Rīgas FS vs Vestri Prediction

UEFA Europa Conference League · 2nd Qualifying Round

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Vestri

Away

AI прогноза Rīgas FS печели

86%

10%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Rīgas FS vs Vestri prediction: Sportiko gives Rīgas FS a 86% chance of winning, Vestri 4% and the draw 10%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 18:24.

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Home 1H Over 0.5 72%

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Match Report

Rīgas FS produced a dominant display to defeat Vestri 4–1 in their UEFA Europa Conference League second qualifying round tie, with the outcome effectively settled before the break. The Latvian side struck three times in the first half, finding the net in the 18th, 23rd, and 43rd minutes to establish a commanding 3–0 lead at half-time.

The second half brought a flurry of changes from both sides, with multiple substitutions arriving around the hour mark. Rīgas FS extended their advantage with a fourth goal on 63 minutes, before Vestri pulled one back three minutes later to make it 4–1. A yellow card was issued in the 68th minute as the game wound down, with further substitutions made in the 75th minute rounding out a routine evening for the hosts.

Our pre-match AI model had rated a Rīgas FS victory as the most likely outcome at 86%, a call that proved well-founded. The Latvian club will now advance to the next round of qualifying with considerable confidence following this emphatic performance.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

18' ⚽ 1–0

23' ⚽ 2–0

43' ⚽ 3–0

HT 3–0

⇄ 57'

61' ⇄

⚽ 3–1 63'

66' ⚽ 4–1

▮ 68'

Yellow Card

⇄ 75'

75' ⇄

FT 4–1

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Confidence High (86%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Rīgas FS печели

Most likely score

2:0 · 13.3%

Both teams to score

47%

Over 2.5 goals

59%

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Rīgas FS

DWDLW

Vestri

LLWLW

Last 1 meetings Rīgas FS · 0W 1D 0L

Match summary

Rīgas FS will face Vestri in the UEFA Europa Conference League, both teams looking to establish momentum early in the tournament. Rīgas FS has demonstrated strong attacking capabilities, with a goal-per-game average of 1.8 in recent domestic fixtures. Conversely, Vestri's defensive record shows vulnerability, conceding an average of 1.5 goals per match in their last five outings. This matchup will hinge on Rīgas FS's ability to exploit defensive gaps while Vestri must tighten their backline to secure a favorable result.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Vestri goals →

	0	1	2	3
0	6	2	1
1	10	9	3	1
2	13	9	3	1
3	11	8	3	1
4	6	5	2
5	3	2	1

↑ Rīgas FS goals · most likely 2–0 (13.3%)

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

86%

Draw

10%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

86%

Draw

10%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

51% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

73% Home Scores More 18% Equal Goals 8% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

94%

18%

1.5

82%

41%

2.5

59%

64%

3.5

36%

82%

4.5

18%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

53% BTTS No 47% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

23%

18%

11%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

52% Even Total Goals 48% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.6%	2.2%	1.1%	0.3%	0.1%
1	10.0%	8.8%	2.8%	0.7%	0.1%
2	13.3%	9.4%	3.4%	0.8%	0.1%
3	10.7%	7.6%	2.7%	0.6%	0.1%
4	6.5%	4.6%	1.6%	0.4%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

21%

0.5

79%

51%

1.5

49%

78%

2.5

22%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

21%

30%

27%

14%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

54%

1.5

46%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

31%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Rīgas FS	Draw	Vestri
Rīgas FS	56.7%	3.2%	0.7%
Draw	16.7%	11.0%	3.6%
Vestri	1.7%	2.2%	4.2%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

91%

32%

1.5

68%

59%

2.5

41%

80%

3.5

20%

Home Exact Goals

22%

27%

22%

13%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

28%

0.5

72%

63%

1.5

37%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

32%

0.5

68%

69%

1.5

31%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

96%

2.5

99%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

49%

35%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

73%

0.5

27%

96%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

68%

0.5

32%

94%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Rīgas FS vs Vestri

0 Rīgas FS Wins

1 Draws

0 Vestri Wins

Date	Home	Score	Away
30 Jul 2026	Vestri	1 - 1	Rīgas FS

Rīgas FS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
20 Sep	A Auda	D	1 - 1
13 Sep	A BFC Daugavpils	W	1 - 2
07 Sep	H FK Liepaja	D	0 - 0
03 Sep	H Riga	L	2 - 3
30 Aug	A Ogre United	W	0 - 3

Vestri — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
05 Sep	H Throttur Reykjavik	L	0 - 2
29 Aug	A Afturelding	L	2 - 0
22 Aug	H Leiknir R.	W	2 - 0
17 Aug	A Völsungur	L	2 - 0
13 Aug	H IR Reykjavik	W	1 - 0

UEFA Europa Conference League Standings

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mjallby AIF	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
2	Brighton	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
3	Monaco	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
4	FK Jablonec	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
5	Gent	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
6	St. Truiden	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
7	SC Freiburg	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Atalanta	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
9	Ajax	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
10	Twente	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
11	Getafe	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	KuPS	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
13	CSKA Sofia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
14	HNK Hajduk Split	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
15	Pafos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
16	Aarhus	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
17	FC Copenhagen	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	FC Midtjylland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
19	FC Nordsjaelland	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
20	Panathinaikos	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
21	Brann	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
22	SC Braga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
23	Heart Of Midlothian	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
24	FC Lugano	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
25	FK Crvena Zvezda	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
26	FC Thun	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
27	Trabzonspor	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
28	Borac Banja Luka	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
29	Kairat Almaty	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
30	Egnatia Rrogozhinë	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
31	Inter Club d'Escaldes	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
32	Kauno Žalgiris	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
33	Universitatea Craiova	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
34	FC Iberia 1999	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
35	Lincoln Red Imps FC	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
36	Riga	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Rīgas FS

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Viktors Morozs

16 Ņerugals

18 Zelenkovs

43 Lipušček

4 Veips

6 Filipović

81 Rakić

26 Panić

10 Ikaunieks

49 Ķigurs

8 Odisharia

15 Ndjiki

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
16	Jevgēņijs Ņerugals	G
6	Aleksandar Filipović	D
4	Roberts Veips	D
43	Žiga Lipušček	D
18	Dmitrijs Zelenkovs	M
26	Stefan Panić	M
81	Strahinja Rakić	M
8	Lasha Odisharia	M
49	Mārtiņš Ķigurs	M
10	Jānis Ikaunieks	M
15	Rostand Ndjiki	F

Substitutes

1	Rihards Matrevics	G
40	Mareks Muizzemnieks	G
5	Niks Sliede	D
23	Herdi Prenga	D
14	Mamadou Sylla	M
21	Niks Dusalijevs	M
77	Gauthier Mankenda	M
20	Kingsley Emenike	F
22	Darko Lemajić	F

Vestri

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: David Pagou

1 Steinarsson

45 Einarsson

3 Edson

12 Phete

22 Gardarsson

18 Hagbarðsson

7 Stensson

17 Hauksson

27 Mörfelt

19 Duah

77 Fall

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Marvin Darri Steinarsson	G
22	Elmar Atli Gardarsson	D
12	Thibang Phete	D
3	Edson	D
45	Gudmundur Páll Einarsson	D
17	Gunnar Jónas Hauksson	M
7	Jacob Stensson	M
18	Marinó Steinar Hagbarðsson	D
77	Sergine Fall	D
19	Emmanuel Agyeman Duah	M
27	Albin Mörfelt	M

Substitutes

33	Benedikt Jóhann Snædal	G
14	Birkir Eydal	D
15	Guðmundur Arnar Svavarsson	D
4	Fatai Gbadamosi	M
6	Ibrahima Baldé	M
10	Þórður Gunnar Hafþórsson	M
11	Johannes Selven	M
13	Albert Ingi Jóhannsson	M
23	Breki Thór Hermannsson	M