Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Ludogorets

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2 : 2

HT 0 - 1

1st leg 0-2 · Aggregate 2-4

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за Ludogorets

55%

25%

20%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv prediction: Sportiko gives Ludogorets a 55% chance of winning, Hapoel Tel Aviv 20% and the draw 25%. Last updated 30 Jul 2026, 20:04.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 75%
1st Half Over 0.5 72%
Под 3.5 гола 70%

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Timeline

⚽ 0–1 16'

Petar Stanić Yellow Card

22' ▮

▮ 22'

Yellow Card

Son Yellow Card

24' ▮

Idan Nachmias Yellow Card

25' ▮

Kwadwo Duah Missed Penalty

39' ✗

▮ 42'

Yellow Card

▮ 45+2'

Yellow Card

▮ 45+8'

Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Filip Kaloč

46' ⇄

Bernard Tekpetey assist: Petar Stanić

47' ⚽ 1–1

assist: Ivajlo Chochev

54' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 55'

⚽ 2–2 58'

66' ⇄

Kwadwo Duah ⇄ Rwan Cruz

66' ⇄

⇄ 75'

Vinicius Nogueira

75' ⇄

Anton Nedyalkov Yellow Card

76' ▮

⇄ 83'

Petar Stanić

87' ⇄

Rwan Cruz Yellow Card

90+5' ▮

FT 2–2

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за Ludogorets

Most likely score

1:1 · 12.2%

Both teams to score

52%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Ludogorets

WWDDW

Hapoel Tel Aviv

WLWWD

Last 1 meetings Ludogorets · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In the UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Ludogorets faces Hapoel Tel Aviv. Ludogorets has consistently shown strength in European competitions, boasting a solid home record with an average of 2.1 goals per match in their last five home games. Hapoel Tel Aviv, on the other hand, has struggled to find form away from home, with a lower scoring average and defensive vulnerabilities that could be exploited by the Bulgarian side. Key players to watch include Ludogorets' top scorer, who has netted 6 goals in the group stage, and Hapoel's playmaker, who is crucial for their attack. This match could hinge on Ludogorets' ability to capitalize on their attacking prowess.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Hapoel Tel Aviv goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	8	4	3	1
1	10	12	5	2
2	11	10	5	1
3	7	6	3	1
4	3	3	1
5	1	1

↑ Ludogorets goals · most likely 1–1 (12.2%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

25%

Away Win

20%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

55%

Draw

25%

Away Win

20%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

77% Home (No Draw) 23% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

34% Home Win by 2+ 6% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

57% Home Scores More 25% Equal Goals 17% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS Yes 48% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

23%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.6%	4.4%	2.7%	0.8%	0.2%
1	10.2%	12.2%	5.0%	1.6%	0.4%
2	10.8%	10.0%	4.7%	1.4%	0.3%
3	6.7%	6.2%	2.9%	0.9%	0.2%
4	3.1%	2.9%	1.3%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

60%

1.5

40%

85%

2.5

15%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

28%

32%

25%

10%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

25%

0.5

75%

56%

1.5

44%

82%

2.5

18%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

25%

31%

26%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ludogorets	Draw	Hapoel Tel Aviv
Ludogorets	37.9%	3.8%	1.1%
Draw	18.5%	15.6%	6.6%
Hapoel Tel Aviv	2.6%	4.0%	10.1%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

16%

0.5

84%

45%

1.5

55%

72%

2.5

28%

89%

3.5

11%

Home Exact Goals

16%

29%

27%

17%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

41%

0.5

59%

78%

1.5

22%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

39%

0.5

61%

76%

1.5

24%

93%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

39%

37%

17%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

62%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ludogorets vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

0 Ludogorets Wins

0 Draws

1 Hapoel Tel Aviv Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	Hapoel Tel Aviv	2 - 0	Ludogorets

Ludogorets — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
14 Sep	H Septemvri Sofia	W	2 - 1
06 Sep	A Lokomotiv Sofia	W	1 - 2
30 Aug	A Spartak Varna	D	1 - 1
22 Aug	H Slavia Sofia	D	1 - 1
15 Aug	H Botev Plovdiv	W	2 - 0

Hapoel Tel Aviv — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H Hapoel Petah Tikva	W	3 - 0
14 Sep	A Maccabi Tel Aviv	L	4 - 1
07 Sep	H Hapoel Ramat Gan	W	4 - 0
03 Sep	H Beitar Jerusalem	W	3 - 0
30 Aug	A Hapoel Haifa	D	0 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Ludogorets

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: T. Reis

39 Bonmann

27 Nogueira

15 Kurtulus

3 Nedyalkov

17 Son

18 Chochev

14 Stanić

26 Kaloč

7 Salido

9 Duah

37 Tekpetey

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
39	Hendrik Bonmann	G
17	Son	D
3	Anton Nedyalkov	D
15	Edvin Kurtulus	D
27	Vinicius Nogueira	D
26	Filip Kaloč	M
14	Petar Stanić	M
18	Ivajlo Chochev	M
37	Bernard Tekpetey	M
9	Kwadwo Duah	F
7	Alberto Salido	F

Substitutes

20	Aguibou Camara	M
1	Sergio Padt	G
2	Joel Andersson	D
24	Olivier Verdon	D
42	Simeon Shishkov	D
55	Idan Nachmias	D
40	Aleksandar Marinov	M
82	Ivan Yordanov	M
99	Stanislav Ivanov	M
25	Emerson Rodríguez	M
12	Rwan Cruz	F
29	Yves Erick Bile	F

Hapoel Tel Aviv

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Elyaniv Barda

22 Tzur

16 Leidner

4 Chico

5 Mayembo

97 Coco

6 Kraev

98 Falcão

10 Silva

51 Altman

11 Torial

9 Boateng

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
22	Assaf Tzur	G
97	Marcus Coco	D
5	Fernand Mayembo	D
4	Chico	D
16	Doron Leidner	D
98	Falcão	M
6	Andrian Kraev	M
11	Stav Torial	M
51	Omri Altman	F
10	Xande Silva	F
9	Emmanuel Boateng	F

Substitutes

21	Shahar Piven	D
15	Roee Alkokin	M
1	Dor Benyamini	G
33	Yanal Bazdog	G
18	Tal Archel	D
20	Or Israelov	D
92	Ofer Gelbard	D
14	El Yam Kancepolsky	M
8	Yonatan Ferber	M
23	Amit Lemkin	M
44	Daniel Dappa	F
27	Mor Buskila	F