Fulham vs Chelsea Prediction
Fulham vs Chelsea prediction: Sportiko gives Fulham a 27% chance of winning, Chelsea 46% and the draw 27%. Last updated 24 Aug 2026, 20:55.
Premium прогнози
Premium- Гостите да вкарат 74%
- Под 3.5 гола 74%
- 1st Half Draw or Away 75%
- Домакинът да вкара 71%
- 2nd Half Over 0.5 71%
Match Report
Chelsea edged a lively west London derby 3–2 at Craven Cottage, with the visitors proving more clinical despite Fulham's dominance of possession. The hosts made a blistering start through João Pedro in the opening minute, but Chelsea quickly settled and turned the game around, with Joshua King and Morgan Rogers putting them 2–1 ahead by half-time. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Chelsea win as the most likely outcome at 46%, and that assessment proved correct.
The second half continued at pace, with Cole Palmer extending Chelsea's lead just four minutes after the restart before Gonzalo García pulled one back for Fulham on 54 minutes to set up a tense finale. Chelsea ultimately held firm to secure all three points, despite Fulham enjoying 61% of possession throughout.
Both sides were not short of discipline issues, collecting five yellow cards between them across the ninety minutes. Chelsea's xG of 1.67 edged Fulham's 1.28, suggesting the result was a fair reflection of the visitors' greater cutting edge, even if the hosts created plenty of opportunities of their own.
AI-generated report based on match data.
Timeline
Fulham
Match Stats
Fulham
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Gonzalo García F | 7.2 | 93' | 1 | – | 1 | 25 (21%) | 1 |
| 24 Joshua King M | 7.2 | 93' | 1 | – | 3 | 34 (27%) | 2 |
| 21 Timothy Castagne D | 6.9 | 93' | – | 1 | 1 | 37 (31%) | 1 |
| 14 Oscar Bobb M | 6.9 | 67' | – | – | – | 25 (23%) | 3 |
| 17 Alex Iwobi M | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 86 (79%) | 1 |
| 4 Jorge Cuenca D | 6.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 84 (71%) | 1 |
| 11 Kevin F | 6.9 | 20' | – | – | – | 9 (9%) | 4 |
| 16 Sander Berge M | 6.7 | 73' | – | – | – | 61 (57%) | 1 |
| 9 Rodrigo Muniz F | 6.7 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (2%) | – |
| 30 Ryan Sessegnon M | 6.7 | 20' | – | – | 1 | 6 (4%) | – |
| 19 Shea Charles M | 6.7 | 26' | – | – | – | 23 (21%) | 1 |
| 3 Calvin Bassey D | 6.3 | 93' | – | – | – | 80 (75%) | 1 |
| 33 Antonee Robinson D | 6.2 | 82' | – | – | 1 | 48 (36%) | 3 |
| 8 César Palacios M | 6.0 | 73' | – | – | 1 | 38 (32%) | 2 |
| 1 Bernd Leno G | 5.9 | 93' | – | – | – | 40 (33%) | – |
Chelsea
| Player | Rating | Min | G | A | Shots | Passes | Tackles |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Cole Palmer F | 8.9 | 83' | 1 | 1 | 4 | 32 (28%) | 2 |
| 17 Morgan Rogers F | 8.5 | 82' | 1 | – | 1 | 22 (15%) | 2 |
| 9 João Pedro F | 7.9 | 93' | 1 | 1 | 3 | 21 (16%) | – |
| 5 Maxence Lacroix D | 7.3 | 93' | – | 1 | – | 50 (47%) | 5 |
| 34 Josh Acheampong D | 7.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 48 (38%) | 4 |
| 8 Enzo Fernández M | 6.9 | 28' | – | – | – | 19 (18%) | – |
| 7 Pedro Neto F | 6.9 | 17' | – | – | – | 3 (3%) | 1 |
| 45 Roméo Lavia M | 6.9 | 65' | – | – | 1 | 22 (21%) | 3 |
| 24 Reece James M | 6.6 | 93' | – | – | 1 | 51 (45%) | – |
| 27 Malo Gusto M | 6.5 | 76' | – | – | – | 23 (19%) | 1 |
| 21 J. Hato M | 6.3 | 65' | – | – | – | 22 (18%) | 2 |
| 41 Estêvão F | 6.3 | 10' | – | – | – | 3 (2%) | – |
| 23 Geovany Quenda M | 6.3 | 11' | – | – | – | 4 (3%) | – |
| 29 Josep Chavarría D | 6.2 | 28' | – | – | – | 8 (5%) | – |
| 1 Robert Sánchez G | 6.2 | 93' | – | – | – | 27 (10%) | – |
| 6 Levi Colwill D | 6.0 | 93' | – | – | – | 29 (27%) | 2 |
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At a glance
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Advanced analysis
Expected goals (xG)
How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.
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Most likely scores
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Upgrade NowPlayers in form
No scorer data.
João Pedro
3 gls
M. Rogers
3 gls
C. Palmer
2 gls
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Upgrade NowHead to Head: Fulham vs Chelsea
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2 - 1 | Chelsea |
| 30 Aug 2025 | Chelsea | 2 - 0 | Fulham |
| 20 Apr 2025 | Fulham | 1 - 2 | Chelsea |
Fulham — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep | H Manchester United | D | 1 - 1 |
| 15 Sep | A West Ham | W | 2 - 3 |
| 12 Sep | A Liverpool | D | 0 - 0 |
| 05 Sep | H Crystal Palace | L | 2 - 3 |
| 30 Aug | A Sunderland | L | 1 - 0 |
Chelsea — Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep | A Brentford | L | 3 - 0 |
| 12 Sep | H Hull City | D | 2 - 2 |
| 09 Sep | H Leeds | W | 6 - 3 |
| 06 Sep | A Arsenal | L | 2 - 1 |
| 30 Aug | H Brighton | W | 4 - 3 |
Premier League Standings
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Manchester City
|
5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 15 |
| 2 |
Arsenal
|
5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | +4 | 12 |
| 3 |
Brighton
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 10 |
| 4 |
Brentford
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 9 |
| 5 |
Leeds
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 3 | +4 | 9 |
| 6 |
Liverpool
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | +3 | 9 |
| 7 |
Everton
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 3 | +3 | 9 |
| 8 |
Hull City
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 4 | +2 | 8 |
| 9 |
Newcastle
|
5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 0 | 8 |
| 10 |
Chelsea
|
5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 12 | -2 | 7 |
| 11 |
Ipswich
|
5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 6 |
| 12 |
Manchester United
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 5 |
| 13 |
Nottingham Forest
|
5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 |
Sunderland
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 10 | -4 | 4 |
| 15 |
Crystal Palace
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 11 | -5 | 4 |
| 16 |
Aston Villa
|
5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 4 |
| 17 |
Bournemouth
|
5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
| 18 |
Coventry
|
5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 3 |
| 19 |
Fulham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 8 | -3 | 2 |
| 20 |
Tottenham
|
5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 2 |
Fulham
Formation: 4-2-3-1
Coach: Alvaro Arbeloa
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bernd Leno | G |
| 21 | Timothy Castagne | D |
| 3 | Calvin Bassey | D |
| 4 | Jorge Cuenca | D |
| 33 | Antonee Robinson | D |
| 16 | Sander Berge | M |
| 17 | Alex Iwobi | M |
| 14 | Oscar Bobb | M |
| 24 | Joshua King | M |
| 8 | César Palacios | M |
| 7 | Gonzalo García | F |
Substitutes
| 19 | Shea Charles | M |
| 23 | Benjamin Lecomte | G |
| 2 | Kenny Tete | D |
| 30 | Ryan Sessegnon | M |
| 44 | Luc De Fougerolles | D |
| 32 | Emile Smith Rowe | M |
| 6 | Harrison Reed | M |
| 11 | Kevin | F |
| 9 | Rodrigo Muniz | F |
Chelsea
Formation: 3-4-2-1
Coach: Xabi Alonso
Starting XI
| # | Player | Pos |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Robert Sánchez | G |
| 34 | Josh Acheampong | D |
| 5 | Maxence Lacroix | D |
| 6 | Levi Colwill | D |
| 27 | Malo Gusto | M |
| 24 | Reece James | M |
| 45 | Roméo Lavia | M |
| 21 | Jorrel Hato | M |
| 10 | Cole Palmer | F |
| 17 | Morgan Rogers | F |
| 9 | João Pedro | F |
Substitutes
| 29 | Pep Chavarría | D |
| 8 | Enzo Fernández | M |
| 39 | Mike Penders | G |
| 4 | Valentín Barco | M |
| 41 | Estêvão | F |
| 11 | Jamie Gittens | F |
| 7 | Pedro Neto | F |
| 23 | Geovany Quenda | M |
| 18 | Danny Welbeck | F |