Dukagjini vs FC Lugano Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Dukagjini

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1 : 5

HT 1 - 3

1st leg 0-1 · Aggregate 1-6

FC Lugano

Away

AI прогноза Труден успех или равенство за FC Lugano

19%

26%

55%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Dukagjini vs FC Lugano prediction: Sportiko gives Dukagjini a 19% chance of winning, FC Lugano 55% and the draw 26%. Last updated 29 Jul 2026, 16:24.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Match Report

FC Lugano made light work of Dukagjini in the UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round, running out comfortable 5–1 winners despite the Kosovo side enjoying the majority of possession. Our pre-match AI model rated a Lugano win as the most likely outcome at 55%, and that assessment proved well-founded.

The Swiss side were ruthless in the opening exchanges, with Kevin Behrens striking in the sixth minute before Daniel Dos Santos and Meris Maliqi added further goals in the ninth and tenth minutes respectively. Behrens then grabbed his second just before the break, sending Lugano into half-time with a commanding 3–1 lead, Dukagjini's sole reply coming somewhere in that frantic early spell.

The second half offered little respite for the hosts. An own goal shortly after the restart extended the visitors' advantage, before Behrens completed his hat-trick on 58 minutes to seal an emphatic victory. Dukagjini finished with 63% possession but managed only seven shots on goal, highlighting how efficiently Lugano converted their limited opportunities to advance comfortably in the competition.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 6'

Kevin Behrens

⚽ 0–2 9'

Daniel Dos Santos assist: Mattia Zanotti

Meris Maliqi

10' ⚽ 1–2

⚽ 1–3 36'

Kevin Behrens assist: Antonios Papadopoulos

HT 1–3

46' ⇄

Tun Bardhoku ⇄ Arbër Bytyqi

46' ⇄

⚽ 1–4 51'

Own Goal

Jeudi Stevenson ⇄ Iljasa Zulfiu

56' ⇄

⚽ 1–5 58'

Kevin Behrens assist: Uran Bislimi

⇄ 62'

Lars Lukas Mai ⇄ Damian Kelvin

⇄ 62'

Kevin Behrens ⇄ Elias Pihlström

⇄ 63'

Renato Steffen ⇄ Dereck Moncada

⇄ Kron Thaci

65' ⇄

⇄ Luan

65' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Uran Bislimi ⇄ Gjan Ajdin

⇄ 74'

Daniel Dos Santos ⇄ Beckham Castro

FT 1–5

Dukagjini

Match Stats

FC Lugano

37% Ball Possession 63%

Expected Goals (xG)

9 Total Shots 12

4 Shots on Goal 7

5 Shots off Goal 4

0 Blocked Shots 1

6 Shots insidebox 11

3 Shots outsidebox 1

1 Corner Kicks 5

0 Offsides 2

16 Fouls 15

Yellow Cards

Red Cards

3 Goalkeeper Saves 3

283 Total passes 497

226 Passes accurate 442

80% Passes % 89%

goals_prevented

Dukagjini

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
47 Dienit Isufi F	7.3	65'	–	–	–	14 (14%)	–
33 Luan D	7.0	28'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
98 Meris Maliqi F	6.9	93'	1	–	2	20 (14%)	1
44 Tun Bardhoku D	6.5	45'	–	–	–	17 (15%)	1
23 Iljasa Zulfiu F	6.3	37'	–	–	–	8 (7%)	1
8 Kushtrim Gashi M	6.3	93'	–	–	–	15 (14%)	2
99 Jeudi Stevenson F	6.3	56'	–	–	3	12 (9%)	–
10 Altin Merlaku M	6.2	45'	–	–	1	11 (6%)	2
17 Mergim Pefqeli M	6.2	93'	–	–	2	33 (26%)	1
7 Granit Elezaj F	6.2	48'	–	–	–	8 (6%)	–
9 Kron Thaci F	6.2	28'	–	–	–	2 (1%)	–
77 Vitor Hugo D	5.9	93'	–	–	1	39 (28%)	5
22 Arbër Bytyqi D	5.9	48'	–	–	–	15 (12%)	–
5 Elton Basriu D	5.3	93'	–	–	–	34 (27%)	–
1 Egzon Lekaj G	5.0	93'	–	–	–	24 (18%)	–
14 Egzon Sinani D	4.9	65'	–	–	–	23 (22%)	–

FC Lugano

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
91 Kevin Behrens F	9.3	62'	3	–	3	7 (4%)	–
25 Uran Bislimi M	7.9	71'	–	1	–	60 (53%)	2
27 Daniel Dos Santos M	7.2	75'	1	–	2	28 (25%)	1
8 Anto Grgić M	7.0	93'	–	–	–	71 (65%)	1
6 Antonios Papadopoulos D	6.9	93'	–	1	–	58 (53%)	–
4 Damian Kelvin D	6.9	31'	–	–	–	31 (30%)	1
18 Joel Bichsel D	6.9	93'	–	–	–	59 (56%)	2
16 David von Ballmoos G	6.7	93'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	–
46 Mattia Zanotti M	6.7	93'	–	1	–	28 (23%)	–
23 Gjan Ajdin M	6.6	22'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
24 Elias Pihlström F	6.6	31'	–	–	1	9 (7%)	2
30 Dereck Moncada F	6.6	30'	–	–	1	6 (5%)	1
22 Beckham Castro F	6.5	18'	–	–	1	2 (1%)	–
17 Lars Lukas Mai D	6.3	62'	–	–	–	42 (40%)	–
11 Renato Steffen F	6.3	63'	–	–	1	21 (16%)	2
21 Yanis Cimignani M	6.3	93'	–	–	2	34 (29%)	2

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Confidence Medium (55%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Труден успех или равенство за FC Lugano

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.7%

Both teams to score

45%

Over 2.5 goals

41%

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Dukagjini

LDWDD

FC Lugano

WWDWW

Last 1 meetings Dukagjini · 0W 0D 1L

Match summary

In this UEFA Europa Conference League clash, Dukagjini will face FC Lugano. Dukagjini's recent form shows a mixed bag, with a reliance on their defense, conceding an average of 1.2 goals per match in their last five outings. FC Lugano, on the other hand, has been more consistent offensively, scoring 1.8 goals per game in the same timeframe, bolstered by a strong midfield presence. Key matchups will likely occur in the midfield, where possession will be crucial. Set pieces could also play a pivotal role, as both teams have shown vulnerabilities in defending them.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

FC Lugano goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	13	11	6	2	1
1	6	14	9	5	2	1
2	3	5	4	2	1
3	1	1	1	1
4
5

↑ Dukagjini goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Dukagjini

No scorer data.

FC Lugano

K. Behrens 6 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

26%

Home Win

19%

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

55%

Draw

26%

Home Win

19%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

73% Away (No Draw) 27% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

27% Away Win by 2+ 6% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

52% Away Scores More 29% Equal Goals 19% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

31%

1.5

69%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

21%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

55% BTTS No 45% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

20%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	13.0%	11.0%	5.6%	2.1%
1	6.5%	13.7%	9.2%	4.6%	1.7%
2	3.3%	5.0%	3.8%	1.9%	0.7%
3	0.9%	1.4%	1.1%	0.5%	0.2%
4	0.2%	0.3%	0.2%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

35%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Dukagjini	Draw	FC Lugano
Dukagjini	10.8%	3.9%	2.0%
Draw	8.1%	19.5%	18.7%
FC Lugano	1.0%	3.8%	32.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

95%

2.5

99%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

44%

36%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

22%

0.5

78%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

22%

34%

25%

13%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

50%

0.5

50%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Dukagjini vs FC Lugano

0 Dukagjini Wins

0 Draws

1 FC Lugano Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
23 Jul 2026	FC Lugano	1 - 0	Dukagjini

Dukagjini — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	H Drita	L	1 - 2
14 Sep	A Ballkani	D	0 - 0
10 Sep	H Malisheva	W	2 - 0
29 Aug	A Gjilani	D	2 - 2
15 Aug	A Drenica Skënderaj	D	0 - 0

FC Lugano — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Lausanne	W	0 - 4
16 Sep	H FC ST. Gallen	W	4 - 1
12 Sep	H BSC Young Boys	D	2 - 2
06 Sep	A FC Basel 1893	W	1 - 3
03 Sep	H Servette FC	W	1 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

FC Lugano

Formation: 3-1-4-2 Coach: Mattia Croci-Torti

16 Ballmoos

18 Bichsel

17 Mai

6 Papadopoulos

8 Grgić

21 Cimignani

27 Santos

25 Bislimi

46 Zanotti

11 Steffen

91 Behrens

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	David von Ballmoos	G
6	Antonios Papadopoulos	D
17	Lars Lukas Mai	D
18	Joel Bichsel	D
8	Anto Grgić	M
46	Mattia Zanotti	M
25	Uran Bislimi	M
27	Daniel Dos Santos	M
21	Yanis Cimignani	M
91	Kevin Behrens	F
11	Renato Steffen	F

Substitutes

39	Ahmadou Ndiaye	G
28	Felix Gebhardt	G
3	Hannes Delcroix	D
4	Damian Kelvin	D
7	Ezgjan Alioski	D
14	Ahmed Kendouci	M
22	Beckham Castro	F
23	Gjan Ajdin	M
24	Elias Pihlström	F
30	Dereck Moncada	F
32	Nicolo Puddu	M
33	Christian Raffa	M

Dukagjini

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Armend Dallku

1 Lekaj

44 Bardhoku

14 Sinani

5 Basriu

77 Hugo

10 Merlaku

17 Pefqeli

8 Gashi

47 Isufi

99 Stevenson

98 Maliqi

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Egzon Lekaj	G
77	Vitor Hugo	D
5	Elton Basriu	D
14	Egzon Sinani	D
44	Tun Bardhoku	D
8	Kushtrim Gashi	M
17	Mergim Pefqeli	M
10	Altin Merlaku	M
98	Meris Maliqi	F
99	Jeudi Stevenson	F
47	Dienit Isufi	F

Substitutes

16	Kenan Haxhihamza	G
2	Denis Hyseni	D
3	Melos Zenunaj	D
22	Arbër Bytyqi	D
33	Luan	D
7	Granit Elezaj	F
23	Iljasa Zulfiu	F
27	Valentin Hoti	M
66	Engjell Sylejmani	M
9	Kron Thaci	F
88	Erjon Krasniqi	F