Netherlands vs Japan Prediction

World Cup · Group Stage - 1

Post on X

Japan

Away

AI прогноза Netherlands или равен

48%

27%

24%

Победа за домакина Равенство Победа на гостите

Netherlands vs Japan prediction: Sportiko gives Netherlands a 48% chance of winning, Japan 24% and the draw 27%. Last updated 31 Jul 2026, 05:46.

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Timeline

HT 0–0

V. van Dijk assist: R. Gravenberch

51' ⚽ 1–0

⚽ 1–1 57'

Keito Nakamura assist: Takefusa Kubo

C. Summerville Yellow Card

61' ▮

C. Summerville assist: R. Gravenberch

64' ⚽ 2–1

⇄ 66'

Daizen Maeda ⇄ Junya Ito

D. Malen ⇄ M. Depay

70' ⇄

T. Reijnders ⇄ Q. Timber

70' ⇄

C. Summerville ⇄ T. Koopmeiners

70' ⇄

⇄ 75'

Tsuyoshi Watanabe ⇄ Takehiro Tomiyasu

⇄ 75'

Ritsu Doan ⇄ Yukinari Sugawara

⇄ 75'

Takefusa Kubo ⇄ Koki Ogawa

R. Gravenberch ⇄ N. Aké

81' ⇄

M. Depay Yellow Card

83' ▮

⇄ 84'

Ayase Ueda ⇄ Kento Shiogai

C. Gakpo ⇄ B. Brobbey

85' ⇄

⚽ 2–2 89'

Daichi Kamada assist: Koki Ogawa

M. van de Ven Yellow Card

90+1' ▮

FT 2–2

Netherlands

Match Stats

Japan

60% Ball Possession 40%

0.78 Expected Goals (xG) 0.59

10 Total Shots 10

6 Shots on Goal 3

3 Shots off Goal 6

1 Blocked Shots 1

10 Shots insidebox 6

0 Shots outsidebox 4

5 Corner Kicks 4

1 Offsides 0

7 Fouls 7

3 Yellow Cards 0

Red Cards

1 Goalkeeper Saves 4

524 Total passes 341

463 Passes accurate 286

88% Passes % 84%

0.16 goals_prevented 0.16

Netherlands

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
24 C. Summerville F	8.3	70'	1	–	1	29 (25%)	–
4 V. van Dijk D	7.9	90'	1	–	1	103 (95%)	–
6 J. van Hecke D	7.5	90'	–	–	1	95 (87%)	2
11 C. Gakpo F	7.3	85'	–	–	2	36 (27%)	1
21 F. de Jong M	7.3	90'	–	–	–	73 (69%)	3
8 R. Gravenberch M	7.2	81'	–	2	–	25 (22%)	–
22 D. Dumfries D	7.0	90'	–	–	–	38 (33%)	1
26 Q. Timber M	6.9	20'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	2
18 D. Malen F	6.7	70'	–	–	2	8 (4%)	–
15 M. van de Ven D	6.5	90'	–	–	1	42 (41%)	1
20 T. Koopmeiners M	6.5	20'	–	–	1	1 (1%)	1
19 B. Brobbey F	6.3	12'	–	–	–	–	–
14 T. Reijnders M	6.3	70'	–	–	–	22 (19%)	–
10 M. Depay F	6.3	20'	–	–	–	7 (7%)	–
5 N. Aké D	6.2	9'	–	–	–	10 (9%)	–
1 B. Verbruggen G	6.0	90'	–	–	–	30 (20%)	–

Japan

Player	Rating	Min	G	A	Shots	Passes	Tackles
1 Zion Suzuki G	7.9	90'	–	–	–	20 (10%)	–
13 Keito Nakamura M	7.7	90'	1	–	3	31 (28%)	1
15 Daichi Kamada M	7.2	90'	1	–	1	59 (48%)	3
2 Yukinari Sugawara D	7.2	15'	–	–	1	12 (11%)	–
22 Takehiro Tomiyasu D	6.9	15'	–	–	–	20 (19%)	1
18 Ayase Ueda F	6.7	84'	–	–	1	5 (4%)	1
3 Shogo Taniguchi D	6.7	90'	–	–	–	50 (49%)	–
19 Koki Ogawa F	6.7	15'	–	1	1	1	–
8 Takefusa Kubo F	6.6	75'	–	1	1	16 (12%)	–
10 Ritsu Doan M	6.5	75'	–	–	–	14 (11%)	1
16 Tsuyoshi Watanabe D	6.5	75'	–	–	–	21 (17%)	2
24 Kaishu Sano M	6.3	90'	–	–	–	31 (25%)	2
14 Junya Ito F	6.3	24'	–	–	–	14 (10%)	–
26 Kento Shiogai F	6.3	13'	–	–	–	1 (1%)	–
21 Hiroki Itō D	6.2	90'	–	–	1	41 (37%)	–
11 Daizen Maeda F	6.2	66'	–	–	–	5 (4%)	–

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Confidence Low (48%)

At a glance

Нашият анализ

Netherlands или равен

Most likely score

1:1 · 13.1%

Both teams to score

56%

Over 2.5 goals

52%

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Netherlands

DWWDW

Japan

LDWDL

Match summary

In the upcoming World Cup match on June 14, 2026, the Netherlands will face Japan in what promises to be an engaging encounter. The Netherlands, known for their tactical discipline and attacking prowess, will look to leverage their recent form, having performed strongly in European qualifiers. Japan, with their speed and technical skill, poses a unique challenge, particularly in counter-attacking situations. Historically, the Netherlands has a favorable record against Asian teams, but Japan's resilience and strategic gameplay could level the playing field. Set to kick off at 20:00, this match will be crucial for both teams in establishing momentum in the tournament.

Advanced analysis

Expected goals (xG)

How many goals each side is likely to create, on average.

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Most likely scores

Model probability of each exact scoreline.

Japan goals →

	0	1	2	3	4
0	8	5	4	1
1	9	13	6	2	1
2	9	10	5	2	1
3	5	5	3	1
4	2	2	1
5	1	1

↑ Netherlands goals · most likely 1–1 (13.1%)

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Players in form

Netherlands

No scorer data.

Japan

H. Morita 3 gls

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Instant AI analysis of this match.

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

27%

Away Win

24%

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Match Result

Home Win

48%

Draw

27%

Away Win

24%

Double Chance

Home or Draw

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Home or Away

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Draw or Away

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Winner

67% Home (No Draw) 33% Away (No Draw)

Super Win

26% Home Win by 2+ 10% Away Win by 2+

More Goals

48% Home Scores More 27% Equal Goals 24% Away Scores More

Total Goals

Under Line Over

0.5

92%

22%

1.5

78%

48%

2.5

52%

70%

3.5

30%

86%

4.5

14%

94%

5.5

Both Teams To Score

56% BTTS Yes 44% BTTS No

Exact Goals

14%

26%

22%

16%

Goal Range

2-4 Goals

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1-3 Goals

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2-3 Goals

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3-5 Goals

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1-2 Goals

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4-6 Goals

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Odd / Even Total Goals

53% Even Total Goals 47% Odd Total Goals

BTTS + Goals

BTTS & Over 2.5

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BTTS & Under 3.5

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BTTS & Over 3.5

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Result + Goals

Home Win & Over 2.5

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Home Win & Under 2.5

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Away Win & Over 2.5

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Away Win & Under 2.5

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Draw & Over 2.5

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Double Chance + Goals

Home/Draw & Over 1.5

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Home/Away & Over 2.5

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Draw/Away & Over 1.5

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Correct Score

H \ A	0	1	2	3	4
0	7.7%	5.4%	3.9%	1.5%	0.4%
1	8.8%	13.1%	6.5%	2.4%	0.7%
2	8.6%	9.7%	5.4%	2.0%	0.6%
3	4.8%	5.4%	3.0%	1.1%	0.3%
4	2.0%	2.3%	1.3%	0.5%	0.1%

1h Result

1st Half Draw

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1st Half Home Win

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1st Half Away Win

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1h Double Chance

1st Half Home or Draw

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1st Half Draw or Away

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1st Half Home or Away

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1h Goals

Under Line Over

30%

0.5

70%

63%

1.5

37%

87%

2.5

13%

1h Btts

1st Half BTTS Yes

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1h Exact Goals

30%

33%

24%

2h Result

2nd Half Home Win

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2nd Half Draw

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2nd Half Away Win

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2h Double Chance

2nd Half Home or Draw

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2nd Half Home or Away

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2nd Half Draw or Away

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2h Goals

Under Line Over

23%

0.5

77%

53%

1.5

47%

80%

2.5

20%

2h Btts

2nd Half BTTS Yes

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2h Exact Goals

23%

30%

27%

13%

Half Time / Full Time

HT \ FT	Netherlands	Draw	Japan
Netherlands	30.2%	4.4%	1.6%
Draw	17.0%	16.7%	9.5%
Japan	2.5%	4.3%	13.8%

Read: row = result at half-time, column = result at full-time. Computed from the joint first-half / second-half score distribution.

Home Goals

Under Line Over

19%

0.5

81%

51%

1.5

49%

77%

2.5

23%

92%

3.5

Home Exact Goals

19%

32%

26%

15%

Home 1h Goals

Under Line Over

47%

0.5

53%

83%

1.5

17%

Home 2h Goals

Under Line Over

40%

0.5

60%

77%

1.5

23%

Away Goals

Under Line Over

33%

0.5

67%

69%

1.5

31%

90%

2.5

10%

97%

3.5

Away Exact Goals

33%

37%

20%

Away 1h Goals

Under Line Over

61%

0.5

39%

91%

1.5

Away 2h Goals

Under Line Over

54%

0.5

46%

87%

1.5

13%

Handicap

Home +2 Win

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Home +1 Win

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Away +2 Win

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Away +1 Win

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Home -1 Win

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Home -1 Draw

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Home -2 Draw

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Away -1 Draw

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Home -2 Win

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Away -1 Win

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Away -2 Draw

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Away -2 Win

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Head to Head: Netherlands vs Japan

No head-to-head history found between these teams.

Netherlands — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
30 Jun	H Morocco	D	1 - 1
25 Jun	A Tunisia	W	1 - 3
20 Jun	H Sweden	W	5 - 1
14 Jun	H Japan	D	2 - 2
08 Jun	H Uzbekistan	W	2 - 1

Japan — Recent Form

Date	Opponent	Result	Score
29 Jun	A Brazil	L	2 - 1
25 Jun	H Sweden	D	1 - 1
21 Jun	A Tunisia	W	0 - 4
14 Jun	A Netherlands	D	2 - 2
03 Feb	A Iran	L	2 - 1

World Cup Standings

Group A

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Mexico	3	3	0	0	6	0	+6	9
2	South Africa	3	1	1	1	2	3	-1	4
4	Czechia	3	0	1	2	2	6	-4	1

Group B

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	3	2	1	0	7	3	+4	7
2	Canada	3	1	1	1	8	3	+5	4
4	Qatar	3	0	1	2	2	10	-8	1

Group C

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Brazil	3	2	1	0	7	1	+6	7
2	Morocco	3	2	1	0	6	3	+3	7
4	Haiti	3	0	0	3	2	8	-6	0

Group D

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	USA	3	2	0	1	8	4	+4	6
2	Australia	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Türkiye	3	1	0	2	3	5	-2	3

Group E

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Germany	3	2	0	1	10	4	+6	6
2	Ivory Coast	3	2	0	1	4	2	+2	6
4	Curaçao	3	0	1	2	1	9	-8	1

Group F

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	3	2	1	0	10	4	+6	7
2	Japan	3	1	2	0	7	3	+4	5
4	Tunisia	3	0	0	3	2	12	-10	0

Group G

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	3	1	2	0	6	2	+4	5
2	Egypt	3	1	2	0	5	3	+2	5
4	New Zealand	3	0	1	2	4	10	-6	1

Group H

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Spain	3	2	1	0	5	0	+5	7
2	Cape Verde Islands	3	0	3	0	2	2	0	3
4	Saudi Arabia	3	0	2	1	1	5	-4	2

Group I

#	Team	P	W	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	France	3	3	0	10	2	+8	9
2	Norway	3	2	1	8	7	+1	6
4	Iraq	3	0	3	1	12	-11	0

Group J

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Argentina	3	3	0	0	8	1	+7	9
2	Austria	3	1	1	1	6	6	0	4
4	Jordan	3	0	0	3	3	8	-5	0

Group K

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Colombia	3	2	1	0	4	1	+3	7
2	Portugal	3	1	2	0	6	1	+5	5
4	Uzbekistan	3	0	0	3	2	11	-9	0

Group L

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	England	3	2	1	0	6	2	+4	7
2	Croatia	3	2	0	1	5	5	0	6
4	Panama	3	0	0	3	0	4	-4	0

Group Stage

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Congo DR	3	1	1	1	4	3	+1	4
2	Sweden	3	1	1	1	7	7	0	4
3	Ghana	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
4	Ecuador	3	1	1	1	2	2	0	4
5	Bosnia & Herzegovina	3	1	1	1	5	6	-1	4
6	Algeria	3	1	1	1	5	7	-2	4
7	Paraguay	3	1	1	1	2	4	-2	4
8	Senegal	3	1	0	2	8	6	+2	3
9	Iran	3	0	3	0	3	3	0	3
10	South Korea	3	1	0	2	2	3	-1	3
11	Scotland	3	1	0	2	1	4	-3	3
12	Uruguay	3	0	2	1	3	4	-1	2

Netherlands

Formation: 4-3-3 Coach: Ronald Koeman

1 Verbruggen

15 Ven

4 Dijk

6 Hecke

22 Dumfries

14 Reijnders

21 Jong

8 Gravenberch

11 Gakpo

18 Malen

24 Summerville

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	B. Verbruggen	G
22	D. Dumfries	D
6	J. P. van Hecke	D
4	V. van Dijk	D
15	M. van de Ven	D
8	R. Gravenberch	M
21	F. de Jong	M
14	T. Reijnders	M
24	C. Summerville	F
18	D. Malen	F
11	C. Gakpo	F

Substitutes

23	M. Flekken	G
13	R. Roefs	G
10	M. Depay	F
9	W. Weghorst	F
26	Q. Timber	M
19	B. Brobbey	F
12	M. Wieffer	M
3	M. De Roon	M
5	N. Ake	D
20	T. Koopmeiners	M
7	J. Kluivert	F
16	G. Til	M
17	N. Lang	F
2	L. Geertruida	D
25	J. Hato	D

Japan

Formation: 3-4-2-1 Coach: Hajime Moriyasu

1 Suzuki

21 Ito

3 Taniguchi

16 Watanabe

13 Nakamura

15 Kamada

24 Sano

10 Doan

11 Maeda

8 Kubo

18 Ueda

Starting XI

#	Player	Pos
1	Z. Suzuki	G
16	T. Watanabe	D
3	S. Taniguchi	D
21	H. Ito	D
10	R. Doan	M
24	K. Sano	M
15	D. Kamada	M
13	K. Nakamura	M
8	T. Kubo	F
11	D. Maeda	F
18	A. Ueda	F

Substitutes

12	K. Osako	G
23	T. Hayakawa	G
5	Y. Nagatomo	D
4	K. Itakura	D
22	T. Tomiyasu	D
20	A. Seko	D
2	Y. Sugawara	D
6	S. Machino	F
17	Y. Suzuki	M
25	J. Suzuki	D
9	K. Goto	F
14	J. Ito	F
19	K. Ogawa	F
7	A. Tanaka	M
26	K. Shiogai	F