Gnistan vs VPS Prediction

Veikkausliiga · Regular Season - 13

Post on X

VPS

Away

Mustapekka Areena, Helsinki

AI прогноза Gnistan или равен

43%

31%

26%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Gnistan vs VPS prediction: Sportiko gives Gnistan a 43% chance of winning, VPS 26% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Под 3.5 гола 80%
Домакинът да вкара 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 70%

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Timeline

20' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 36'

L. Smyth assist: J. Muzinga

HT 1–1

46' ⇄

57' ⇄

⇄ 65'

V. Rönnberg ⇄ M. Niemi

⇄ 65'

J. Muzinga ⇄ A. Räisänen

69' ⇄

⇄ 76'

S. Lindholm ⇄ Oluwaseyi Ogunniyi

Yellow Card

81' ▮

84' ⇄

▮ 85'

Yellow Card

FT 1–1

Gnistan

Match Stats

VPS

46% Ball Possession 54%

12 Total Shots 7

3 Shots on Goal 3

7 Shots off Goal 2

2 Blocked Shots 2

2 Corner Kicks 3

0 Offsides 3

1 Fouls 7

0 Yellow Cards 0

0 Red Cards 0

2 Goalkeeper Saves 3

7 Free Kicks 1

Gnistan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
A. Akinyemi	7.7	62'	1	–	1	10 (4%)	–
R. Eremenko	7.2	62'	–	–	2	34 (31%)	–
O. Hannula	7.0	62'	–	–	1	24 (18%)	2
A. Jouhi	6.8	62'	–	–	1	28 (24%)	2
A. Obileye	6.7	62'	–	–	–	31 (27%)	–
S. Ylätupa	6.5	5'	–	–	–	–	–
E. Arko-Mensah	6.5	62'	–	–	2	25 (19%)	–
P. Gnanou	6.4	62'	–	–	1	20 (14%)	2
Á. Craninx	6.3	62'	–	–	–	30 (17%)	–
J. Ojala	6.3	16'	–	–	–	8 (3%)	–
G. Europaeus	6.2	62'	–	–	1	20 (14%)	2
D. Pérez	6.1	57'	–	–	3	14 (7%)	1

VPS

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
L. Smyth	8.0	62'	1	–	2	20 (16%)	2
J. Muzinga	7.0	62'	–	1	–	10 (8%)	–
E. Okereke	6.8	62'	–	–	1	35 (33%)	2
V. Rönnberg	6.7	62'	–	–	–	39 (34%)	2
M. Haukioja	6.5	62'	–	–	–	48 (38%)	2
J. Turfkruier	6.4	62'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	–
S. Lindholm	6.2	62'	–	–	–	17 (9%)	2
Y. Daoussi	6.1	62'	–	–	–	26 (21%)	1

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Confidence Low (43%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Gnistan или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

48%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Gnistan

DWDDW

VPS

LLWLW

Match summary

In the upcoming Veikkausliiga match, Gnistan faces VPS, with both teams vying for critical points. Gnistan has shown a solid home performance, securing 60% of their points on home soil this season, while VPS has been more inconsistent, with a lower away points percentage. Key players to watch include Gnistan's top scorer, who has contributed significantly to their attacking plays, and VPS's midfield, which has struggled to maintain possession in away matches. This matchup could hinge on Gnistan's ability to exploit VPS's defensive vulnerabilities.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Second-model agreement

Our model vs an independent one — when they agree, conviction is higher.

Ours

Independent

Home

43%

45%

Draw

31%

45%

Away

26%

10%

Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

VPS goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	12	8	5	2
1	12	15	6	2	1
2	9	9	4	1
3	4	4	2	1
4	1	1	1
5

↑ Gnistan goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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Players in form

Gnistan

A. Akinyemi 3 gls

VPS

L. Smyth 5 gls

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

31%

Away Win

26%

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

43%

Draw

31%

Away Win

26%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

62% Home (No Draw) 38% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

21% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

43% Home Scores More 31% Equal Goals 26% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

31%

1.5

69%

60%

2.5

40%

80%

3.5

20%

92%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

52% BTTS No 48% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

20%

28%

20%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.6%	8.1%	4.8%	1.6%	0.4%
1	11.6%	14.7%	6.4%	2.1%	0.5%
2	8.8%	8.6%	4.2%	1.4%	0.3%
3	3.9%	3.8%	1.9%	0.6%	0.2%
4	1.3%	1.3%	0.6%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

71%

1.5

29%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

34%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Gnistan	Draw	VPS
Gnistan	25.9%	4.2%	1.4%
Draw	16.4%	20.6%	10.8%
VPS	1.9%	4.2%	14.7%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

85%

2.5

15%

96%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

48%

0.5

52%

83%

1.5

17%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

92%

2.5

98%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

38%

37%

18%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

93%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

58%

0.5

42%

90%

1.5

10%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Gnistan vs VPS

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Gnistan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
18 Sep	H HJK Helsinki	D	1 - 1
12 Sep	A AC Oulu	W	1 - 2
08 Sep	H KuPS	D	1 - 1
31 Aug	H Turku PS	D	1 - 1
23 Aug	A HJK Helsinki	W	2 - 3

VPS — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
19 Sep	H KuPS	L	0 - 2
14 Sep	A Inter Turku	L	1 - 0
08 Sep	H AC Oulu	W	1 - 0
31 Aug	H Lahti	L	0 - 1
22 Aug	A Ilves	W	0 - 1

Veikkausliiga Standings

Champion Additional

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	KuPS	25	13	9	3	41	24	+17	48
2	Inter Turku	25	13	9	3	32	18	+14	48
3	HJK Helsinki	25	12	6	7	39	29	+10	42
4	Gnistan	25	11	8	6	40	32	+8	41
5	VPS	25	10	6	9	30	25	+5	36
6	AC Oulu	25	10	4	11	26	29	-3	34

Relegation Play-Off

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Lahti	25	10	6	9	30	24	+6	36
2	Ilves	25	10	4	11	42	38	+4	34
3	Turku PS	25	8	8	9	28	27	+1	32
4	SJK	25	5	9	11	28	35	-7	24
5	Mariehamn	25	4	5	16	20	47	-27	17
6	FF Jaro	25	3	8	14	20	48	-28	17

VPS

Coach: Jussi Nuorela

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
41	M. Jalloh	-
5	V. Ronnberg	-
6	E. Okereke	-
19	M. Haukioja	-
24	Y. Daoussi	-
2	L. Mane	-
8	P. Lima	-
7	J. Turfkruier	-
14	S. Lindholm	-
11	J. Muzinga	-
15	L. Smyth	-

Substitutes

1	A. Piispa	-
23	M. Niemi	-
26	R. Forsbacka	-
33	A. Kuek	-
34	A. Raisanen	-
13	O. Ogunniyi	-
35	O. Keturi	-

Gnistan

Coach: Jussi Leppalahti

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	A. Craninx	-
27	O. Hannula	-
24	R. Gnanou	-
67	A. Obileye	-
4	Marcelo Costa	-
12	E. Arko-Mensah	-
26	R. Eremenko	-
31	A. Jouhi	-
15	G. Europaeus	-
11	D. Perez	-
17	A. Akinyemi	-

Substitutes

22	Ramilson	-
40	J. Ojala	-
7	A. Atarah	-
14	S. Eremenko	-
23	S. Ylatupa	-
10	J. Latonen	-
19	V. Hanninen	-
2	B. Dahlstrom	-
20	M. H. Bjurstrom	-