Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

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Uruguay

Away

AI прогноза Uruguay to win or draw

24%

67%

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Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay prediction: Sportiko gives Saudi Arabia a 9% chance of winning, Uruguay 67% and the draw 24%. Last updated 23 Jul 2026, 11:21.

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2nd Half Over 0.5 71%

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Match Report

Saudi Arabia and Uruguay played out a 1–1 draw in their World Cup Group Stage opener, with the Green Falcons holding on for a point despite being outplayed for much of the contest. Abdulelah Al-Amri broke the deadlock just before half-time with a well-taken finish, though he was cautioned three minutes later to end the first half on a cautionary note for the Saudis.

Uruguay dominated possession at 65% and registered 24 total shots to Saudi Arabia's seven, yet struggled to convert their pressure into clear chances. Our pre-match AI model had rated a Uruguay win as most likely at 67%, a call that ultimately did not materialise. Substitute Maximiliano Araújo finally drew the South Americans level on 80 minutes, only to be replaced himself just a minute after scoring.

Saudi Arabia's resilience proved decisive in the end. Despite conceding an expected goals figure of 1.48 against them, the Falcons defended resolutely to deny Uruguay a winner and claim a share of the points in what was a competitive and hard-fought opening group fixture.

AI-generated report based on match data.

Timeline

Abdulelah Al-Amri

41' ⚽ 1–0

Abdulelah Al-Amri Yellow Card

44' ▮

HT 1–0

⇄ 46'

Matías Viña ⇄ Juan Sanabria

⇄ 46'

⇄ Agustín Canobbio

Musab Al Juwayr ⇄ Nasser Al-Dawsari

63' ⇄

⇄ 72'

Manuel Ugarte ⇄ Nicolás de la Cruz

⚽ 1–1 80'

Maximiliano Araújo

⇄ 81'

Maximiliano Araújo ⇄ Brian Rodríguez

Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat ⇄ Nawaf Boushal

81' ⇄

⇄ 90'

Federico Viñas ⇄ Rodrigo Aguirre

Saud Abdulhamid ⇄ Ali Lajami

90+2' ⇄

Moteb Al-Harbi ⇄ Abdullah Al-Hamdan

90+3' ⇄

Firas Al-Buraikan

90+3' ⇄

FT 1–1

Saudi Arabia

Match Stats

Uruguay

35% Ball Possession 65%

0.99 Expected Goals (xG) 1.48

7 Total Shots 24

3 Shots on Goal 9

3 Shots off Goal 10

1 Blocked Shots 5

4 Shots insidebox 15

3 Shots outsidebox 9

4 Corner Kicks 10

0 Offsides 6

11 Fouls 6

1 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

8 Goalkeeper Saves 2

316 Total passes 571

232 Passes accurate 502

73% Passes % 88%

-0.26 goals_prevented -0.26

Saudi Arabia

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
21 Mohammed Al-Owais G	7.9	94'	–	–	–	28 (10%)	–
4 Abdulelah Al-Amri D	7.3	94'	1	–	2	27 (23%)	1
24 Moteb Al-Harbi D	7.0	93'	–	–	–	25 (18%)	1
23 Mohamed Kanno M	7.0	94'	–	–	1	36 (32%)	1
9 Firas Al-Buraikan F	6.6	93'	–	–	–	22 (13%)	–
12 Saud Abdulhamid D	6.5	93'	–	–	1	21 (14%)	5
15 Abdullah Al-Khaibari M	6.3	94'	–	–	1	26 (21%)	1
10 Salem Al-Dawsari M	6.3	94'	–	–	1	32 (23%)	1
7 Musab Al Juwayr F	6.3	63'	–	–	–	31 (24%)	1
13 Nawaf Boushal D	6.3	13'	–	–	–	4 (3%)	–
6 Nasser Al-Dawsari M	6.3	31'	–	–	–	12 (10%)	–
26 Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat M	6.2	81'	–	–	–	24 (19%)	–
5 Hassan Altambakti D	6.0	94'	–	–	–	28 (22%)	–
3 Ali Lajami D	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–
18 Ala'a Al-Hejji M	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–
19 Abdullah Al-Hamdan F	—	1'	–	–	–	–	–

Uruguay

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
16 Mathías Olivera D	7.7	94'	–	–	1	101 (98%)	1
20 Maximiliano Araújo M	7.5	81'	1	–	2	21 (18%)	–
6 Rodrigo Bentancur M	6.9	94'	–	–	1	75 (64%)	1
7 Nicolás de la Cruz M	6.9	22'	–	–	1	16 (15%)	–
18 Brian Rodríguez F	6.7	13'	–	–	1	4 (3%)	–
13 Guillermo Varela D	6.6	94'	–	–	–	48 (40%)	–
3 Sebastián Cáceres D	6.6	94'	–	–	2	79 (68%)	–
25 Juan Sanabria M	6.6	49'	–	–	1	25 (25%)	–
9 Seamus Maughan F	6.5	45'	–	–	1	3 (3%)	1
23 Fernando Muslera G	6.5	94'	–	–	–	30 (29%)	–
8 Federico Valverde M	6.5	94'	–	–	2	39 (33%)	–
17 Matías Viña D	6.3	45'	–	–	–	29 (21%)	–
21 Federico Viñas M	6.3	90'	–	–	4	17 (11%)	–
14 Agustín Canobbio F	6.3	49'	–	–	1	20 (17%)	–
5 Manuel Ugarte M	6.2	72'	–	–	2	63 (57%)	–
19 Rodrigo Aguirre F	—	4'	–	–	–	1	–

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Confidence Medium (67%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Uruguay to win or draw

Most likely score

0:1 · 16.8%

Both teams to score

35%

Over 2.5 goals

40%

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Saudi Arabia

WDLDD

Uruguay

LDDDL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match, Saudi Arabia will face Uruguay on June 15, 2026. Historically, Uruguay has a stronger pedigree in international football, boasting two World Cup titles and a FIFA ranking typically within the top 20. Saudi Arabia, while improving and having made strides in their football development, remains an underdog in this matchup. Key players like Luis Suárez and Federico Valverde from Uruguay could exploit Saudi Arabia’s defensive vulnerabilities, particularly in set-piece situations. The home team will need to leverage their pace and crowd support to create scoring opportunities if they hope to challenge the established South American side.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Uruguay goals →

	0	1	2	3	4	5
0	11	17	16	10	4	2
1	4	11	8	5	2	1
2	1	2	2	1	1
3
4
5

↑ Saudi Arabia goals · most likely 0–1 (16.8%)

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Players in form

Saudi Arabia

Saleh Al Shehri 4 gls

Uruguay

No scorer data.

AI match tools

Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

24%

Home Win

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Match Result

Away Win

67%

Draw

24%

Home Win

Double Chance

Draw or Away

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Home or Away

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Home or Draw

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Winner

88% Away (No Draw) 12% Home (No Draw)

Super Win

40% Away Win by 2+ 2% Home Win by 2+

More Goals

67% Away Scores More 24% Equal Goals 9% Home Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

11%

0.5

89%

32%

1.5

68%

60%

2.5

40%

81%

3.5

19%

93%

4.5

98%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

65% BTTS No 35% BTTS Yes

Exact Goals

11%

21%

28%

21%

12%

Goal Range

1-3 Goals

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2-4 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Home Win & Over 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	11.3%	16.8%	16.0%	9.5%	4.2%
1	4.1%	10.6%	8.3%	5.0%	2.2%
2	1.4%	2.4%	2.2%	1.3%	0.6%
3	0.2%	0.4%	0.4%	0.2%	0.1%
4	0.0%	0.1%	0.1%	0.0%	0.0%

1h Result

1st Half Away Win

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1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1st Half Home or Draw

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

37%

0.5

63%

72%

1.5

28%

91%

2.5

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

37%

35%

20%

2h Result

2nd Half Away Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Home Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Draw or Away

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Home or Draw

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

29%

0.5

71%

63%

1.5

37%

86%

2.5

14%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

29%

34%

24%

10%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Saudi Arabia	Draw	Uruguay
Saudi Arabia	4.8%	2.6%	1.8%
Draw	4.3%	17.2%	22.8%
Uruguay	0.5%	2.7%	43.3%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

59%

0.5

41%

90%

1.5

10%

98%

2.5

100%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

59%

31%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

79%

0.5

21%

98%

1.5

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

75%

0.5

25%

97%

1.5

Away Goals

Under Line Over

17%

0.5

83%

47%

1.5

53%

74%

2.5

26%

90%

3.5

10%

Away Exact Goals

17%

30%

27%

16%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

45%

0.5

55%

81%

1.5

19%

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

38%

0.5

62%

74%

1.5

26%

Handicap

Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home +2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away -1 Draw

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -1 Win

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Home -2 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Head to Head: Saudi Arabia vs Uruguay

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Saudi Arabia — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
23 Sep	H Kuwait	W	1 - 0
27 Jun	A Cape Verde Islands	D	0 - 0
21 Jun	A Spain	L	4 - 0
15 Jun	H Uruguay	D	1 - 1
09 Jun	H Senegal	D	0 - 0

Uruguay — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
27 Jun	H Spain	L	0 - 1
21 Jun	H Cape Verde Islands	D	2 - 2
15 Jun	A Saudi Arabia	D	1 - 1
13 Jul	A Canada	D	2 - 2
10 Jul	H Colombia	L	0 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Uruguay

Formation: 4-2-3-1 Coach: Marcelo Bielsa

23 Muslera

17 Viña

16 Olivera

3 Cáceres

13 Varela

6 Bentancur

5 Ugarte

20 Araújo

21 Viñas

8 Valverde

9 Núñez

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
23	Fernando Muslera	G
13	Guillermo Varela	D
3	Sebastián Cáceres	D
16	Mathías Olivera	D
17	Matías Viña	D
5	Manuel Ugarte	M
6	Rodrigo Bentancur	M
8	Federico Valverde	M
21	Federico Viñas	M
20	Maximiliano Araújo	M
9	Darwin Núñez	F

Substitutes

25	Juan Sanabria	M
14	Agustín Canobbio	F
12	Santiago Mele	G
1	Sergio Rochet	G
2	José María Giménez	D
24	Santiago Bueno	D
22	Joaquín Piquerez	D
18	Brian Rodríguez	F
11	Facundo Pellistri	M
15	Emiliano Martínez	M
7	Nicolás de la Cruz	M
26	Rodrigo Zalazar	M
19	Rodrigo Aguirre	F

Saudi Arabia

Formation: 4-4-2 Coach: Georgios Donis

21 Al-Owais

24 Al-Harbi

5 Altambakti

4 Al-Amri

12 Abdulhamid

10 Al-Dawsari

15 Al-Khaibari

23 Kanno

26 Al-Shamat

7 Juwayr

9 Al-Buraikan

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
21	Mohammed Al-Owais	G
12	Saud Abdulhamid	D
4	Abdulelah Al-Amri	D
5	Hassan Altambakti	D
24	Moteb Al-Harbi	D
26	Mohammed Abu Al-Shamat	M
23	Mohamed Kanno	M
15	Abdullah Al-Khaibari	M
10	Salem Al-Dawsari	M
9	Firas Al-Buraikan	F
7	Musab Al Juwayr	F

Substitutes

6	Nasser Al-Dawsari	M
22	Ahmed Al-Kassar	G
1	Nawaf Al-Aqidi	G
3	Ali Lajami	D
25	Jehad Thakri	D
14	Hassan Kadesh	D
2	Ali Majrashi	D
13	Nawaf Boushal	D
16	Ziyad Aljohani	M
8	Ayman Yahya	M
18	Ala'a Al-Hejji	M
11	Saleh Al-Shehri	F
17	Khalid Al-Ghannam	F
19	Abdullah Al-Hamdan	F
20	Sultan Mandash	F