FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel Prediction

Friendlies Clubs · Club Friendlies

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Holstein Kiel

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за FSV Mainz 05

57%

26%

17%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel prediction: Sportiko gives FSV Mainz 05 a 57% chance of winning, Holstein Kiel 17% and the draw 26%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Под 3.5 гола 72%

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Timeline

Phillip Tietz

14' ⚽ 1–0

Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer

30' ⚽ 2–0

HT 2–0

O. Ruoppi ⇄ William Bøving

51' ⇄

Eric Martel ⇄ Lennard Maloney

51' ⇄

Phillip Tietz ⇄ Sheraldo Becker

51' ⇄

⇄ Sota Kawasaki

51' ⇄

Paul Nebel

51' ⇄

Dominik Kohr

66' ⇄

Anthony Caci

66' ⇄

⇄ Andreas Hanche-Olsen

66' ⇄

Danny da Costa

66' ⇄

Ransford Yeboah Königsdörffer

66' ⇄

William Bøving

75' ⚽ 3–0

Robin Zentner

80' ⇄

FT 3–0

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Отключи пълния AI анализ за FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel

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Confidence Medium (57%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за FSV Mainz 05

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.3%

Both teams to score

51%

Over 2.5 goals

50%

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FSV Mainz 05

WLWDW

Holstein Kiel

DLDLW

Last 2 meetings FSV Mainz 05 · 1W 1D 0L

Match summary

In this friendly match, FSV Mainz 05 will face Holstein Kiel, providing both teams an opportunity to test their squads ahead of the new season. Mainz has shown a solid performance in recent seasons, focusing on a balanced attack and resilient defense. Meanwhile, Holstein Kiel will look to leverage their pace on the counter-attack to exploit any gaps in Mainz's defense. With both teams aiming to build momentum, the match should feature tactical adjustments and experimentation as they prepare for competitive fixtures. Expect a competitive contest with potential for attacking play from both sides.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

57%

45%

Draw

26%

45%

Away

17%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Holstein Kiel goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	5	3	1
1	11	12	5	1
2	11	10	4	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ FSV Mainz 05 goals · most likely 1–1 (12.3%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

26%

Away Win

17%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

57%

Draw

26%

Away Win

17%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 26% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

24%

1.5

76%

50%

2.5

50%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS Yes 49% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.2%	4.6%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.8%	12.3%	4.9%	1.4%	0.3%
2	11.1%	9.9%	4.4%	1.3%	0.3%
3	6.8%	6.0%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
4	3.1%	2.7%	1.2%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

34%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	FSV Mainz 05	Draw	Holstein Kiel
FSV Mainz 05	37.0%	3.8%	1.1%
Draw	19.5%	16.1%	6.9%
Holstein Kiel	2.5%	3.8%	9.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

46%

1.5

54%

73%

2.5

27%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

16%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

94%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

41%

37%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

67%

0.5

33%

94%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: FSV Mainz 05 vs Holstein Kiel

1 FSV Mainz 05 Wins

1 Draws

0 Holstein Kiel Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
05 Apr 2025	FSV Mainz 05	1 - 1	Holstein Kiel
24 Nov 2024	Holstein Kiel	0 - 3	FSV Mainz 05

FSV Mainz 05 — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	A Borussia Mönchengladbach	W	3 - 4
12 Sep	H Eintracht Frankfurt	L	1 - 3
06 Sep	A Hamburger SV	W	0 - 5
29 Aug	H SC Paderborn 07	D	0 - 0
23 Aug	A Krieschow	W	0 - 9

Holstein Kiel — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H VfL Osnabrück	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A 1. FC Heidenheim	L	1 - 0
05 Sep	H 1. FC Nürnberg	D	2 - 2
30 Aug	A 1. FC Magdeburg	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	A TSV 1860 München	W	0 - 2

Friendlies Clubs Standings

League standings are not available for this competition.

FSV Mainz 05

Coach: U. Fischer

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
27	R. Zentner	G
19	A. Caci	D
21	D. da Costa	D
3	F. Gruber	M
31	D. Kohr	M
11	R. Konigsdorffer	F
5	E. Martel	M
8	P. Nebel	M
20	O. Ruoppi	M
9	P. Tietz	-
47	R. Nakuzola	-

Substitutes

	M. Kinzig	-
14	W. Boving	-
15	L. Maloney	-
16	S. Bell	-
23	M. Richter	-
	S. Becker	-
24	S. Kawasaki	-
25	A. Hanche-Olsen	-
34	D. Imafidon	-
17	T. Yamazaki	-
	A. Haidara	-

Holstein Kiel

Coach: Tim Walter

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
41	L. Rothenhagen	-
8	G. Balzi	-
9	G. Kvilitaia	-
10	J. Therkelsen	-
11	A. Bernhardsson	-
13	I. Nekic	-
17	F. Alidou	-
26	D. Zec	-
28	J. Meffert	-
32	H. Sekine	-
47	J. Tolkin	-

Substitutes

1	T. Weiner	-
6	M. Ivezic	-
15	K. Davidsen	-
19	P. Harres	-
20	A. Kapralik	-
27	I. Ugoh	-
30	T. Tasdelen	-
33	L. Wiese	-
34	M. Richter Monserrat	-
40	L. Parduzi	-
46	C. Medlin	-