Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepołomice Prediction

I Liga · Regular Season - 2

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Puszcza Niepołomice

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

51%

25%

24%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepołomice prediction: Sportiko gives Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki a 51% chance of winning, Puszcza Niepołomice 24% and the draw 25%. Last updated 2 Aug 2026, 19:27.

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5 71%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%
Под 3.5 гола 70%

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Timeline

Yellow Card

14' ▮

25' ⚽ 1–0

▮ 28'

Yellow Card

HT 1–0

▮ 62'

Yellow Card

65' ⇄

⇄ 65'

▮ 78'

Yellow Card

⇄ 78'

⇄ 79'

Yellow Card

83' ▮

⇄ 83'

88' ⇄

FT 1–0

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Confidence Medium (51%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

Most likely score

2:0 · 14%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

53%

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Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki

WLWLD

Puszcza Niepołomice

LLWWL

Match summary

In the upcoming I Liga match, Pogoń Grodz. Mazowiecki faces Puszcza Niepołomice. Pogoń has shown solid form in recent fixtures, emphasizing a strong defensive record with an average of 1.2 goals conceded per game this season. Conversely, Puszcza has struggled to find the net consistently, averaging only 0.9 goals per match. The matchup will likely hinge on Pogoń's ability to capitalize on their scoring opportunities, while Puszcza must improve their offensive efficiency to secure points. Both teams will look to establish dominance early, making the first goal crucial in determining the outcome.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

51%

45%

Draw

25%

45%

Away

24%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Puszcza Niepołomice goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	7	3	1
1	12	10	3	1
2	14	9	3	1
3	10	7	2	1
4	5	4	1
5	2	2	1

↑ Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki goals · most likely 2–0 (14.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

25%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

51%

Draw

25%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

88% Home (No Draw) 12% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

46% Home Win by 2+ 3% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

70% Home Scores More 21% Equal Goals 10% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

93%

22%

1.5

78%

47%

2.5

53%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

15%

25%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.2%	3.0%	1.4%	0.3%	0.1%
1	11.8%	10.0%	3.0%	0.7%	0.1%
2	14.0%	9.5%	3.2%	0.7%	0.1%
3	10.0%	6.8%	2.3%	0.5%	0.1%
4	5.4%	3.7%	1.2%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

33%

24%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	Draw	Puszcza Niepołomice
Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	49.6%	3.3%	0.8%
Draw	19.7%	13.2%	4.5%
Puszcza Niepołomice	1.9%	2.4%	4.6%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

38%

1.5

62%

65%

2.5

35%

85%

3.5

15%

Home Exact Goals

12%

26%

28%

20%

11%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

73%

1.5

27%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

97%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

51%

34%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

76%

0.5

24%

97%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki vs Puszcza Niepołomice

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H ŁKS Łódź	W	2 - 0
13 Sep	A Unia Skierniewice	L	3 - 2
04 Sep	H Warta Poznań	W	1 - 0
01 Sep	A Podhale Nowy Targ	L	3 - 1
28 Aug	H Nieciecza	D	2 - 2

Puszcza Niepołomice — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	A Warta Poznań	L	3 - 2
11 Sep	H ŁKS Łódź	L	1 - 2
01 Sep	A Wisła Płock II	W	0 - 2
29 Aug	H Podbeskidzie	W	2 - 0
23 Aug	H Unia Skierniewice	L	0 - 1

I Liga Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Pogoń Grod. Mazowiecki	9	5	3	1	15	8	+7	18
2	Nieciecza	9	5	1	3	14	12	+2	16
3	Warta Poznań	9	5	0	4	17	13	+4	15
4	ŁKS Łódź	9	4	3	2	13	9	+4	15
5	Miedz Legnica	9	4	2	3	14	9	+5	14
6	Polonia Warszawa	9	4	2	3	15	12	+3	14
7	Stal Rzeszów	9	4	2	3	10	15	-5	14
8	Lechia Gdansk	9	4	1	4	17	15	+2	13
9	Chrobry Głogów	9	3	3	3	11	8	+3	12
10	Pogoń Siedlce	8	3	3	2	9	7	+2	12
11	Ruch Chorzów	9	3	3	3	9	11	-2	12
12	Arka Gdynia	9	3	2	4	11	11	0	11
13	Unia Skierniewice	9	3	1	5	10	15	-5	10
14	Odra Opole	9	2	3	4	7	9	-2	9
15	Polonia Bytom	9	1	6	2	14	17	-3	9
16	Stal Mielec	9	2	3	4	14	23	-9	9
17	Podbeskidzie	9	0	8	1	12	14	-2	8
18	Puszcza Niepołomice	8	2	0	6	8	12	-4	6

Lineups Not Yet Available

Team lineups are typically announced about one hour before kick-off.