Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 2

Post on X

Cape Verde Islands

Away

AI прогноза Uruguay to win or draw

69%

23%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands prediction: Sportiko gives Uruguay a 69% chance of winning, Cape Verde Islands 7% and the draw 23%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Timeline

▮ 5'

Sidny Lopes Cabral Yellow Card

Rodrigo Bentancur Yellow Card

20' ▮

⚽ 0–1 21'

Kevin Lenini

Maximiliano Araújo

44' ⚽ 1–1

Agustín Canobbio assist: Maximiliano Araújo

45' ⚽ 2–1

HT 2–1

⇄ 46'

Telmo Arcanjo ⇄ Deroy Duarte

Mathías Olivera Yellow Card

58' ▮

⇄ 58'

Garry Rodrigues ⇄ Hélio Varela

⇄ 58'

Gilson Tavares ⇄ Nuno Da Costa

⚽ 2–2 61'

Hélio Varela

Maximiliano Araújo Goal cancelled

69' 🖵

Federico Viñas ⇄ Darwin Núñez

70' ⇄

Manuel Ugarte ⇄ Nicolás de la Cruz

70' ⇄

⇄ 71'

Kevin Lenini ⇄ Laros Duarte

⇄ 80'

Jamiro Monteiro ⇄ Yannick Semedo

Maximiliano Araújo ⇄ Brian Rodríguez

81' ⇄

▮ 90+3'

Diney Borges Yellow Card

FT 2–2

Uruguay

Match Stats

Cape Verde Islands

65% Ball Possession 35%

2.32 Expected Goals (xG) 0.88

17 Total Shots 12

2 Shots on Goal 4

8 Shots off Goal 4

7 Blocked Shots 4

9 Shots insidebox 2

8 Shots outsidebox 10

11 Corner Kicks 4

3 Offsides 0

11 Fouls 4

2 Yellow Cards 2

Red Cards

2 Goalkeeper Saves 0

511 Total passes 278

420 Passes accurate 205

82% Passes % 74%

-0.35 goals_prevented -0.35

Uruguay

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
20 Maximiliano Araújo M	7.9	81'	1	1	2	16 (12%)	1
14 Agustín Canobbio M	7.7	90'	1	–	2	34 (28%)	6
8 Federico Valverde M	7.2	90'	–	–	4	62 (50%)	1
7 Nicolás de la Cruz M	7.2	20'	–	–	1	12 (8%)	1
6 Rodrigo Bentancur M	7.0	90'	–	–	–	58 (50%)	2
21 Federico Viñas F	6.9	70'	–	–	–	9 (4%)	–
3 Sebastián Cáceres D	6.6	90'	–	–	–	66 (56%)	1
13 Guillermo Varela D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	45 (35%)	2
16 Mathías Olivera D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	80 (74%)	1
5 Manuel Ugarte M	6.3	70'	–	–	1	60 (51%)	–
18 Brian Rodríguez F	6.3	9'	–	–	–	3 (2%)	–
9 Darwin Núñez F	6.3	20'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	1
25 Juan Sanabria D	6.2	90'	–	–	–	37 (28%)	–
23 Fernando Muslera G	5.5	90'	–	–	–	22 (16%)	–

Cape Verde Islands

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
6 Kevin Lenini M	7.7	71'	1	–	1	25 (21%)	2
26 Hélio Varela F	7.5	32'	1	–	1	2 (2%)	–
4 Pico D	7.2	90'	–	–	1	34 (27%)	3
15 Laros Duarte M	6.9	19'	–	–	2	8 (8%)	–
14 Deroy Duarte M	6.9	45'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	2
16 Yannick Semedo M	6.9	10'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	1
20 Ryan Mendes M	6.7	90'	–	–	–	16 (12%)	–
10 Jamiro Monteiro M	6.7	80'	–	–	1	23 (21%)	–
3 Diney Borges D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	39 (25%)	2
13 Sidny Lopes Cabral D	6.6	90'	–	–	1	17 (14%)	2
21 Nuno Da Costa F	6.6	32'	–	–	–	7 (6%)	–
22 Steven Moreira D	6.3	90'	–	–	–	24 (15%)	3
11 Garry Rodrigues M	6.3	58'	–	–	–	7 (5%)	1
18 Telmo Arcanjo M	6.3	45'	–	–	–	13 (10%)	–
9 Gilson Tavares F	6.2	58'	–	–	–	10 (8%)	–
1 Vozinha G	5.9	90'	–	–	–	30 (13%)	–

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Confidence Medium (69%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Uruguay to win or draw

Most likely score

1:0 · 18%

Both teams to score

31%

Over 2.5 goals

39%

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Uruguay

LDDDL

Cape Verde Islands

LDDDD

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 21, 2026, Uruguay will host Cape Verde Islands. Historically, Uruguay boasts a strong football pedigree, including two World Cup titles and a current FIFA ranking in the top 20, while Cape Verde, ranked lower, faces a significant challenge against a more established side. Uruguay's attack, spearheaded by top talents like Luis Suárez and Edinson Cavani, has shown effectiveness in recent qualifiers, averaging over 2 goals per game. Conversely, Cape Verde will need to rely on a solid defensive strategy and counter-attacking chances to pose a threat. Given the disparities in experience and squad depth, Uruguay is favored to win, but Cape Verde's resilience could make for an interesting contest.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Cape Verde Islands goals →

	0	1	2
0	12	4	1
1	18	10	2
2	17	8	2
3	10	5	1
4	5	2
5	2	1

↑ Uruguay goals · most likely 1–0 (18.0%)

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AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

69%

Draw

23%

Away Win

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

90% Home (No Draw) 10% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

42% Home Win by 2+ 2% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

69% Home Scores More 23% Equal Goals 7% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

12%

0.5

88%

33%

1.5

67%

61%

2.5

39%

82%

3.5

18%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

69% BTTS No 31% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

12%

22%

28%

20%

11%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.7%	3.6%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
1	18.0%	9.7%	1.9%	0.3%	0.0%
2	17.3%	7.8%	1.8%	0.3%	0.0%
3	10.4%	4.7%	1.1%	0.2%	0.0%
4	4.7%	2.1%	0.5%	0.1%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

92%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

64%

1.5

36%

87%

2.5

13%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

30%

34%

23%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Uruguay	Draw	Cape Verde Islands
Uruguay	45.6%	2.4%	0.4%
Draw	23.3%	16.8%	3.6%
Cape Verde Islands	1.6%	2.3%	3.9%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

46%

1.5

54%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Home Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

44%

0.5

56%

80%

1.5

20%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

74%

1.5

26%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

64%

0.5

36%

92%

1.5

99%

2.5

100%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

64%

29%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

82%

0.5

18%

98%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

78%

0.5

22%

97%

1.5

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Uruguay vs Cape Verde Islands

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Uruguay — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Jun	H Spain	L	0 - 1
21 Jun	H Cape Verde Islands	D	2 - 2
15 Jun	A Saudi Arabia	D	1 - 1
13 Jul	A Canada	D	2 - 2
10 Jul	H Colombia	L	0 - 1

Cape Verde Islands — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
03 Jul	A Argentina	L	3 - 2
27 Jun	H Saudi Arabia	D	0 - 0
21 Jun	A Uruguay	D	2 - 2
15 Jun	A Spain	D	0 - 0
30 Mar	H Finland	D	1 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Uruguay

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Marcelo Bielsa

23 Muslera

25 Sanabria

16 Olivera

3 Caceres

13 Varela

5 Ugarte

20 Araujo

8 Valverde

6 Bentancur

14 Canobbio

21 Vinas

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	F. Muslera	G
13	G. Varela	D
3	S. Caceres	D
16	M. Olivera	D
25	J. Sanabria	D
5	M. Ugarte	M
14	A. Canobbio	M
6	R. Bentancur	M
8	F. Valverde	M
20	M. Araujo	M
21	F. Vinas	F

Substitutes

1	S. Rochet	G
12	S. Mele	G
2	J. Gimenez	D
17	M. Vina	D
9	D. Nunez	F
18	B. Rodriguez	F
15	E. Martinez	M
19	R. Aguirre	F
7	N. de la Cruz	M
24	S. Bueno	D
22	J. Piquerez	D
26	R. Zalazar	M
11	F. Pellistri	M

Cape Verde Islands

Formation: 4-1-4-1 Coach: Pedro Leitao Brito

1 Vozinha

13 Cabral

3 Borges

4 Lopes

22 Moreira

6 Lenini

11 Rodrigues

10 Monteiro

18 Arcanjo

20 Mendes

9 Benchimol

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Vozinha	G
22	S. Moreira	D
4	R. Lopes	D
3	D. Borges	D
13	S. Lopes Cabral	D
6	K. Lenini	M
20	R. Mendes	M
18	T. Arcanjo	M
10	J. Monteiro	M
11	G. Rodrigues	M
9	Benchimol	F

Substitutes

12	M. Rosa	G
23	dos Santos CJ	G
15	L. Duarte	M
14	D. Duarte	M
5	L. Costa	D
25	K. Pires	D
8	Joao Paulo	M
26	H. Varela	F
2	Stopira	D
21	N. Da Costa	F
7	J. Cabral	F
17	W. Semedo	F
16	Y. Semedo	M
19	D. Livramento	F
24	W. Pina	D