 2 3 0 +4 9
6
Liverpool
5 2 3 0 +3 9
7
Everton
5 2 3 0 +3 9
8
Hull City
5 2 2 1 +2 8
9
Newcastle
5 2 2 1 0 8
10
Chelsea
5 2 1 2 -2 7
11
Ipswich
5 2 0 3 -4 6
12
Manchester United
5 1 2 2 0 5
13
Nottingham Forest
5 1 2 2 -1 5
14
Sunderland
5 1 1 3 -4 4
15
Crystal Palace
5 1 1 3 -5 4
16
Aston Villa
5 1 1 3 -5 4
17
Bournemouth
5 0 3 2 -2 3
18
Coventry
5 1 0 4 -9 3
19
Fulham
5 0 2 3 -3 2
20
Tottenham
5 0 2 3 -6 2

Newcastle

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Randin Rande
21 Horníček
3 Hall
4 Botman
12 Thiaw
67 Miley
28 Willock
14 Steur
11 Barnes
20 Fernandez-Pardo
23 Murphy
9 Wissa

Starting XI

# Player Pos
21 L. Horníček G
67 L. Miley D
12 M. Thiaw D
4 S. Botman D
3 L. Hall D
14 Sean Steur M
28 J. Willock M
23 J. Murphy M
20 M. Fernandez-Pardo M
11 H. Barnes M
9 Y. Wissa F

Substitutes

76 M. Miley M
17 B. Touré F
8 A. Bamba M
5 F. Schär D
48 Miodrag Pivaš D
1 N. Pope G
49 V. Salia F
44 K. Thompson F
77 M. Mills F

Hull City

Formation: 5-4-1 Coach: S. Jakirović
19 Tzolakis
3 Giles
22 Herrington
15 Egan
6 Ajayi
2 Coyle
7 Thomas
27 Slater
25 Crooks
10 Belloumi
9 McBurnie

Starting XI

# Player Pos
19 K. Tzolakis G
2 L. Coyle D
6 S. Ajayi D
15 J. Egan D
22 L. Herrington D
3 R. Giles D
10 M. Belloumi M
25 M. Crooks M
27 R. Slater M
7 S. Thomas M
9 O. McBurnie F

Substitutes

50 M. Cho F
12 D. Phillips G
17 P. McNair D
11 J. Gelhardt F
14 J. Hjertø-Dahl M
21 E. Stroud M
29 L. Gourna-Douath M
42 T. Iroegbunam M
47 R. Vaz F

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