Colombia vs Portugal Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 3

Post on X

Portugal

Away

AI прогноза Portugal или равен

28%

31%

41%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Colombia vs Portugal prediction: Sportiko gives Colombia a 28% chance of winning, Portugal 41% and the draw 31%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Под 3.5 гола 79%
Гостите да вкарат 73%
2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Timeline

HT 0–0

⇄ 46'

João Cancelo ⇄ Diogo Dalot

⇄ 46'

Rúben Neves ⇄ João Neves

Jhon Córdoba ⇄ Luis Javier Suárez

60' ⇄

Jefferson Lerma ⇄ Richard Ríos

60' ⇄

⇄ 70'

Vitinha ⇄ Samú Costa

⇄ 70'

João Félix ⇄ Rafael Leão

James Rodríguez ⇄ Juan Fernando Quintero

76' ⇄

Jhon Arias ⇄ Kevin Castaño

76' ⇄

Gustavo Puerta Yellow Card

86' ▮

Santiago Arias ⇄ Daniel Muñoz

87' ⇄

⇄ 90+2'

Nuno Mendes ⇄ Matheus Nunes

FT 0–0

Colombia

Match Stats

Portugal

55% Ball Possession 45%

1.70 Expected Goals (xG) 0.93

24 Total Shots 13

6 Shots on Goal 2

11 Shots off Goal 7

7 Blocked Shots 4

15 Shots insidebox 5

9 Shots outsidebox 8

5 Corner Kicks 2

3 Offsides 2

12 Fouls 6

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 6

544 Total passes 446

485 Passes accurate 405

89% Passes % 91%

0.61 goals_prevented 0.61

Colombia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
10 James Rodríguez F	8.2	76'	–	–	1	72 (65%)	1
12 Camilo Vargas G	7.5	90'	–	–	–	38 (31%)	–
23 Davinson Sánchez D	7.3	90'	–	–	1	64 (54%)	1
3 Jhon Lucumí D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	28 (27%)	1
4 Santiago Arias D	7.3	87'	–	–	–	41 (34%)	3
11 Jhon Arias M	7.2	76'	–	–	3	53 (52%)	4
22 Deiver Machado D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	25 (21%)	2
2 Daniel Muñoz D	6.9	9'	–	–	–	1	1
14 Gustavo Puerta M	6.9	90'	–	–	3	75 (72%)	1
20 Juan Fernando Quintero M	6.9	14'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
16 Jefferson Lerma M	6.7	60'	–	–	1	43 (38%)	–
5 Kevin Castaño M	6.6	14'	–	–	–	13 (13%)	–
6 Richard Ríos M	6.3	30'	–	–	1	18 (16%)	1
7 Luis Díaz F	6.2	90'	–	–	2	42 (39%)	–
25 Luis Javier Suárez F	6.2	30'	–	–	3	9 (6%)	–
9 Jhon Córdoba F	6.2	60'	–	–	2	10 (7%)	–

Portugal

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Diogo Costa G	8.3	90'	–	–	–	19 (15%)	–
8 Bruno Fernandes M	7.5	90'	–	–	2	44 (39%)	2
13 Renato Veiga D	7.3	90'	–	–	–	56 (53%)	1
23 Vitinha M	7.3	70'	–	–	–	54 (54%)	–
3 Rúben Dias D	7.2	90'	–	–	–	54 (50%)	–
5 Diogo Dalot D	7.2	45'	–	–	1	24 (22%)	1
20 João Cancelo D	7.0	45'	–	–	–	13 (12%)	–
25 Nuno Mendes D	7.0	89'	–	–	–	43 (39%)	–
24 Samú Costa M	7.0	20'	–	–	–	12 (11%)	1
17 Rafael Leão F	7.0	20'	–	–	1	6 (6%)	–
18 Pedro Neto M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	36 (30%)	1
21 Rúben Neves M	6.7	45'	–	–	2	17 (14%)	–
11 João Félix M	6.5	70'	–	–	2	14 (12%)	2
15 João Neves M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	26 (25%)	1
7 Cristiano Ronaldo F	6.3	90'	–	–	1	27 (22%)	–
6 Matheus Nunes M	—	1'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–

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Confidence Low (41%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Portugal или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 14.7%

Both teams to score

49%

Over 2.5 goals

42%

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Colombia

DWDWW

Portugal

WLWDW

Match summary

In this World Cup clash, Colombia faces Portugal, presenting a fascinating matchup between two technically gifted teams. Colombia's strength lies in their attacking prowess, led by players like Luis Díaz and Duván Zapata, who can exploit Portugal's defensive vulnerabilities. Conversely, Portugal boasts a solid midfield anchored by Bruno Fernandes and a potent attack featuring Cristiano Ronaldo, making them a formidable opponent. Historically, both teams have shown resilience in knockout stages, which could lead to a tightly contested match. Set to kick off late at night, expect tactical adjustments and possibly extra time if the teams remain deadlocked.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Portugal goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	11	11	8	4	1
1	8	15	9	4	1
2	5	7	4	2	1
3	2	2	2	1
4		1
5

↑ Colombia goals · most likely 1–1 (14.7%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Draw

31%

Home Win

28%

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

41%

Draw

31%

Home Win

28%

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

59% Away (No Draw) 41% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

19% Away Win by 2+ 11% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

41% Away Scores More 31% Equal Goals 28% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

30%

1.5

70%

58%

2.5

42%

79%

3.5

21%

91%

4.5

97%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

51% BTTS No 49% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

19%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

54% Even Total Goals 46% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.2%	10.7%	8.1%	3.6%	1.2%
1	8.3%	14.7%	8.5%	3.7%	1.2%
2	5.2%	6.8%	4.5%	2.0%	0.6%
3	1.8%	2.4%	1.6%	0.7%	0.2%
4	0.5%	0.6%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

36%

0.5

64%

70%

1.5

30%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

36%

34%

21%

2h Result

2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

61%

1.5

39%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

32%

25%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Colombia	Draw	Portugal
Colombia	16.1%	4.3%	1.9%
Draw	11.5%	20.3%	15.6%
Portugal	1.5%	4.3%	24.4%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

35%

0.5

65%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

98%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

35%

37%

19%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

63%

0.5

38%

92%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

56%

0.5

44%

88%

1.5

12%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

27%

0.5

73%

62%

1.5

38%

86%

2.5

14%

96%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

27%

35%

23%

10%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

55%

0.5

45%

88%

1.5

12%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

49%

0.5

51%

84%

1.5

16%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Colombia vs Portugal

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Colombia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
07 Jul	A Switzerland	D	0 - 0
04 Jul	H Ghana	W	1 - 0
27 Jun	H Portugal	D	0 - 0
24 Jun	H Congo DR	W	1 - 0
18 Jun	A Uzbekistan	W	1 - 3

Portugal — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
24 Sep	H Wales	W	1 - 0
06 Jul	H Spain	L	0 - 1
02 Jul	H Croatia	W	2 - 1
27 Jun	A Colombia	D	0 - 0
23 Jun	H Uzbekistan	W	5 - 0

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Portugal

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Roberto Martinez

1 Costa

25 Mendes

13 Veiga

3 Dias

20 Cancelo

23 Vitinha

21 Neves

11 Felix

8 Fernandes

18 Neto

7 Ronaldo

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	D. Costa	G
20	J. Cancelo	D
3	R. Dias	D
13	R. Veiga	D
25	N. Mendes	D
21	R. Neves	M
23	Vitinha	M
18	P. Neto	M
8	B. Fernandes	M
11	Joao Felix	M
7	C. Ronaldo	F

Substitutes

12	J. Sa	G
22	R. Silva	G
19	G. Guedes	F
2	N. Semedo	D
5	D. Dalot	D
9	G. Ramos	F
14	G. Inacio	D
24	Samu Costa	M
6	M. Nunes	M
15	J. Neves	M
10	B. Silva	M
17	R. Leao	F
16	Trincao	F
4	T. Araujo	D
26	F. Conceicao	F

Colombia

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Nestor Lorenzo

12 Vargas

22 Machado

3 Lucumi

23 Sanchez

4 Arias

14 Puerta

16 Lerma

11 Arias

7 Diaz

9 Cordoba

10 Rodriguez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
12	C. Vargas	G
4	S. Arias	D
23	D. Sanchez	D
3	J. Lucumi	D
22	D. Machado	D
11	J. Arias	M
16	J. Lerma	M
14	G. Puerta	M
10	J. Rodriguez	F
9	J. Cordoba	F
7	L. Diaz	F

Substitutes

1	D. Ospina	G
24	A. Montero	G
13	Y. Mina	D
19	C. Hernandez	F
25	L. Suarez	F
15	J. Portilla	M
20	J. Quintero	M
17	J. Mojica	D
8	J. Carrascal	M
21	J. Campaz	M
2	D. Munoz	D
18	W. Ditta	D
6	R. Rios	M
5	K. Castano	M
26	A. Gomez	F