Ivory Coast vs Norway Prediction

World Cup · Round of 32

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Norway

Away

AI прогноза Norway или равен

30%

29%

42%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Ivory Coast vs Norway prediction: Sportiko gives Ivory Coast a 30% chance of winning, Norway 42% and the draw 29%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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Над 1.5 гола 77%
2nd Half Over 0.5 76%
1st Half Draw or Away 76%
Под 3.5 гола 72%
Домакинът да вкара 70%

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Match Report

Norway edged past Ivory Coast 2–1 in this World Cup Round of 32 tie, with the decisive moments arriving in the final quarter of the match. Antonio Nusa broke the deadlock in the 39th minute to give Norway a half-time lead, though he picked up a yellow card moments before the interval. Ivory Coast, who enjoyed 54% possession and created an expected goals tally of 2.02, drew level through Amad Diallo on 74 minutes to set up a tense finale.

The match turned decisively in Norway's favour when Erling Haaland came off the bench and struck the winner in the 86th minute, three minutes after Marcus Pedersen had also been introduced. Norway's threat from set pieces was evident throughout, with the visitors registering 12 corner kicks to Ivory Coast's three. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Norway win as the most likely outcome at 42%, a call that proved correct.

Despite the encouraging xG figures, Ivory Coast's late attacking changes — including Nicolas Pépé in the 87th minute — could not produce an equaliser, and Norway progress to the next round.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

⚽ 0–1 39'

Antonio Nusa assist: Martin Ødegaard

▮ 45+1'

Antonio Nusa Yellow Card

HT 0–1

Christ Inao Oulaï ⇄ Amad Diallo

60' ⇄

Ange-Yoan Bonny ⇄ Elye Wahi

60' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Alexander Sørloth ⇄ Oscar Bobb

⇄ 71'

Antonio Nusa ⇄ Andreas Schjelderup

Amad Diallo assist: Nicolas Pépé

74' ⚽ 1–1

⇄ 83'

Marcus Pedersen ⇄ Fredrik Aursnes

⚽ 1–2 86'

Erling Haaland assist: Patrick Berg

Nicolas Pépé ⇄ Oumar Diakité

87' ⇄

Yan Diomande ⇄ Evann Guessand

90+3' ⇄

Ghislain Konan ⇄ Bazoumana Touré

90+3' ⇄

FT 1–2

Ivory Coast

Match Stats

Norway

46% Ball Possession 54%

1.11 Expected Goals (xG) 2.02

12 Total Shots 9

4 Shots on Goal 4

8 Shots off Goal 2

1 Blocked Shots 3

9 Shots insidebox 8

3 Shots outsidebox 1

12 Corner Kicks 3

2 Offsides 2

6 Fouls 6

0 Yellow Cards 1

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 3

390 Total passes 471

332 Passes accurate 413

85% Passes % 88%

0.21 goals_prevented 0.21

Ivory Coast

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
15 Amad Diallo F	9.2	34'	1	–	1	17 (15%)	–
18 Ibrahim Sangaré M	7.3	94'	–	–	1	54 (47%)	3
11 Yan Diomande M	7.2	93'	–	–	1	34 (33%)	3
20 Emmanuel Agbadou D	7.0	94'	–	–	3	42 (33%)	3
1 Yahia Fofana G	6.9	94'	–	–	–	10 (7%)	–
19 Nicolas Pépé M	6.9	87'	–	1	2	31 (24%)	1
7 Odilon Kossounou D	6.9	94'	–	–	–	39 (36%)	3
26 Christ Inao Oulaï M	6.9	60'	–	–	–	35 (31%)	1
17 Guéla Doué D	6.6	94'	–	–	1	28 (24%)	4
3 Ghislain Konan D	6.5	93'	–	–	2	39 (30%)	2
8 Franck Kessié M	6.5	94'	–	–	1	46 (39%)	1
12 Elye Wahi F	6.3	34'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–
9 Ange-Yoan Bonny F	6.2	60'	–	–	–	9 (7%)	1
24 Bazoumana Touré F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–
22 Evann Guessand F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–
14 Oumar Diakité F	—	7'	–	–	–	3 (3%)	–

Norway

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Patrick Berg M	7.9	94'	–	1	–	32 (29%)	3
1 Ørjan Nyland G	7.5	94'	–	–	–	30 (24%)	–
3 Kristoffer Ajer D	7.5	94'	–	–	–	54 (53%)	2
10 Martin Ødegaard M	7.5	94'	–	1	–	66 (58%)	3
9 Erling Haaland F	7.5	94'	1	–	2	10 (8%)	–
20 Antonio Nusa F	7.2	71'	1	–	1	21 (16%)	2
17 Torbjørn Heggem D	6.9	94'	–	–	1	53 (52%)	1
7 Alexander Sørloth F	6.9	71'	–	–	1	24 (16%)	1
8 Sander Berge M	6.7	94'	–	–	–	78 (71%)	4
14 Fredrik Aursnes M	6.6	11'	–	–	–	6 (5%)	–
22 Oscar Bobb M	6.6	23'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	1
21 Andreas Schjelderup F	6.5	23'	–	–	1	15 (13%)	–
16 Marcus Pedersen D	6.2	83'	–	–	–	29 (24%)	–
5 David Møller Wolfe D	6.0	94'	–	–	–	43 (35%)	1

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Confidence Low (42%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Norway или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.8%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

51%

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Ivory Coast

LWLW

Norway

LWWLW

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match, Ivory Coast faces Norway in a neutral venue setting. Ivory Coast boasts a strong attacking line, highlighted by their recent goal-scoring form, averaging 2.1 goals per match in qualifying rounds. Norway, led by their prolific striker Erling Haaland, has shown resilience and a solid defensive structure, conceding only 0.8 goals per game. Both teams will aim to control midfield, which could be pivotal in determining the match outcome. The clash promises to be a tactical battle, with key players on both sides looking to make an impact.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

30%

45%

Draw

29%

45%

Away

42%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Norway goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	8	7	4	1
1	7	14	9	5	2
2	5	7	6	3	1
3	2	3	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Ivory Coast goals · most likely 1–1 (13.7%)

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Players in form

Ivory Coast

No scorer data.

Norway

E. Haaland 7 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

42%

Home Win

30%

Draw

29%

Double Chance

Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Away Win by 2+ 13% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

42% Away Scores More 30% Home Scores More 29% Equal Goals

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

23%

1.5

77%

49%

2.5

51%

72%

3.5

28%

87%

4.5

13%

95%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

15%

26%

22%

15%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	8.3%	8.4%	7.4%	3.7%	1.4%
1	6.6%	13.8%	9.1%	4.5%	1.7%
2	5.0%	7.4%	5.5%	2.8%	1.0%
3	2.0%	3.0%	2.3%	1.1%	0.4%
4	0.6%	0.9%	0.7%	0.3%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

31%

0.5

69%

64%

1.5

36%

88%

2.5

12%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

31%

33%

23%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

24%

0.5

76%

55%

1.5

45%

81%

2.5

19%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

24%

30%

27%

12%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Ivory Coast	Draw	Norway
Ivory Coast	17.3%	4.5%	2.3%
Draw	11.4%	17.7%	15.2%
Norway	1.8%	4.5%	25.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

66%

1.5

34%

88%

2.5

12%

97%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

30%

36%

22%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

89%

1.5

11%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

56%

1.5

44%

81%

2.5

19%

94%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

23%

34%

25%

12%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

51%

0.5

49%

85%

1.5

15%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Ivory Coast vs Norway

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Ivory Coast — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
30 Jun	H Norway	L	1 - 2
25 Jun	A Curaçao	W	0 - 2
20 Jun	A Germany	L	2 - 1
14 Jun	H Ecuador	W	1 - 0

Norway — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
11 Jul	H England	L	1 - 2
05 Jul	A Brazil	W	1 - 2
30 Jun	A Ivory Coast	W	1 - 2
26 Jun	H France	L	1 - 4
23 Jun	H Senegal	W	3 - 2

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Norway

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Stale Solbakken

1 Nyland

5 Wolfe

17 Heggem

3 Ajer

16 Pedersen

6 Berg

8 Berge

10 Ødegaard

20 Nusa

9 Haaland

7 Sørloth

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Ørjan Nyland	G
16	Marcus Pedersen	D
3	Kristoffer Ajer	D
17	Torbjørn Heggem	D
5	David Møller Wolfe	D
10	Martin Ødegaard	M
8	Sander Berge	M
6	Patrick Berg	M
7	Alexander Sørloth	F
9	Erling Haaland	F
20	Antonio Nusa	F

Substitutes

21	Andreas Schjelderup	F
22	Oscar Bobb	M
12	Sander Tangvik	G
13	Egil Selvik	G
4	Leo Østigård	D
15	Fredrik André Bjørkan	D
24	Sondre Langås	D
25	Henrik Sælebakke Falchener	D
2	Morten Thorsby	M
14	Fredrik Aursnes	M
18	Kristian Thorstvedt	M
19	Thelo Aasgaard	M
26	Julian Ryerson	D
11	Jørgen Strand Larsen	F
23	Jens Petter Hauge	M

Ivory Coast

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Emerse Fae

1 Fofana

3 Konan

20 Agbadou

7 Kossounou

17 Doué

18 Sangaré

11 Diomande

26 Oulaï

8 Kessié

19 Pépé

9 Bonny

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Yahia Fofana	G
17	Guéla Doué	D
7	Odilon Kossounou	D
20	Emmanuel Agbadou	D
3	Ghislain Konan	D
18	Ibrahim Sangaré	M
19	Nicolas Pépé	M
8	Franck Kessié	M
26	Christ Inao Oulaï	M
11	Yan Diomande	M
9	Ange-Yoan Bonny	F

Substitutes

15	Amad Diallo	F
12	Elye Wahi	F
16	Mohamed Koné	G
23	Alban Lafont	G
2	Ousmane Diomande	D
5	Wilfried Singo	D
13	Christopher Operi	D
21	Evan Ndicka	D
4	Jean Michaël Seri	M
6	Seko Fofana	M
25	Parfait Guiagon	M
10	Simon Adingra	F
24	Bazoumana Touré	F
14	Oumar Diakité	F
22	Evann Guessand	F